Latest ECMWF Model link:
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/12zeurotropical500mbSLP192.gif
This is only ONE model run. There are a number of models, of which the ECMWF and GFS are deemed the most reliable recently. NWS, WeatherUnderground, TWC, etc. use composites of the various models to plot predictive graphs.
There will be multiple runs this evening.
Still a long way out, but a Tampa landfall is looking less likely.
That's good, but if it's a Cat 4/5 hurricane spinning toward landfall in one of the gulf states, the convention ain't gonna get a whole lot of coverage.
When is the big night at the convention - 8/29 or 8/30?