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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: parksstp; All

It sure does.

Good Night, Everyone! This has been a great thread.

I have more hope tonight that we can beat Obama than I’ve had for months.


1,741 posted on 01/03/2012 10:03:34 PM PST by Palladin (No Newts!)
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To: MaxMax

I thought Mrs. Romney’s introduction was arrogant and presumptuous.


1,742 posted on 01/03/2012 10:03:38 PM PST by Scotswife
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To: Windflier

You too Windflier... God bless... don’t let the (DEM) bedbugs bite!


1,743 posted on 01/03/2012 10:04:00 PM PST by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
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To: altura

I too am VERY disappointed, I simply can not stand Mittens!!!!


1,744 posted on 01/03/2012 10:04:27 PM PST by Kit cat (OBummer must go)
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To: tennmountainman

99% in — Rick ahead by 34.


1,745 posted on 01/03/2012 10:04:31 PM PST by CedarDave
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To: gswilder

I didn’t hear Perry’s speech. I hope it is not the end for him. He had a rough start, but he seemed to be rolling along. This is just one state.


1,746 posted on 01/03/2012 10:04:59 PM PST by World'sGoneInsane (We Can Take OUR Country Back--Perry 2012)
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To: Deo volente

Great picture.Her smile is precious.


1,747 posted on 01/03/2012 10:04:59 PM PST by make no mistake
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To: tcrlaf
There are MANY, MANY more, mostly from CELEBS and Media people. Get ready for the HATE ORGY, folks....

Who said the culture war is over? It's about to get a whole lot hotter.

Watching obama lose will be sweet. Watching him lose to a social conservative will be even sweeter.

1,748 posted on 01/03/2012 10:05:03 PM PST by matt1234 (Bring back the HUAC.)
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To: tennmountainman

Haven’t you learned no matter how unfavorable Newt might “score” he’s already proven he rises again...and sometimes from pretty much the bottom of the pack as he did and that against all odds and without staff....figure that. Reminds me of “Rocky” when all thought he was a done deal...and then there was two and three.

The man is a Newtron Bomb who isn’t about to let the media nor the elites determine his course....he said time and again his campaign would not be traditional and so far it hasn’t been.

Watch out now as they all go into Southern Newt-land!!!

Go Newt Go!!!! and we’ll be going WITH you!!!!


1,749 posted on 01/03/2012 10:05:23 PM PST by caww
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To: EDINVA; VinL; TitansAFC; katiedidit1
Perry said he’s going back to TX to reassess; Newt said he’s going on to NH. I would think, while Romney seems to have NH sewn up, Newt would do well to start his campaign to defeat Romney’s negative advertising in NH before heading to SC. It’d be nice if we could combine the pro’s for Newt and Perry into one person.

That would be IDEAL!

1,750 posted on 01/03/2012 10:05:30 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: Scotswife
"I thought Mrs. Romney’s introduction was arrogant and presumptuous."

I had the same reaction.

1,751 posted on 01/03/2012 10:05:57 PM PST by Think free or die
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To: altura

altura, my friend, it sure sounds like he is leaving the race and it looked liked it for sure, knowing Rick. The buzz about the trip to South Carolina in the morning was over when he said that he was going back to Texas tomorrow, that after the vote count tonight, “to see if there was a path forward.”

Rick is no doubter, and no user of his base of support
(contrary to others) so, we know what this means. We lost a good one if this comes out the way it definitely sounded.

Also, he’s a straight shooter, as you know, and he knows these candidates by now. HIS endorsement is one that should matter to all, and will matter for me. I have to hope it will be Newt. I believe Newt can play the long game if he had money, and take down Romney first and then O.

What do you think? Too soon to think? Hang in there. Love, Rita


1,752 posted on 01/03/2012 10:06:03 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: Deo volente

Great picture!


1,753 posted on 01/03/2012 10:06:49 PM PST by Engraved-on-His-hands
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To: Windcatcher
What the heck kind of speech is this supposed to be? Seems like he’s rambling.

Well he couldn't claim victory, and at the end he said "on to New Hampshire, we have some work to do there." That last phrase brought a smile to my face.

1,754 posted on 01/03/2012 10:06:53 PM PST by CedarDave
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To: RitaOK

Santorum +13.

I want to go to sleep, come on finish this count. It can’t take THAT long.


1,755 posted on 01/03/2012 10:07:24 PM PST by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: RitaOK

I turned off the coverage.

What did Perry say that made it sound like he was dropping out?


1,756 posted on 01/03/2012 10:08:26 PM PST by berdie
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To: Scotswife
I thought Mrs. Romney’s introduction was arrogant and presumptuous.

It was, and not humble in any way. Imo just another beltway wife expecting it's their turn.
I don't care for snob.

1,757 posted on 01/03/2012 10:08:47 PM PST by MaxMax
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To: gov_bean_ counter

HERE HERE! and THERE THERE! ... for a completely on the mark post that recognizes the complete idiocy we are facing.... in re.... there are those so called Republicans who willingly would sacrifice this election for POTUS rather than suffer a conservative.... sad.


1,758 posted on 01/03/2012 10:09:10 PM PST by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
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To: Free Vulcan
There is no country to run to. ......We fight for this one or we go down to Tyranny

author...Free Vulcan

1,759 posted on 01/03/2012 10:09:29 PM PST by caww
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To: onyx; thouworm; antceecee; Windflier

Did he? LOL ...

I bet they had to collar the confetti guy: DON’T! DO IT! ROFL..

Ooh, our Angels ... God bless them.

eD Rollins: “conservatives want a challenger to Mitt Romney”


1,760 posted on 01/03/2012 10:09:35 PM PST by STARWISE (The overlords are in place .. we are a nation under siege .. pray, go Galt & hunker down)
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