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Dick Morris: Obama is going to lose big
dickmorris.com ^ | 04/05/12 | Dick Morris

Posted on 04/05/2012 9:01:40 AM PDT by varmintman

Dick Morris' "Lunch" video this morning involves a claim that a realistic reading of today's polls indicate that Romney (or anybody else other than Rick Santorum more or less) will beat Obama very badly. The basic gist is that Obama needs to be over 50% among likely voters at this point to break even and the fact of his being no better than around 45 spells wipeout in November since the undecideds almost never break for an incumbent under such circumstances.

Morris notes that it's as if marriages were five year contracts with options to renew and somebody were to ask your husband or wife at year four if they were planning on renewing, and they said they'd have to think about it...


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012predictions; bho2012; losers; morris
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To: neocon1984

That’s unadulterated bullshit! How do you fix your mouth to speak of Freepers that way!


41 posted on 04/05/2012 9:51:53 AM PDT by old school
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To: proxy_user
It could be comparable to 1980, IMHO. It doesn’t matter how bad Romney is, people will be voting against the incumbent.

How old are? You're not seriously comparing one of the greatest politicians, communicators and Presidents of all-time to one of the weakest potential Presidential nominees in history, Mitt Romney, are you?

42 posted on 04/05/2012 9:58:24 AM PDT by Kazan (Mitt Romney: The greater of two evils)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder
I DO think (most of the time) that 0bama loses big.

Or MAYBE you are really thinking "obama is a big loser..." all the time?

43 posted on 04/05/2012 10:02:02 AM PDT by Turbo Pig (...to close with and destroy the enemy...)
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To: ConservativeDude
I am not advocating anything by the above. I’m just reporting the facts and drawing some basic conclusions.

I don't care! OFF WITH YOUR HEAD!

44 posted on 04/05/2012 10:03:05 AM PDT by Future Snake Eater (If we had a President, he'd look like Newt.)
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To: ConservativeDude
“Any voter who is not black realizes that he or she is the target of that war, and will be in serious trouble if the leader of that war were to gain a second term.”

Mitt Romney is the Nidal Hasan of the Republican party, someone on the liberal side of the war ready to destroy as much of conservatism as possible.

45 posted on 04/05/2012 10:04:33 AM PDT by Kazan (Mitt Romney: The greater of two evils)
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To: Future Snake Eater

in the true tradition of free republic....where we are compelled to prove how conservative we are but implicitly if not explicitly advocating obama’s re-election.


46 posted on 04/05/2012 10:10:27 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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There are many sleepers on Free Republic








47 posted on 04/05/2012 10:11:01 AM PDT by devolve (- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - you can*t do that with a WebTV - - - - - - - - - - - -)
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To: neocon1984
Obama is killing America, aided and abetted by communists and Freepers.

But, Romney isn't going to do the same thing and set back the conservative movement at the same time?

Romney will leave the Republican party in worse shape than George W. Bush did. And, we'll get Romneycare, new taxes and, perhaps, another David Souter before he is done.

48 posted on 04/05/2012 10:11:33 AM PDT by Kazan (Mitt Romney: The greater of two evils)
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To: ConservativeDude

I prefer “Welcome to FR! Come for the analysis, stay for the knee-jerking!”


49 posted on 04/05/2012 10:13:24 AM PDT by Future Snake Eater (If we had a President, he'd look like Newt.)
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To: varmintman

Obama’s going to cream romney so bad the GOP will completely implode and vanish by 2016, but it won’t make a difference since this will be the last real election.


50 posted on 04/05/2012 10:14:50 AM PDT by Caipirabob (I say we take off and Newt the site from orbit. It's the only way to be sure...)
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To: Turbo Pig

No, I really don’t think that. 0bama, inside 0bamas’ shoes, is a huge winner. He’s struck the mother lode. This guy who should be selling fake Rolexes at a downtown parking lot or spray painting his tag on your garage door ended up somehow as the most powerful man on earth. For him it’s like winning the lottery except with paid Secret Service protection and pension and $100K+++ speaking engagements for life. 0bama is no loser. We are.

I can’t for the life of me imagine how anyone with a brain could vote for him again, but that statement implies that lots of people have brains, yet we know that many do not, or at least do not vote that way.

He’s either going to squeak it out or get hammered, big time. But for me, and only for me, I have tried to eliminate the obsession over it. Because I find the image and prospect of his re-election it so upsetting, I can’t do that to myself any more.


