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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: caww

Yeah us too. Psych marathon after supper for my SIL’s birthday and still up watching Psych and following FR.


1,901 posted on 01/03/2012 10:59:44 PM PST by reaganaut (If Romney is a conservative then I'm the frickin Angel Moroni.)
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To: Deo volente

Love it! Romney’s gazzillions against shoestring budget Santorum.....pick up truck and all! This is what great stories are made of!


1,902 posted on 01/03/2012 11:00:13 PM PST by caww
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To: BenKenobi

WT*? Karl Rove: vote for Romney might have been under counted...


1,903 posted on 01/03/2012 11:00:26 PM PST by monkapotamus
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To: BenKenobi

WHOHOO!!! Rock on and Praise God!


1,904 posted on 01/03/2012 11:00:50 PM PST by reaganaut (If Romney is a conservative then I'm the frickin Angel Moroni.)
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To: kabar

So why did Romney endorse McCain over JD Hayworth?

RINOs helping RINOs. :)


1,905 posted on 01/03/2012 11:01:07 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: caww

Santorum is the winner tonight no matter what, if he actually wins the vote, that’s just gravy.


1,906 posted on 01/03/2012 11:01:24 PM PST by dfwgator
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To: RitaOK

HUH????


1,907 posted on 01/03/2012 11:01:43 PM PST by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
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To: dfwgator

Braggin’ rights.


1,908 posted on 01/03/2012 11:01:54 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: thouworm

Huntsman is needed in New Hampshire to take votes from Romney and siphon of lib elite RINO Republican votes up there...he is a useful tool, for now. Plus, his daughters is hot.


1,909 posted on 01/03/2012 11:02:00 PM PST by AmericanInTokyo (If FR slowly morphs from anti-Romney, via rationalizing, into supporting him like McCain, FR is over)
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To: onyx

I turned off the cable coverage and was watching local news that showed Bachmann dancing on the stage with her husband.

It was a little bit on the strange side.


1,910 posted on 01/03/2012 11:02:24 PM PST by berdie
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To: monkapotamus

Yep, they are tabulating the results.

4 votes out of 120k was the difference tonight.


1,911 posted on 01/03/2012 11:03:22 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: Prokopton
"The first indication will be what happens to Santorum's fund raising tomorrow. "

Jan 2, 2011:

Santorum's fundraising soars along with his poll numbers

A senior Santorum adviser tells CNN the campaign raised more money in the last week than they raised on-line the past six months, adding that fundraising is between 300% and 400% higher on a daily basis than it was just ten days ago.

1,912 posted on 01/03/2012 11:03:43 PM PST by thouworm (.)
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To: EDINVA

Cadell said it as if being pro-life hurt Santorum. That wasn’t the case at all. And the homsexual issue wasn’t really a factor in 2006. That election was about Iraq more than anything else.


1,913 posted on 01/03/2012 11:03:45 PM PST by WhistlingPastTheGraveyard (Some men just want to watch the world burn.)
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To: BenKenobi

Hey, Cnn says they are separated by only 4! It was by only ONE a few moments earlier.

ANYONE WATCHING CNN? IT’S BEEN GOOD WITH THIS PAIR SPEAKING FOR THE REPUBLICANS.


1,914 posted on 01/03/2012 11:03:52 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: BenKenobi

Fox now has Santorum up by FOUR votes, but everything is messed up because they now have two counties they were previously reporting at 100% back down in the 90’s.

NY Times has Santorum up by 18 votes.


1,915 posted on 01/03/2012 11:04:30 PM PST by Deo volente (God willing, America will survive this Obamination.)
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To: All
Something really weird going on here... For the last 45 minutes only two precincts remained with 99.9% of the votes in... now it's back to 9 precincts remaining and 99.5% of votes in. Wonder if they are verifying votes or something...

http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.com/data/iowa-caucus/results/

1,916 posted on 01/03/2012 11:05:03 PM PST by Sleeping Freeper
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To: Califreak

You should have been around here on election night 2000. Exhausting.


1,917 posted on 01/03/2012 11:05:48 PM PST by fhayek
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To: Prokopton
" The first indication will be what happens to Santorum's fund raising tomorrow. Conservatives finally have a viable, truly conservative candidate...will they step up? "

He raises at least $ 5 - 7 Million before NH primary.
1,918 posted on 01/03/2012 11:06:41 PM PST by American Constitutionalist (The fool has said in his heart, " there is no GOD " ..)
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To: Sleeping Freeper

Very strange. For the longest time the reporting was that there were only two precincts yet to come in, with Santorum leading by 18 votes.

Now it shows nine precincts outstanding, with Santorum only leading by four votes.

Something is starting to smell very funny here...


1,919 posted on 01/03/2012 11:06:57 PM PST by EternalVigilance (Nutrionally, you are what you eat. Politically, you are who you endorse.)
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To: RitaOK
Can you believe something like 80% of our economy, or more, was/is based on consumerism. Shameful.

And I have to say from the Mall sales over Christmas in our area... consumerism was alive and well....but we're also awake now...at least we know what's at stake and the nation has to fight thru this election to get our man in.

1,920 posted on 01/03/2012 11:06:57 PM PST by caww
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