Posted on 04/06/2012 4:21:57 PM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
President Obama leads Mitt Romney in four states that will be critical in determining the outcome of the 2012 election, according to a survey from conservative polling outlet Rasmussen released on Friday.
Obama leads Romney 47 percent to 44 percent in combined polling from Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia.
The poll has a 4.5 percent margin of error.
Obama will need to win about half of the electoral votes provided by Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and New Hampshire, if he is to secure a second term.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
No he didn't. Rasmussen had the GOP up like 12 points over the Democrats on the generic ballot. Virtually everyone including the NY Times Nate Silver knew the GOP was going to take over the US House. The only people that didn't see it coming were the kooks at places like Kos, DU, etc - and even they probably knew it was coming in their heart. Most sensible analysts predicted the GOP pickup was going to be around 50 seats - and also knew crummy candidates like Christine O' Donnell, Carl Paladino, etc, would be easily defeated.
Gallup has Hussein at 50% today. People are going to have to face the fact that Obama is still reasonably popular considering how lousy the economy is and $4.00 gas. He will be hard to beat. Romney is a lackluster candidate and my guess is, unfortunately, that Obama has a very good chance at a second term. Santorum would have fared even worse since he wouldn't be able to stop himself from blathering on about how contraception is "not okay", why we need to wage a war on porn, etc.
You are correct in your assessment of the situation.
These morons who think Barack Hussein is no worse than any GOP nominee have not seen the “wink wink” with the Russian politician with Barack whispering “I will have lot more flexibility with you after the election is over”.
Even Mitt, who is my 3rd choice behind Newt & Rick, I know is not a real conservative, but at least he does not hate United States of America.
I half hope Romney gets thrashed so the GOPe dies a horrible death.
This November during the general election, enough conservative voters will, either, blank the ‘12 POTUS race, vote third party, or write-in somebody else for ‘12 POTUS, unless a brokered GOP Convention leads to a decent pro-conservative choice for ‘12 POTUS/VP (I, still, doubt that a brokered convention will, actually, happen.). The U.S. is finished as a capitalistic and conservative country, for the long-term, but I, really, want to be proven wrong about this, as do a highly finite number of other non-leftists.
Hmmmm.
No matter what the circumstances of the poll if the Republicans in the house and senate had been acting with backbone and smarts, Obama, the worst president our country has ever had, would not be ahead of any republican anywhere.
We get to vote for a liberal to replace an über-liberal.
That is the key and the reason the Dims are working overtime to see Romney as the nominee.
But Romney has not yet shown that he will take the fight TO Obama - dithering around, Romney seems to be perfectly willing to LET Obama define him, much like McCain.
And once being defined, Romney seems set to concede point after point, until there is no perceptible difference between himself and Obama.
It is hard to get enthusiastic about such a game plan. Romney may put up a good defense when attacked directly, but defense does not move the ball down the field, and has NEVER scored a thing.
Obama is vulnerable on SO many fronts, he is a target-rich environment. Almost anything he claims for his credit can be demolished with a few well-directed rounds.
Energy policy. Foreign policy. Cooking the numbers on unemployment and real GDP growth. Tax policy (taxes WILL rise, in the absence of any legislation to extend still further the Bush tax cuts). Presenting a plausible Federal budget, or even permitting the current budget passed by the House to be voted on in the Senate (how about a simple phone call to Harry Reid on this one?)
Never even have to raise the issue of Obamacare. Not a topic for debate or discussion anytime during the campaign.
I don’t believe this.
I'll take the liberal.
I remember clearly, because it was the only real issue the Republicans had to run on. Gas prices dropped like a stone six months before the election, and voters completely forgot it.
Good thoughts. I've heard that Romney's campaign, including his back-channel operators is pretty competent. He also seems to be attracting plenty of support and money.
One thing worries me: Dems are at this business full time: they have government jobs and don't have the distraction of making a living. Republicans by comparison seem disorganized.
But here's the most important thing: Romney will not win by attacking 'bam. He has to present a vision--not a plan, but a vision of what this country should be. That was another thing McCain lacked: he ran as a kind of stalwart boy-scout kind of guy who was steady and dependable. Sheer boredom pushed voters over to 'bam.
I could never understand that election: on one side a liberal talking the same thing as the other liberal, only he was a Republican and had actual experience, on the other side was a total unknown, two years in the Senate with a campaign based on vapid pronouncement, nebulous promises and photo-ops.
But give the devil his due, he painted a pretty picture, a regular Monet.
Romney better come up with a picture of his own.
” Most sensible analysts predicted the GOP pickup was going to be around 50 seats..”
Prove it.
And you didn’t answer my observation about the Republicans taking over 26 state legislatures.
I know there’s ras-bots who love their rat hero, but he is very fallible.
“Oh, I hear consternation and deep misgivings concerning all this for the most part. I just have to shake my head in disbelief at all the Pollyanna verve about Romney.”
Credulous peons doing as credulous peons are instructed. Jonestown mentality, and indeed they WILL drink the coolaid.
Exactly. American sheeple on the whole don't think like those of us here in the conservative environs like FR. We don't have to like it, but Obama still holds at least half of America in thrall, comprising his base. Much of the previous drop in approval ratings can be attributed to a disappointment he hasn't whipsawed the Republicans and turned the country harder to the left. Look at the Gallup numbers... he has gone nearly straight up.. a 15-point swing that commenced right after he made those comments about the Supreme Court. There's something about that confrontation with the Supremes that has the sheep feeling all warm again. Make no mistake.. he's still the rock star and the cool black guy, and in image-obsessed America, that goes a long way. Romney has no discernible base of support and he generates no enthusiasm from any quarter.
It sucks, but America is a different country now, even compared to 2000. Considering 49.5% pay no federal income taxes.. and LIKE it that way and want yet more blood drawn from the "rich" .. Obama has massive structural advantages going into election day. When all is said and done, Obama will win by about the same electoral vote margin as McCain did. But.... this is what the GOP establishment wanted... presenting a sacrificial lamb who will set about losing gracefully. Well... looks like they got what they want.
as McCain did = as he did vs. McCain
Unfortunately, it appears he already has... and people don't like it... or him.
LLS
Suddenly, I think that even if he loses, we will still be in deep trouble. Think of all the havoc he will wreak from November to January....
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