51 posted on 04/05/2012 10:32:16 AM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (The only economic certainty: When it all blows up, Krugman will say we didn't spend enough.)
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It doesn’t matter who wins. The car is going 90 miles an hour down the side of a canyon. This result has been assured since 1913.


52 posted on 04/05/2012 10:33:14 AM PDT by Crimson Elephant
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To: varmintman

Saw Art Laffer speak at an event on Tuesday night and he predicted the very same thing. I hope they are right.


53 posted on 04/05/2012 10:54:48 AM PDT by r-q-tek86 ("It doesn't matter how smart you are if you don't stop and think" - Dr. Sowell)
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To: Kazan

Like I said, my opinion is based solely on the quality of the incumbent, regardless of who is opposing him.

Now if it was Romney vs. Carter, then it would be a toss-up.


54 posted on 04/05/2012 10:56:58 AM PDT by proxy_user
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To: varmintman

SUMMARY: Recent polls showing Ubama beating Romney are of registered voters, which are cheaper to run by inaccurate. Rasmussen’s latest likely-voters poll shows 7% undecided. Historically, undecideds in Presidential elections go to the challenger. This gives Romney 7% more votes, meaning Romney will beat Ubama 52%/48%.


55 posted on 04/05/2012 11:09:30 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Over half of U.S. murders are of black people, and 90% of them are committed by other black people.)
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To: varmintman

Crap, if Morris says it’s true, expect just the opposite.


56 posted on 04/05/2012 11:11:41 AM PDT by hattend (Jesus wants me to make churches pay for abortions. - Barack Obama)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

I remember when Clinton was up for re-election and Limbaugh told everyone we keep holding up all his scandals and all the dirt on him and his voters do not care. They just want a good economy. It was hard to believe but Rush was right. That is why you see Obama voters at all. He is Santa and they are happy to get the redistributed wealth. In fact, they have been taught they are entitled to it. The worse things get, the more they think they need the security blanket and they vote out of fear more than anything else. We just have to work hard to make sure there are more of us when it comes time to vote. The Marxists have infiltrated our schools, media and govt., and we have been taking a fly swat as the roaches run out from under the cupboard but they are still breeding in the walls. I know I will have an Irish Creme ready on election night just to help prevent a migraine like I got for 7 days the last election.


57 posted on 04/05/2012 11:12:22 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather ("We Need To Teach The Establishment a Lesson" - Newt Gingrich)
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To: Beagle8U
Obumbles will lose the coal producing states. You can't gut such a large swath of a state economy and win.

In 2008, he campaigned in the coal states saying he was going to shut them down. They voted for him anyway. In those states, party trumps jobs.

Will it be any different in 2012?

Hope you're right.

58 posted on 04/05/2012 11:14:52 AM PDT by hattend (Jesus wants me to make churches pay for abortions. - Barack Obama)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
You are correct. I also predict that gas prices and economic/market conditions late this Summer, will cause Obama to poll back in the low 40’s, since there are now way too many hopeless recipient class people on the Government payroll, so Obama will never go below 40%.

Romney will win handily because he has the resources and the experience to campaign against Obama.

59 posted on 04/05/2012 11:17:09 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: ScottinVA
Bingo. Most don't have a clue of why certain issues are vital to this country. They keep a narrow view on what puts a couple more $ in their pocket, along with their favorite social cause and focus on those.

Anecdotal evidence:

A liberal Facebook friend (yes, unfortunately I have some) put up a condescending picture of Sarah Palin and caption. I posted "I Love Sarah Palin" and that was all.

Some chick I don't even know started in about how she was stupid, uninformed, etc.

I simply asked her "Why"

Her answer was she "knows all about Sarah Palin"...blah blah blah. She backpedaled a bit when she noticed I live in Alaska.

I told her to watch "The Undefeated" and get back to me. She said she has watched it and wasn't impressed.

If anybody can watch that video and not be impressed with the executive experience of Sarah Palin compared to Obama, Biden or McLame, then they are a non-thinking drone.

And, I highly doubt she watched it. If she hates Sarah Palin as much as she lets on, that would be like me watching a 90 minute Obama video...it just won't happen.

60 posted on 04/05/2012 11:25:30 AM PDT by hattend (Jesus wants me to make churches pay for abortions. - Barack Obama)
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