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Rasmussen: Romney tops Obama, 45/39; Update: Party affiliation ratio in sample added
Hot Air ^ | 29 Dec 2011 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 12/29/2011 2:48:04 PM PST by mandaladon

Two polls released today show Barack Obama in serious trouble for re-election. Rasmussen has polled Obama head-to-head against various Republican candidates most of the year, and in today’s matchup against Mitt Romney, Obama falls behind among likely voters to the widest margin yet:

Mitt Romney has now jumped to his biggest lead ever over President Obama in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup. It’s also the biggest lead a named Republican candidate has held over the incumbent in Rasmussen Reports surveying to date.The latest national telephone survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters favor the former Massachusetts governor, while 39% prefer the president. Ten percent (10%) like some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

A week ago, Romney trailed Obama 44% to 41%. The week before that, he held a slight 43% to 42% edge over the president. The two candidates have been essentially tied in regular surveys since January, but Romney remains the only GOP hopeful to lead Obama in more than one survey. Despite Romney’s current six-point lead, his latest level of support is in line with the 38% to 45% he has earned in matchups with the president this year. However, Obama’s 39% is a new low: Prior to this survey, his support has ranged from 40% to 46% in matchups with Romney.

It’s Obama’s number that is more significant in these early head-to-head matchups. Republicans are still vigorously contesting a primary, which means Republicans haven’t united behind a candidate in the way Democrats are already lined up behind Obama.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bho2012; obama
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Excellent news!
1 posted on 12/29/2011 2:48:14 PM PST by mandaladon
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To: mandaladon
Obama is losing independents 45/29, while party loyalty on both sides is pretty stable; Romney gets 79/8 among Republicans, while Obama gets 80/11 among Democrat...................This is very significant if it holds..
2 posted on 12/29/2011 2:50:56 PM PST by mandaladon (PalinGenesis)
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To: mandaladon

But just the other day, the MSM was breathless about a poll showing Obama’s job approval rating was sharply increased. How does this square with a poll showing he would lose re-election so decisively????


3 posted on 12/29/2011 2:52:52 PM PST by Dilbert San Diego
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To: mandaladon

Proof positive that the public sees Romney and Obama as basically the same person.


4 posted on 12/29/2011 2:54:47 PM PST by TitansAFC (Mitt Romney gets less bang for the buck than John-Freaking-Huntsman.)
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To: mandaladon

Bad or worse. Not much of a choice.


5 posted on 12/29/2011 3:02:08 PM PST by factoryrat (We are the producers, the creators. Grow it, mine it, build it.)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

I think those numbers didn’t hold. There is a thread here today about the change.


6 posted on 12/29/2011 3:14:06 PM PST by freespirited
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To: TitansAFC

” - - - Proof positive that the public sees Romney and Obama as basically the same person.”

Maybe, or maybe the women voters like Romney’s new, “playfull” hairstyle a little better than his previous, more “Moderate,” slicked-down hairstyle?

BTW, Romney a carefree wildman? Who knew?!!!


7 posted on 12/29/2011 3:16:02 PM PST by Graewoulf (( obama"care" violates the 1890 Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND is illegal by the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Christmas bounce. Happens every 3rd year of a presidents’ term. Every other president since Gallup started polling (Roosevelt) experienced a surge in support to at least 53%. Even Carter, Ford, and Bush Sr. Gallup registered Obama peaking at 48%... now has him back down to 41%.


8 posted on 12/29/2011 3:22:38 PM PST by dangus
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To: freespirited

Unless I bungled the point, Romney is able to better score over Obama because the supporters of the non-Romneys remain unable to coalesce around ONE non-Romney candidate.

Frankly, the modern primary seems to have been successfully co-opted into a divide and conquer process for us, and a straight line advantage for the RINO Establishment. They unite to project their candidate, whom they have drowned in cash, influence and well timed endorsements. We bicker between three or four other candidates, while their guy runs the creases. What a strategy.


9 posted on 12/29/2011 3:27:53 PM PST by RitaOK (wRasmussen- the polling standard for accuracy.)
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To: mandaladon

Yes, the libs are telling us that if we run Romney he will beat Obama!

Isnt that great? We sure hope you don’t run Romney. Even though he is your bast guy, and he would certainly win.

We are so afraid of Romney- gosh please dont run Romney against us- why look he would beat us by 5 % isnt that great?

Gosh... we sure hope you dont run romney


10 posted on 12/29/2011 3:28:20 PM PST by Mr. K (Physically unable to profreed <--- oops, see?)
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To: mandaladon

Yes, the libs are telling us that if we run Romney he will beat Obama!

Isnt that great? We sure hope you don’t run Romney. Even though he is your bast guy, and he would certainly win.

We are so afraid of Romney- gosh please dont run Romney against us- why look he would beat us by 5 % isnt that great?

Gosh... we sure hope you dont run romney


11 posted on 12/29/2011 3:28:33 PM PST by Mr. K (Physically unable to profreed <--- oops, see?)
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To: mandaladon
My dog could beat Obama.

We need to nominate a conservative. Santorum is the last one standing.

12 posted on 12/29/2011 3:33:57 PM PST by Carry_Okie (The RNC would prefer Obama to a conservative nominee.)
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To: mandaladon
Forgot the dog, complete with pig trap appropriate for catching Democrats. Just bait it with free food, add a little "Hog in Heat" and VOILA!!!

At least nobody would kibble about this nominee!

13 posted on 12/29/2011 3:40:38 PM PST by Carry_Okie (The RNC would prefer Obama to a conservative nominee.)
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To: mandaladon

This is good news/bad news. The good news is that a Republican would beat the Kenyan. The bad news is that the Republican is a RINO.


14 posted on 12/29/2011 3:41:01 PM PST by LS
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To: mandaladon
Update III: Rasmussen informs me that the D/R/I in this sample is 33/34/33, which is very close to the 35/35/29 from the midterms.

I doubt the sampling will be same in the 2012 election. Its anybody's guess what it will be, but my guess is that more statist drones will show up than in the midterm.

15 posted on 12/29/2011 3:44:15 PM PST by AndyTheBear
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To: AndyTheBear

i think republicans will be more motivated than democrats in 2012.


16 posted on 12/29/2011 3:47:47 PM PST by Recovering_Democrat
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To: Graewoulf
Article on bottom says Romney's not winning with women in this poll.

Romney trails by six points among women, 40/46, not leads among them.
17 posted on 12/29/2011 3:50:03 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Obama in 2012!)
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To: mandaladon

Wow. No wonder Hilary’s shills are out in force pushing her for VP. If the POTUS and the VPOTUS kill each other who becomes President?


18 posted on 12/29/2011 3:54:18 PM PST by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: Carry_Okie

Is Santorum on the ballots of all the states? Has he missed any deadlines?


19 posted on 12/29/2011 3:57:05 PM PST by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: 1010RD

The Speaker of the House.


20 posted on 12/29/2011 4:00:31 PM PST by JPG (Growing old is mandatory; growing up is optional.)
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