Tropical Storm Lee [interests in Louisiana need to check the rainfall forecasts]

It’s a wide system, I think it will be able to push at least an inch or two of rain into east Texas. I know it would be nicer if it took a steady trip across Texas, but it doesn’t look like that’s in the cards.

81 posted on 09/02/2011 1:57:09 PM PDT by dirtboy

To: NautiNurse; dirtboy

Thank you both. My son would be thrilled to get a little bit of that moisture! He would be doubly thrilled NOT to get the wind! :)

82 posted on 09/02/2011 2:05:02 PM PDT by brytlea (Wake me when it's over...)

Tropical Storm Public Advisory
Statement as of 4:00 PM CDT on September 02, 2011
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...Tropical Storm Lee drifting northward toward the southern
Louisiana coast...squalls with heavy rain and gusty winds spreading
inland across much of southeastern and south-central Louisiana...

summary of 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...information

location...27.5n 91.5w
about 185 mi...295 km SW of the mouth of the Mississippi River
about 220 mi...355 km se of Port Arthur Texas
maximum sustained winds...45 mph...75 km/h
present movement...N or 355 degrees at 2 mph...4 km/h
minimum central pressure...1003 mb...29.62 inches

watches and warnings

changes with this advisory...

none

summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Pascagoula Mississippi westward to Sabine Pass Texas...including
the city of New Orleans...Lake Pontchartrain...and Lake Maurepas

a Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within the
next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook

at 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Lee was
located near latitude 27.5 north...longitude 91.5 West. Lee is
drifting toward the north near 2 mph...4 km/h. A slow and
possibly erratic motion toward the northwest or north is expected
tonight and Saturday. On the forecast track...the center of the
tropical storm is expected to approach the coast of southern
Louisiana during the weekend.

Reports from oil rigs and an Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance
aircraft indicate maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45
mph...75 km/h...with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is
forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 200 miles...325
km...mainly northeast through southeast of the center. A sustained
wind of 60 mph was recently observed on an oil rig located about 65
miles south of the mouth of Mississippi River at an altitude a few
hundred feet above the ocean surface.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on reports from nearby
oil rigs is 1003 mb...29.62 inches.

Hazards affecting land

rainfall...Tropical Storm Lee is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over southern Louisiana...southern
Mississippi...and southern Alabama through Sunday...with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. These rains are expected to
cause extensive flooding...especially in urban areas. Rainfall
amounts of 4 to 8 inches will be possible over the Florida
Panhandle through Sunday.

Storm surge...a storm surge will raise water levels by as much as
2 to 4 feet above ground level along the northern Gulf Coast within
the Tropical Storm Warning area. Elevated water levels are also
possible east of the warning area over coastal portions of Alabama
and the Florida Panhandle resulting in minor coastal flooding
within these areas. See products issued by local National Weather
Service forecast offices for more details.

Wind...tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area this evening...making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.

Tornadoes...isolated tornadoes are possible tonight over portions of
southern Louisiana and extreme southern Mississippi.

83 posted on 09/02/2011 2:05:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Drink good coffee. You can sleep when you are dead.)

About 60 miles southwest of New Orleans, constant moderate to light rain, winds about 25 to 30 MPH, just had my first power glitch about 15 minutes ago.

Hope that was just a random glitch somewhere in the grid and not due to the weather.

84 posted on 09/02/2011 2:16:52 PM PDT by The Cajun (Palin, Free Republic, Mark Levin, Rush, Hannity......Nuff said.)

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2011/09/rainfall_in_advance_of_tropica.html
Rainfall in advance of Tropical Storm Lee forces road closures in Lacombe

85 posted on 09/02/2011 3:50:54 PM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)

We need to keep an eye on Katia too....she’s has the potential to be bothersome.....about 8 days from now.

86 posted on 09/02/2011 4:38:42 PM PDT by Guenevere (....)

This thing has really spread out today and is huge, geographically - the rain goes from Louisiana all the way down to the Yucatan:

I can only wonder what this could have done parked over Texas.

87 posted on 09/02/2011 4:41:17 PM PDT by dirtboy

I suspect that if it were parked over the dust bowl called Texas it would die a rapid death.

