2012 GOP Primary Tracker (Votes and Delegates by State per Candidate and totals)

JEFFHEAD.COM ^ | 8 Feb 2012 | Jeff Head

[Jeff Head]

I have been keeping my own record of the 2012 GOP Primary results, adding each primary as it occurs.

I have created an html/internet version which I have posted here on FR a few times. I have been asked by a number of FR members to post a thread where I can update this file regularly, so this is that thread.

Last night we saw what could be a bell weather for this primary election. Rick Santorum, agruably the most conservative candidate left in the field, had a clean sweep, winning the popular vote in Colorado, Missouri, and Minnesota...and doing so convincingly. He certainly will, and deserves to make the case that with five out of eight popular vote wins, he could be considered the Romney alternative. Here's the table as it sits today. I have it going out through the Primary in Texas, but will extend it as necessary. I will update it on this thread when the final totals are in for yesterday's (Feb 7, 2012) races as they are 99% and 95% complete now, when the delegates are apportioned (later for each of the last three states), and when other primaries occur.

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2012 GOP Presidential Primary Season Tracker (including caucuses)

2012 GOP Primaries	Date	Romney			Gingrich			Santorum			Paul			Huntsman			Perry			Bachman			Cain			Totals
		Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	Del's
Iowa	1/3/2012	29,805	24.58%	7	16,163	13.33%	4	29,839	24.61%	7	26,036	21.47%	7	739	0.61%	0	12,557	10.36%	0	6,046	4.99%	0	58	0.05%	0	121,243	25
New Hampshire	1/10/2012	97,601	39.81%	7	23,291	9.50%	0	23,362	9.53%	0	56,872	23.20%	3	41,783	17.04%	2	1,764	0.72%	0	350	0.14%	0	160	0.07%	0	245,183	12
South Carolina	1/21/2012	168,152	27.86%	2	244,133	40.44%	23	102,492	16.98%	0	78,362	12.98%	0	1,173	0.19%	0	2,534	0.42%	0	491	0.08%	0	6,326	1.05%	0	603,663	25
Florida	1/31/2012	776,059	46.44%	50	534,040	31.96%	0	223,208	13.36%	0	117,410	7.03%	0	6,199	0.37%	0	6,773	0.41%	0	3,967	0.24%		3,492	0.21%	0	1,671,148	50
Nevada	2/4/2012	16,486	50.12%	14	6,956	21.15%	6	3,277	9.96%	3	6,175	18.77%	5	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	32,894	28
Main																										0	24
Colorado	2/7/2012	22,875	35.00%		8,394	12.84%		26,372	40.35%		7,713	11.80%		0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	65,354	36
Minnesota		8,096	16.97%		5,134	10.76%		21,436	44.94%		13,030	27.32%		0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	47,696	40
Missouri		63,826	26.24%		9,859	4.05%		138,957	57.12%		30,641	12.59%		0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	243,283
Airzona	2/28/2012																										29
Michigan																											30
Washington	3/3/2012																										43
Alaska	3/6/2012																										27
Georgia	(Super Tues)																										76
Idaho																											32
Massachusetts																											41
North Dakota																											28
Ohio																											66
Oklahoma																											43
Tennessee																											58
Vermont																											17
Virginia																											49
Wyoming																											29
Kansas	3/10/2012																										40
Guam																											9
Virgin Islands																											9
Alabama	3/13/2012																										50
Am Somoa																											9
Hawaii																											20
Mississippi																											40
MIssouri	3/17/2012																										52
Puerto Rico	3/18/2024																										23
Illinois	3/20/2012																										69
Louisiana	3/24/2012																										46
DC	4/3/2012																										19
Maryland																											37
Wisconsin																											42
Texas																											155
At large Del's				19			2			1			0			0			0			0					22
TOTALS		1,182,900	39.06%	99	847,970	28.00%	35	568,943	18.79%	11	336,239	11.10%	15	49,894	1.65%	2	23,628	0.78%	0	10,854	0.36%	0	10,036	0.33%	0	3,028,620	1450

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[Jeff Head]

Hope you guys enjoy this...lots of analysis can be done off of these overall numbers.

[Jeff Head]

I will update this file on this thread as the primaries move along. Right now, if things continue as they are, Santorum will have my vote here in Idaho. Though all of them have their problems, right now Santorum reflects my own positons and values the closest.

