Posted on 07/16/2012 10:01:00 AM PDT by blam
The Largest Natural Disaster In U.S. History: The Endless Drought Of 2012 Will Bake America Well Into August
Robert Wenzel
July 16, 2012
Why is the heartland of the United States experiencing such a horrific drought right now? At the moment, approximately 61 percent of the entire nation is experiencing drought conditions, and this is absolutely devastating farmers and ranchers all over the country. Less than two weeks ago I wrote an article asking what would happen if these drought conditions persisted, and now we are finding out. The U.S. Department of Agriculture has created the largest natural disaster area in U.S. history. The USDA has declared 1,016 counties in 26 U.S. states to be disaster areas. The USDA declaration basically covered about half of the nation, and there is now no denying how horrible this drought really is.
You can see a map of this disaster area right here. This endless drought is being compared to the nightmarish drought of 1988, and if it persists into August it could become perhaps the worst drought that America has ever seen. The USDA says that approximately 60 percent of all corn in the country is experiencing "moderate to extreme" drought conditions. If this drought does not end soon, the losses are going to be mind blowing. Already, it is estimated that farmers and ranchers have suffered billions of dollars in damage. How much worse can things get?
At the beginning of July many were hoping that we would soon see some rain and that we could still see a decent corn harvest.
Unfortunately, the drought has gotten even worse since that time. The following is from an article in the Chicago Tribune....
The whole of Iowa was classified as abnormally dry as of July 10 and 12.7 percent of the top corn and soybean producing state was in severe drought, up from 0.8 percent the prior week.
Harder-hit Illinois, the No. 2 corn and soy state, was 66.28 percent under severe drought or worse, up from 40 percent the previous week.
Severe to exceptional drought covered 80.15 percent of Indiana, versus 68.84 percent the prior week.
Conditions in Missouri also deteriorated, with 82.54 percent of the state in severe drought or worse, compared with 78.83 percent the week before. That is not good news.
Posted below is the latest update from the U.S. drought monitor. As you can see, nearly the entire southern half of the country is extremely dry right now....
It is being projected that in some of the major corn growing areas as much as 60 percent of the crops could be lost.
Many farmers that had been desperately hoping for rain are now becoming resigned to the fact that their crops are not going to make it. The following is from an article in the New York Times....
"Corn is anywhere from knee-high to waist-high," Gonzalee Martin, agriculture and natural resources educator with Purdue University’s Allen County extension office, told The News-Sentinel. "Much of it has already tassled with no ears at all. Much of it’s going to be completely lost" When your livelihood depends on the weather, an endless drought can be extremely stressful. Many farmers that had been anticipating a bumper crop this year are now faced with an utter disaster. The following example comes from CNN....
Now, as punishing drought grips the Midwest, Villwock, 61, walks his hard-hit 4,000 acres in southwest Indiana in utter dismay.
Where there should have been tall, dark green, leafy plants, there now stand corn stalks that are waist high or, at best, chest high. They are pale in color and spindly. Fragile. Tired.
Pull back an ear's husk and you find no kernels, he says. With temperatures rising above 95 degrees, the pollen starts to die.
"It's emotionally draining," he said. "The crop got out of the ground very well. We were so optimistic. But maybe a few of us were counting our eggs before they were hatched." So is there any hope that things are going to turn around?
Unfortunately, things do not look promising right now. It is being projected that the Corn Belt will experience extremely high temperatures and very low rainfall all the way through mid-August. The following report comes from accuweather.com....
AccuWeather.com agricultural meteorologists are concerned that new and frequent waves of near-100-degree temperatures and stingy rainfall will further stress crops over Iowa, Illinois and Nebraska into mid-August. When temperatures are very high and rainfall is very low, evaporation happens very rapidly. As accuweather.com notes, when the ground becomes very, very dry it can create a vicious cycle that feeds on itself....
Evaporation rates are very high into the first part of August. Soaking rain on a regular basis instead of a brief downpour is needed to be of benefit beyond a couple of days.
Turning things around in the Midwest as a whole will be a difficult task as dry ground tends to bring higher daytime temperatures, which in turn raises evaporation rates and so on. So what does all of this mean for the rest of us?
It is going to mean higher food prices.
On Friday, the price of corn hit $7.50 a bushel.
It had been thought that the price of corn would only be about $5.00 a bushel this year.
At this point, the price of corn is up 48 percent since mid-June, and it could go a whole lot higher.
Some analysts are projecting that if this endless drought persists, we could see ten dollars for a bushel of corn and 20 dollars for a bushel of soybeans.
And yes, you will notice this at the supermarket.
