Posted on 11/25/2011 9:27:38 AM PST by Steelfish
Cain’s Assertion That He Could Win Over Black Voters Is Dismissed By Analysts
Vanessa Williams November 24
Herman Cain’s turn atop the polls in the contest for the Republican presidential nomination captured the attention of journalists and pundits and sparked excitement among grass-roots conservative activists.
But is it really possible that he — a black man who overcame poverty in the segregated South to become a wealthy entrepreneur and front-runner in the GOP race — would be the one to bring African American voters back to their original political home?
Cain seems to think so. In a mailer sent to Iowa voters recently, the candidate says “as a descendent of slaves I can lead the Republican party to victory by garnering a large share of the black vote, something that has not been done since Dwight Eisenhower garnered 41 percent of the black vote in 1956.”
It is a proposition that was quickly dismissed by political scholars and analysts, including some members of Cain’s party. Although he has done better than any other black Republican presidential candidate in terms of attracting support, few believe Cain could snare a sizable number of black voters in a general election, especially against President Obama.
“If he’s talking about 41 percent of black voters in the Republican primary, he might be right,” Michael Dawson, an African American political science professor at the University of Chicago, said with a chuckle. But in a general election against President Obama, who got 95 percent of the black vote in 2008 and remains popular among African Americans, Dawson said Cain “would be lucky to get 10 percent” of the black vote.
Besides being remarkable for its optimistic electoral calculation, Cain’s claim is unusual because he has made no special effort to appeal directly to black voters.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
In 04 John Kerry won Michigan with 2,472,007 votes over Bush with 2,306,331 votes. That isn’t a huge spread that couldn’t be overcome (165,676 votes). Its also important to note that we stomped the democrats hard in 2010 and they didn’t pick up a single seat.
I overlook the 08 election simply because it was such a disgusting mess with the world’s most pathetic GOP candidate, rampant fraud, and a democrat portrayed as the messiah.
Things are very different this time including a severe crackdown on fraud, firm ID requirements, redistricting in GOP favor. Obama can’t afford to lose even one midwest state.
Very true. Honest texts 100 years from now will note that 2008 was an election that truly was conducted like a third world regime change.
Make that “dismissed by the straw hat bosses on the dimoKKKRAT plantation”. Those are the ones making the analysis for the msm. Purely BS.
I can think of one: If Larry Sinclair's allegations were proven true beyond a shadow of a doubt. Blacks would abandon Obama in droves, at the very least by sitting out the election.
If Herman Cain wants to “pander” to blacks, he has my blessing if he hammers away at reminding them that illegal immigration harms them most of all.
Great point. And tie it in with union support for those illegals.
Not worth the effort. Most blacks, not all, are utterly brainwahsed if not utterly braindead. Just listen to Sean Hannity’s radio show for 5 minutes if you can...
This is madness.
Herman Cain would not only garner less of the black vote than the other candidates, he would actually do the impossible task of bringing out more black voters for Obama than McCain did.
People who believe otherwise live in a fantasy world with no sense of the mindset of black voters in america today.
Black voters are just going to line-up to vote out the first African-American Democrat to put in a black Republican? Horsefeathers! Obama owns an approval rating is over 91% even TODAY (http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=obama%20approval%20rating%20blacks&source=newssearch&cd=3&ved=0CDgQqQIwAg&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Fblogs%2Fpost-partisan%2Fpost%2Fcain-and-the-black-vote-wishful-thinking%2F2011%2F03%2F04%2FgIQAQQfHlN_blog.html&ei=EtzPTrLEFez22AXxtNG8BQ&usg=AFQjCNFTEUGxoS7qSXJWpe-UZ60Q5oIvlw).
Utterly ridiculous to make this gamble. Bet the nation on a roulette number and you’ll have better odds of being right.
Refresh my memory. What allegations are you referring to?
Obama’s homosexuality.
You are out of your mind.
Two big words. :-)
Yep, write them off.
They aren’t worth the effort or time, as far as I am concerned the only way to really deal with them is to let Mother Nature and Father Time deal with ‘em.
They are lost and not worth finding.
Cain’s Assertion That He Could Win Over Black Voters Is Dismissed By Analysts
That's the real headline.
” People who believe otherwise live in a fantasy world with no sense of the mindset of black voters in america today. “
Gloria Cain is a registered and active Democrat.
If Herman can’t convince her to become a Republican , what shot does he have with millions of strangers ?
Herman himself didn’t see the wisdom of joining the Republican Party until he was 50 and almost out of the business world.
Cain has said he has voted for Democrats in the past and he supported Bill Clinton in 1992.
Cain and the handful of black Republicans are the exception and will never be the rule until blacks themselves
decide the Republican way is the better way.
Black culture despises homosexuality. In my state of Ohio, we had a Constitutional Amendment on the ballot to ban gay marriage. It passed with 68% of the vote total and 90% of the black vote.
Oh, did I mention? In that same election, GW Bush got 18% of the black vote. If not for that, it's likely Kerry would have won the presidency. Bush won Ohio by a total of just over 100,000 votes.
I’d just be happy if blacks would notice which political party was the KKK.
Agreed.
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