Posted on 09/20/2011 11:54:08 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Elizabeth Warren has had an incredibly successful launch to her Senate campaign and actually leads Scott Brown now by a 46-44 margin, erasing what was a 15 point deficit the last time we polled the state in early June.
Warren's gone from 38% name recognition to 62% over the last three months and she's made a good first impression on pretty much everyone who's developed an opinion about her during that period of time. What was a 21/17 favorability rating in June is now 40/22- in other words she's increased the voters with a positive opinion of her by 19%.
The surprising movement toward Warren has a lot to do with her but it also has a lot to do with Scott Brown. We now find a slight plurality of voters in the state disapproving of him- 45%, compared to only 44% approving. We have seen a steady decline in Brown's numbers over the last 9 months. In early December his approval was a +24 spread at 53/29. By June it had declined to a +12 spread at a 48/36. And now it's continued that fall to its current place.
Brown's position has always been a little tenuous as a Republican in a strongly Democratic state, making him very dependent on the support of Obama voters to stay above ground. In June he was at 72/17 with McCain voters and now he's at 74/18, pretty much the same. But with Obama voters he's gone from 35/48 to 27/62, accounting for the entire drop in his overall approval numbers. It's a similar story when you look at the horse race numbers. Last time Brown led Warren 87-6 with McCain voters and now it's 87-9. But with Obama voters Warren's turned what was only a 47-24 lead into a 68-20 one.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
Triple P is a Dem outfit so the poll results are dubious...but having this twit in the senate would not be a good thing.
Bye bye rino.
This one probably will go (D), but to little notice. Brown votes with the dems anyway. Would be nice to keep the numbers, though.
RE: but having this twit in the senate would not be a good thing.
Which twit are you referring to? There are two running :)
It is going to be a rough year to be an incumbent, I don’t care what state you are in..
Make sure you poll only on weekends so all the right demographics are home and not out in their RVs and pleasure boats.....................
Massachusetts is a lost cause and a hopeless case any way you look at it. I don’t buy into the idea that if Brown was more conservative he would do better. Anywhere else, maybe, but not in Nutsachusetts. They are a mini-California.
RE: This one probably will go (D), but to little notice
Obamacare is a big deal and we need Brown there to kill this beast (even if he’s wishy washy on most other issues). Warren will NOT vote to repeal it.
As much as I disagree with Brown on his votes...I hope he can change the way this is going for him. He is a NE Republican from MA...I expected him to be like this. In Texas, we’d have always thought of him as a dem. NE Republicans in Texas are like dems to us.
No way is this poll accurate. Nobody ! Nobody besides the Elite Harvard rump swabs have any idea who she is.
Warrren is running as a populist Dem. She will kill Sen. Brown.
It will be Warren in a walk, as I said from the beginning. (Had to add that.) It’s been ages since Mass. democrats had anyone to be enthused about and now comes the very articulate and opinionated activist, Elizabeth Warren. Brown has only half endeared himself to both parties so Mass voters are going to enjoy someone new who will be “all in” as a traditional democrat. Buh, bye, Brown.
This is one race not to waste your money on. I am from WI and I wasted $100 on a contribution for rino Brown. The RNSCC should spend the money on the GOP leaning and swing state Senate races where we can get a decent conservative. Rino Brown will sell conservatives out at every turn and join some ‘gang’ with other rinos and Dims that will water down or thwart conservative initiatives.
We need conservatives to turn back 0bama’s legislation, rinos just won’t do that.
MA is a hopeless case, politically that is.
Just to review: Brown was swept in with a massive anti-Obamacare surge and that’s what he ran on. Since then, he’s been a RINO, so I’m sure he’s lost some of the support of Republicans. Meanwhile, Obamacare has been quietly buried as everyone waits for the lawsuits, so Brown’s biggest advantage has been nullified.
I’m with ya on that.......hopeless!
Note to the police state, ‘kill’ is a term I used for win election.
In spite of it being a PPP poll, the result is not surprising. Liberals with D after their name beat Liberals with an R after their name nearly every time it happens.
This is Massachusetts we are talking about. If PPP identified her as a Democrat, she is probably going to poll well against Brown the Republican by default.
PPP is a Dem polling firm, but they seems to be fairly accurate from what I've seen. From recent memory they called the Wisconsin recalls almost perfectly (Republicans holding on to the state Senate), showed Turner beating the Democrat in NY by 6, and showed we'd win a blowout election in the recent Nevada special election.
Why vote for a cheap imitation when you can have the real thing...
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