Posted on 10/14/2011 9:20:10 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
Despite sweeping pessimism about the nation's fortunes and his own sliding approval ratings, President Obama leads potential Republican rivals Mitt Romney and Rick Perry in hypothetical general-election match-ups, according to a new TIME poll. Obama leads Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who sits atop the GOP presidential field, 46% to 43% among likely voters. The President has opened a double-digit lead over Perry, 50% to 38%, highlighting concerns percolating through the GOP that the Texas governor would face a steep uphill climb should he capture the nomination. Obama also boasts a 49% to 37% edge over businessman Herman Cain, whose strong Tea Party support has propelled him toward the top of Republican ranks in recent weeks.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
DEMOCRATIC PARTY 30%
REPUBLICAN PARTY 17%
TEA PARTY 12%
NONE 35%
OTHER 4%
NO ANSWER/DONT KNOW 2%
1. Most Americans will not start paying attention to the race until next September and are therefore not familiar with any of the Republican contenders. Remember that the race between Reagan and Carter was close into the summer of 1980.
2. The route to the White House lies through Electoral College, so a national poll is not really significant. The election will be decided in about 10 states. The only siginficant polls will be those taken of likely voters in those states.
3. History matters. A President has never been reelected with Gallup's approval numbers at or below 40% and unemployment at or above 9%.
All that being said, I am concerned that many Americans will believe their economic interests will be served by a continuation or expansion of our current spending policies and will therefore vote for the incumbent.
I'd LOVE to be asked this question... :)
people don’t subscribe to any magazines anymore...not just news mags.
Um, yes, Rass does. I was talking about approval rating. Hussein's approval/disapproval rating in this morning's Rasmussen poll is 47A/53D. Considering how awful the economy is and what a miserable failure Obama has been as a president, his polling has been remarkable resilient.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_history
The last election was a toss up and Obama won by your margin. How do you think all the newly unemployed are going to vote? How about all the homeowners who have lost half the equity in their homes thanks to Barney Frank? You under estimate the level of pissed off Americans who were not there when Barry was selling his song and dance....
What happened to the “Media Bias Barf Alert”?
Check out today’s poll at www.gallup.com.
0bama is at 38% approval and 54% disapproval.
I would start a post but too busy with work.
I wanted to say something the moderator would have deleted....
Class warfare poll. Half the population doesn’t pay taxes and the other half does. Going to be a real battle between increasing or reducing government handouts.
Another poster said it right ~ a "Push Poll".
Obama’s main problem is the economy. If Republicans nominate someone unelectable, he could win a second term with a minority of the popular vote. Clinton did it twice in 1992 and 1996. I wouldn’t be so quick to write off an incumbent President.
It's not a problem that 50% aren't paying them.
The original design was for 2% at the top to pay, and for 98% to NOT PAY THEM.
This applies only to FEDERAL INCOME TAXES which simply do not include ALL TAXES.
The 16th amendment has failed. Time to repeal it and try something else.
The REAL poll is when you select the “Most Replied” and someone named “The Truth Czar” takes his own poll!
He says give a thumbs up if you think O’Bozo sucks... And at the the present time, he SUCKS 349 to 109 who thinks he doesn’t!
I don’t think Yahoo is a super-conservative website, is it?
I dont think Yahoo is a super-conservative website, is it?
Not by any stretch....
I agree with you Longbow. Republicans will need to speak to the flakes of the country and include them somehow in the conversation.
In a not totally different matter, that’s why Cain could make the difference.
“All that being said, I am concerned that many Americans will believe their economic interests will be served by a continuation or expansion of our current spending policies and will therefore vote for the incumbent.’
They will not as the economic conditions continue to deteriorate and they lose their jobs.
While I do not have a lot of confidence in the current, dumbed-down, average American voter, I do not believe they are so stupid as to self-immolate by pulling the lever for the Commie Punk again.
Obama won the last election by 7.3% - that was not a tossup.
Many of the unemployed will vote for the man who keeps extending their benefits.
s/
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