Posted on 09/12/2011 3:01:31 PM PDT by neverdem
This is a survey result that will undoubtedly thrill many Republicans…
Republican Bob Turner is poised to pull a huge upset in the race to replace Anthony Weiner as the Congressman from New York’s 9th Congressional District. He leads Democrat David Weprin 47-41 with Socialist Workers candidate Christopher Hoeppner at 4% and 7% of voters remaining undecided.
Turner’s winning in a heavily Democratic district for two reasons: a huge lead with independents and a large amount of crossover support. He’s ahead by 32 points at 58-26 with voters unaffiliated with either major party. And he’s winning 29% of the Democratic vote, holding Weprin under 60% with voters of his own party, while losing just 10% of Republican partisans.
If Turner wins on Tuesday it will be largely due to the incredible unpopularity of Barack Obama dragging his party down in the district. Obama won 55% there in 2008 but now has a staggeringly bad 31% approval rating, with 56% of voters disapproving of him. It’s a given that Republicans don’t like him but more shocking are his 16% approval rating with independents and the fact that he’s below 50% even with Democrats at 46% approving and 38% disapproving. Obama trails Mitt Romney 46-42 in a hypothetical match up in the district and leads Rick Perry only 44-43.
… but Josh Trevino notes that folks on the Right (myself included) haven’t always had such warm and fuzzy feelings about Public Policy Polling: “Today is the day we conservatives pretend we respect PPP polling, because it brings NY-9 wish fulfillment.” Having said that, we should also acknowledge that polling in special elections like this one is tougher than in a regular election because of the often much-lower turnout.
Over in the Corner, Patrick Brennan notes, “The race has been portrayed as a referendum on Obama, particularly his Israel policy and the national debt. In a heavily Jewish district, Turner has placed much of his hope for a victory on convincing likely voters that he will be a better friend to Israel than his Orthodox Jewish opponent, David Weprin, because of Obama’s cool attitude towards Israel. He has apparently succeeded, leading Weprin by a huge margin, 56 points to 39, among Jewish voters – a worrisome omen for Obama in 2012.”
Easy, Ken, they are John V. Lindsey’s elderly cousins still trying to make liberalism work.
Is there anything other than "hope and change" that Obama offered in 2008? Maybe a long history of associations with left radical extremists? It's just amazing that a purported 53% of the electorate would vote for such a snake oil salesman, many only because of his skin pigmentation.
Problem is that McCain's campaign was neither able nor willing to counterattack effectively.
Be careful what you wish for, a RINO is not necessarily better then a democrat. RINO’s let democrats claim by-partisan support for their leftist agenda, and thus condemn republicans.
If this man is not a real republican, id kind of prefer he lose.
I think you could be fairly confident that a Congressman Turner will support a robust national defense and homeland security policy against Islamic extremism. He would also be in opposition to the 'Rats massive government domestic spending agenda, at least in general, including opposing ObamaCare. That should be enough to prefer him over his 'Rat opponent.
Wonder how many bags of votes will be lost...then suddenly found with all dem votes. I hope the dems can’t steal their way to victory.
“Boca Pembrook Pines - Population 4,386 Jewish Mothers whose children never call.”
I have been involved in elections since 1980 and on election day a lot of times you can get a pretty good idea of how the election turns out.
Have you been walking precincts,working phone banks?
I am happily eating my serving of crow.
I’m shocked that NY-9 went to a GOP candidate.
Waiting for the Reichstag fire now from the pres(id)ent. Heads have to be popping left and right in the white house tonight.
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