88 posted on 09/02/2011 5:40:32 PM PDT by Ingtar (Together we go broke (from a Pookie18 post))

My mom and dad live in Georgetown, TX - and TS Hermine dumped 15 inches of rain on them in last year's otherwise drought.

Tropical storms can make their own weather.

89 posted on 09/02/2011 5:47:27 PM PDT by dirtboy

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2011/09/tropical_storm_lee_prompts_tor.html

Tropical Storm Lee prompts tornado warnings for much of the New Orleans area this morning
Published: Saturday, September 03, 2011, 6:26 AM Updated: Saturday, September 03, 2011, 6:30 AM
By Mark Schleifstein, The Times-Picayune

Much of the New Orleans area is under a tornado warning this morning, as rainbands from approaching Tropical Storm Lee has produced a series of severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, the National Weather Service said.

Individual warnings still in effect cover western St. Bernard, northwestern Plaquemines, Jefferson, St. Charles, and Central Lafourche parishes and southwestern New Orleans; northern St. Tammany and south central Washington parishes; and northern St. John, Livingston and southern Tangipahoa parishes.

Meteorologists detected a tornado near Chalmette at 5:51 a.m. moving northwest at 50 mph; another 12 miles north of LaPlace moving northwest at 35 mph at 5:55 a.m.; and a third possible tornado near Kiln, Miss., at 6:14 a.m.

Numerous additional tornado warnings have been issued overnight. In Metairie, the Jefferson Parish emergency alert system called registered homeowners at about 5:25 a.m. about one such report.

Most of these possible tornadoes are embedded in heavy rainfall, and may not be readily visible.

90 posted on 09/03/2011 4:45:58 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)

Lots of rain and wind this morning, passing in the typical bands. Few miles north of Baton Rouge here.

91 posted on 09/03/2011 4:59:32 AM PDT by trillabodilla (Jesus Saves)

To: trillabodilla

Stay alert for those tornadoes.

92 posted on 09/03/2011 5:27:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Drink good coffee. You can sleep when you are dead.)

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2011/09/tropical_storm_lee_prompts_fla.html
Tropical Storm Lee prompts tornado, flash flood warnings for St. Tammany Parish, street flooding widespread elsewhere in New Orleans area

93 posted on 09/03/2011 6:47:21 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)

To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...

...Lee approaching Atchafalaya Bay LA...heavy rains...strong gusty
winds...and possible tornadoes lashing southeastern Louisiana...
Max sustained winds 60 mph, 993mb
Creeping N at 6mph
Rainfall amounts up to 7 inches have occurred thus far across
portions of southeastern Louisiana.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

94 posted on 09/03/2011 8:18:33 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Drink good coffee. You can sleep when you are dead.)

We've been getting winds and thundershowers in the Redneck Riviera (Northwest Florida). Nothing really bad.

95 posted on 09/03/2011 8:23:30 AM PDT by darkwing104 (Let's get dangerous)

http://photos.nola.com/4500/category/weather/index.html
Photos from the Times-Picayune - NOLA.com

96 posted on 09/03/2011 8:35:28 AM PDT by Liberty Valance (Keep a simple manner for a happy life :o)

I shouldn't laugh but I have a friend who flew from his condo in SoBe to his north Jersey home for the earthquake, traveled down to his house in Long beach Island just in time for Irene ... and landed in New Orleans on Thursday

He's either become a secret agent for FEMA or someone to consult before scheduling a vacation

97 posted on 09/03/2011 8:44:18 AM PDT by Elle Bee

Steady drizzle here in Mobile interrupted by an occassional heavy downpour. It's starting to get pretty soggy here now. I hear heavy thunder way off in the distance from time to time.

Thanks for your reporting, NN.

98 posted on 09/03/2011 8:46:11 AM PDT by blam

Nice steady soft rain here on the western fringe of the storm in SE Texas. Haven’t seen it this cool in these parts since probably June

99 posted on 09/03/2011 8:54:58 AM PDT by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)

Temp 78.8 Winds NNE 20-25 mph

100 posted on 09/03/2011 8:57:41 AM PDT by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)

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