House Minority Whip Gingrich and 7th District congressional candidate
Brenda Fitzgerald throw mock tea crates into the Chattahoochee River on
April 15, 1994, as part of a "Taxpayer's Tea party" in Roswell, Georgia.
GO NEWT!
GO FREE REPUBLIC!!!
Posted on 01/29/2012 10:36:59 AM PST by Steelfish
NBC/Marist Poll: Romney Up 15 Over Gingrich In Florida
Domenico Montanaro
Mitt Romney may be on his way to a decisive victory in the Florida GOP primary Tuesday, according to a new NBC/Marist poll.
Romney leads Newt Gingrich by 15 points, 42 percent to 27 percent in the crucial state. Rick Santorum is third with 16 percent, followed by Ron Paul with 11 percent. Just 4 percent said they were undecided. "The bottom line in all this is Romney's sitting in the driver's seat going into Tuesday," said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion at Marist College, who conducted the poll.
If Romney pulls off a victory of that magnitude, he could be on a glide path to the nomination. But there are warning signs for the Republican Party that the primary has taken a toll on Romney and the rest of the GOP field. Each of the candidates struggles in a general-election matchup with President Barack Obama in this swing state, especially with independents.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL POLL.) (CLICK HERE FOR POLL OVERVIEW AND MARGIN OF ERROR.)
How Romney wins: Consolidates supporters, women
Romney beats Gingrich and the rest of the field by winning broadly across many subgroups -- those who are not Tea Party supporters (52 percent), those who are liberal or moderate (49 percent), make more than $75,000 a year (49 percent), identify as "conservative" (47 percent), and, in particular with women.
There was a stark gender gap between Romney and Gingrich. Women said they preferred Romney by 47-26 percent over Gingrich. The gap is closer with men, but Romney leads with them as well, 38-29 percent.
"He's winning both," Miringoff said, "but runs up the score among women."
Romney also does well enough with Tea Party supporters, splitting the vote....
(Excerpt) Read more at firstread.msnbc.msn.com ...
Stupid women. Vote for the pretty face.
Winning presidential elections is not about looks. If looks were all that mattered, Dan Quayle would’ve run for president at some point. In fact, they picked him as V.P. because they thought his looks would appeal to women voters, and they did not get the results they desired. The personal qualities that tend to win elections are strength, toughness, masculinity, alpha male qualities. Gingrich has more of those than the metrosexual Obama.
Primary elections are different. Ideology and the perception of who can beat Obama are key factors (however misperceived it might be, because most people are not professional political analysts and have no real idea). Hence, whoever has the “best week” is winning these primaries. So far, effective negative ads and effective debate performances have been the driving forces in who is winning these primaries. Romney is very good at lying and doing dishonest ads, but the media will absolutely tear him to shreds if he does that against Obama.
Perhaps I’m not remembering correctly, but didn’t the polls also show mittens ahead of Newt in SC as well?
***
Uhh, can’t you see there’s a Defcon 2 magnitude pity party going on??
Whatever happened that Newt won SC, needs to happen again ...
The problem is there are very, very few conservative women. We’d love if the majority of the gender was in the Margaret Thatcher/Sarah Palin mold, but that isn’t reality. And college-educated women consistently come out having changed their views to leftist ones (if they weren’t already left), because the colleges convince everyone who isn’t a white heterosexual male that they are victims of white heterosexual males.
This Floridian thinks Rubio is overrated as well.
I was asking a question....no need to be snarky to me. I just remember Newt being ahead of mittens early on, then all of a sudden mittens was in lead.
We’re all pissy, just please don’t take it out on me when I was merely asking a question.
Guess I was raised right. My Dad fought in WWII and I got my strong American values from him. My Mom, though an angel and the dearest person ever, easily fell prey to liberalist arguments only to regret her lapses afterward. I learned from both the rightness and importance for consistent conservatism.
I think women who were raised by weak fathers don’t have the advantage I did.
Bull——
” That is a problem we have had for many years. The truth is that Romney is a handsome man, and many people vote for that characteristic. The taller, leaner, better looking candidate tends to take the day. That is probably the only reason I think that Romney is more likely to beat Obama than Gingrich. “
This is basically what I said a month ago here on FR , and was chastised and called names by fellow Freepers for saying it . Hope you don’t experience the same backlash .
That may well be true, I know there are exceptions, but taken as a whole the numbers don't lie. Just go back and look at the title.
“Newt’s already for 0% corporate income tax and 15% flat income tax.
He lost Iowa and New Hampshire and is losing Florida because he did not focus on attacks on Romney’s Bain Capital record. He won South Carolina precisely because he focused on Romney’s Bain Capital record there. Romney’s record at Bain Capital is one of a coldhearted, unethical “buyout baron” and corporate raider who helped bankrupt companies and kill American jobs. It makes him unelectable either in a Republican primary or in the general election. When it’s made the focus of a campaign, he loses. There is no other way to defeat him unless the electorate is heavily stacked with hardcore ideological conservatives. If Romney is allowed to use his business record as a positive, he wins. If his opponents highlight his unseemly business practices, that adds a negative to his resume at the same time it takes away a positive, and he loses.”
Your post has some truths and some things I disagree with. Newt’s policies are better for business and he does want lower taxes. But his rhetoric painted him as a Stalinist Commie. And created the illusion Romney was more in favor of capitalism.
The issue is if you attack Bain you move the Republican party to the left. You help to destroy conservatism. Attack Romneycare. Attack his pro-choice past. Attack his flip flops. Do not touch Bain. The more wise people say, “Do not touch Bain!”, the more it seems some people are drawn to attack it - reminds me of Lord of the Rings.
Mid-month, but by four days out, they looked a lot like the current FLA polls in reverse. The RCP average was +5 Gingrich; PPP was closest at +10 to the final results of +12.6. PPP currently has Mittens in FLA at +8.
Good analysis.
I was asking a question....no need to be snarky to me. I just remember Newt being ahead of mittens early on, then all of a sudden mittens was in lead.
We’re all pissy, just please don’t take it out on me when I was merely asking a question.
***
I had to google “snarky” to find out what it means, and according to http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=snarky and the definition starts out by saying, “
A word that should be googled to find the definition as per direction from Dane Cook.”
Anyways, once you got to the words “Defcon 2” in describing the mood on this message board, you should have known I was being silly.
For the confusion I caused in you, I apologize. I have been trying to lay down and give up being sarcastic, and jokiing, and foolishness. It does not lift anyone up, and it is unbecoming.
I apologize.
Attacking Bain’s business practices is not “attacking capitalism” any more than attacking Planned Parenthood for profiting off abortion is “attacking capitalism.” Mark Levin himself has said on the air that Romney is more of a corporatist than a capitalist. If you want to know the facts about Romney’s record at Bain, start with the below links.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2839325/posts
http://www.realchange.org/romney.htm#predatory
http://www.realchange.org/romney.htm#money
http://www.buyoutofamerica.com/
What I’d like to know is ...where are all the women who are supposedly out of work in Florida? Foreclosed on? Struggling through tough times?
Do they REALLY feel Romeny is the one to save them? Are they REALLY just voting on looks when their lives are supposedly so bad off?
I don’t get how people can think this way.
However, I just have some inner hunch that Newt is NOT going to do all that badly in Florida. I think the media is lying, and I think he’s going to stay in, no matter what. I just feel it in my gut that he could even win. Maybe I’m wrong ...I just don’t trust the media at this point or the polls. I think the Romney campaign has just paid everyone off to say ANYTHING.
Bonus Reason
Romney is the good grandson.
Don’t believe it. Go Newt Go !
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