No. Those would leave him at exactly 270. What the heck numbers are you looking at? Use that link I posted maybe you are looking the electoral votes from before the new census.
to make it worse, he needs to flip a safe state.
I have no idea what state you could be referring to. I laid out the numbers for you. The "safe" Obama states result in about 200 votes about the same as the states I think are certain to go for Romney (206).
I also don't understand why you are fixating on the number of states he needs to "flip" either. Bush needed to flip a lot of states to win in 2000. Obama needed to flip 1 and did much better than that. Things change, this is not 2008 when Obama won because Bush and the GOP were as popular as dirt. Romney is tied or slightly ahead in credible polls. You could better compare this election to 2004.
Obama could win, especially if Romney screws up but I think his ceiling is lower, ie if someone pulls out to a decent lead it won't be Obama. If he wins it's narrowly. My own prediction is a narrow win for Romney.