I wasn’t surprised Clinton won in 1992. Disappointed? Yes. Surprised? No.
I wasn’t surprised he won again in 1996. Disappointed? Yes. Surprised? No.
I wasn’t surprised Obama won in 2008. Disappointed? Definitely. Surprised? No.
I will be very, very, very, very surprised if Obama wins this time around. I know people are stupid (they elected him the first time around) but I will be thunderstruck if they are THAT stupid!!
How did he calculate 1992? Perot was a wild card that siphoned off votes from Bush mostly. And took 17% total. And Clinton won by default, with a princely 43% of the vote. Not that Bush’s 35.5% was stellar. But figuring in unhappy repubs voting for a fringe candidate, in my estimation without Perot, Bush would have taken Clinton in a squeaker. 1996 was a no-brainer for Clinton. I think this guy is lucky with his predictions, not good. Agree with 2000. How could you predict essentially a tie vote?