Newt has a lot of pizzass and can get a crowd energized, and a lot of good ideas. Romney will probably draw more independents and moderates. Paul is very constitutional in his approach to money and economics and foreign policy, but his achillies heel for me is his stance on Iran where he would in essence ignore their nuclear efforts and allow them to proceed unhindered. Santorum has waged a campaign of hard work and faith, and more and more people are coming around. Not "stellar" and a not a lot of glitter...but steady.

If you have a mind, please ping others to this Tracker thread.

[hoosiermama]

You should * the Florida and give the alternative count. FYI t-shirt information. Click on rule 15-B-2 to read the rule.

Michael Steele said on numerous channels, that the rule was passed during his tenure and no exception was made for FL The current President of the RNC said he had written a letter to FL in December telling them their delegates should be distributed.

It may not be until the rules committee meets just days before the convention, but the total now being distributed is not accurate. Again a MSM GOPEe meme to dishearten conservatives. -----------------------------------------------

After NV
Delegate tally approximately
Romney 51 Newt 45
when FL vote divided per RNC rules!

Pass the word!

CLICK TO DONATE TO NEWT

CONTACT FOR RNC:
website@nrcc.org

310 First Street
Washington DC 20003

Encourage them to do the RIGHT thing: end the FL fiasco NOW!
Play by RULE 15:B:2

[HonorInPa]

The correct term is bellwether, not bell weather. It refers to a leader of a flock of sheep, usually male, wearing a bell that the other sheep follow.

[Jukeman]

Still a long way to go. So the Romney victory is not a sure thing. For me - anyone but Romney.

[Brent Calvert 03969-030]

Thanks for this post and format. It will be useful.

Iowa’s delegates are not bound to vote for any candidate at the National Convention.

According to the Constitution and Bylaws of the Republican Party of Iowa, “no delegate shall be bound by any pre-convention caucus and each county shall cast its vote by polling its delegation at the [state] convention.”

[Ozymandias Ghost]

Thx for the super spreadsheet!!! It's a great tool and really helps clarify the current status of the candidates.

Regards,

-Geoff

[Jeff Head]

Thanks...bellwether it is.

[wardaddy]

that was a lot of trouble i am bookmarking it

tks

[Jeff Head]

I’ll update the candidates delegate count as they firm up. Right now, a lot of them are really up in the air. They certainly can and will change come convention time depending on what the numbers show at that time.

[Jeff Head]

Thanks, I will update it as new primaries and caucuses are held, and as the delegate counts firm up.

[amom]

Thanks Jeff. This is a great tool. Appreciated.

[Jeff Head]

Thank you, amom! I will keep it updated here on this thread as time goes on.

[CPT Clay]

I think Romney probably has the Idaho vote, large LDS population and all.

[Jeff Head]

I’m LDS and he doesn’t have mine...or a lot of the people I know around here in SW Idaho.

So, he may well win here, but not as overwhelmingly as he might think.

If he were the nominee, I would support him over Obama...but he has too many moderate and changed positions to vote for him over folks like Santorum.

[TheOldLady]

Click the baby's bottle!
Many thanks, JoeProBono

Uh oh! This little guy is already breathing fire.
He's going to be a mean one!

Donate monthly to keep the mean dragons away

Sponsors will contribute $10
For each new monthly sign-up

[Sopater]

The Ron Paul campaign sees things differently...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2844082/posts

[onyx]

Very much appreciate your work. BTTT

[Jeff Head]

My file did not award any delegates for those three votes because they have not been chosen yet. That’s why I do not show any. The popular vots for the primary and caucuses from last night will not equal the delegate count. If a campaign is better orgnized to get into the caucuses and do well there, they can disporportionately command more delegates than the vote they got.

Those are the rules these states set up for themselves and every candidate knew that was how it worked going in...so the fight over delegates is yet to come.

Romney, I am sure, believes he will do better in the Michigan and Arizona primaries where the vote count and the delegate count will mean what they say and you can bet he is putting his money there...like he did in Florida and Nevada. I suspect he will try and organize in the three states past to get as many of those delegates as he can, just as Paul is doing.

But Santorum made a big show last night...make no mistake about it. In making it a sweep, he made it clear that his message is taking hold and he will try and take advantage of that politically and, very important for him, financially.

Newt is pushing for his big hit to come in the next debate and then following it up on Super Tuesday and then in Texas. That will tell whether or not he comes through and I am sure he will not abide a Santorum plea to get behind Rick until after that...wherein if he does really well, he in turn will make the case back to Santorum.

[Jeff Head]

No probs...glad to do so and hope it helps.