Newt should win, but there's a huge problem. If Romney's super pac ads could take Newt down that far in Iowa, inagine what Zero could do to him in the general. I've been all "who really cares about the baggage," but obviously people really do care.
A 27 minute video that most will not watch will not harm Romney. The way to get this guy is to fluster him in the debates. He flusters very eaily & makes an ass out of himself. Not sure why these guys don't pounce on that.