In a previous article, I included a quote from a recent article by Holly Deyo about why the price of corn affects the price of so many other products....
Since 75% of grocery store products use corn as a key ingredient, expect food prices to skyrocket. Corn is also a staple in many fast foods. Corn is in ethanol and the main food source or chickens. In addition to this, maize is in many things that aren't obvious like adhesives, aluminum, aspirin, clothing starch, cosmetics, cough syrup, dry cell batteries, envelopes, fiberglass insulation, gelatin capsules, ink, insecticides, paint, penicillin, powders, rugs and carpets, stamps, talcum, toothpaste, wallpaper, and vitamins. That's just for starters...
This is a huge heads up for you to purchase corn-using products NOW before these conditions reflect in grocery goods. It will be a narrow window of opportunity. This endless drought is also a complete and total nightmare for ranchers.
At this point, approximately 50 percent of America's pastures and ranges are in "poor" or "very poor" condition.
Back in June, that figure was only sitting at 28 percent.
So things have gotten a lot worse very quickly.
A lot of ranchers are selling off their cattle because this drought is making it very difficult to continue to feed them. The following is from examiner.com....
Rauhn Panting, with the University of Idaho, who works with ranchers and farmers, says, "We're going to run out of grass. It's going to be scary." Ranchers are being advised to vacate grazing lands, weeks and even months before when they usually have to leave.
Left with only two choices, feed or sell, many are opting to sell their cattle. The Torrington Stock Market in Wyoming, has recorded that 36,000 cattle were sold in May and June of this year. The usual average for these months is 5,500. Small ranchers, with 30-50 cow/calf pairs, are being hit the hardest. So expect higher meat prices in the fall and winter as well.
This all comes at a really bad time. We are already on the verge of a global financial catastrophe. Agriculture was supposed to be one of the few bright spots in the U.S. economy.
Sadly, the U.S. is not the only one having problems with crops this year.
For example, in Germany farmers are actually experiencing a full-blown plague of rats.
Yes, seriously.
The following is from a recent Der Spiegel article....
Millions of field mice are overrunning the central German states of Thuringia and Saxony-Anhalt, much to the concern of local farmers. The rodents are devastating food crops, cutting yields by up to 50 percent. Getting birds of prey to hunt the critters didn't help, and now farmers want to be allowed to use a banned rat poison. So why is all of this happening?
Why is nature going crazy all of a sudden?
Start at verse 12 to get the context.
Dryland farming is used most often to grow corn and small grains. Not every farm has water rights and the water right laws vary from state to state.
In our state those who get water from the main river have been cut to 35% of their water.
Try drip irrigation, 2500.00 per acre if you hire someone to do it a little less if you do it all yourself.
LOL, my husband and I are average aged American farmers at 58. There is only one farmer under 30 in our county, we started when we were 19.
I do understand the suicide thing, I always say that the only way to quit farming is to go completely broke or die. When we started farming there were almost 400 farmers in our county there are 28 now.
There are 2 farms near us that are being farmed by non-farmers, it is really sad all the money that is being wasted because they just don’t get it. We have given them advice but they don’t listen. It is so hard to farm if you haven’t grown up with it because there is so much involved from mechanics and money management to plant science and chemistry, knowing when to water and fertilize, marketing decisions, just hundreds of things every week.
In 1988 the government still had stocks of grains for “just in case” but no more. There is carry-over but it is usually in private hands.
Growing with GM seed and practices associated with it (wondering).
Ah! Yes! AGW....the concensus:
“Consensus means that everyone agrees to say collectively what no one believes individually” – Abba Eban
Humanism/socialism/communism = paganism.
1) I didn’t call you a barbarian. I said you “reminded” me of one. I could have chosen a better word, but I was multi-tasking.
2) I didn’t attack you.
3) Human kind is no bigger a sinner now than it ever has been. There is no new sin under the sun. They’ve all been done before, one way or another. There are just more of us to be doing the sinning, so, to us, there’s more sin.
4) God is no angrier at death by abortion than He was as He watched millions upon millions die in Europe during WWII and all the wars before that throughout history. Sin entered the world, and it’s been a sinful place ever since.
5) In trying to understand God, we bring Him down to our level because we cannot possibly rise to His level.
6) This current drought in the mid-West is just another of the many droughts over the millenia. Why is this one particularly a sign from God? I don’t believe it is. Same for earthquakes. Just because they scare me to death doesn’t mean they’re a sign from God.
Just my interpretation. No further comments on this topic will follow.
You should read the Bible. It’ll clear up your misconceptions about God.
Thanks blam. This isn’t even the worst drought in my lifetime, leave alone “in history”. :’)
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