How did he calculate 1992? Perot was a wild card that siphoned off votes from Bush mostly. And took 17% total. And Clinton won by default, with a princely 43% of the vote. Not that Bush’s 35.5% was stellar. But figuring in unhappy repubs voting for a fringe candidate, in my estimation without Perot, Bush would have taken Clinton in a squeaker. 1996 was a no-brainer for Clinton. I think this guy is lucky with his predictions, not good. Agree with 2000. How could you predict essentially a tie vote?
Right and what about 1980? Was he not in the biz or did he erroneously predict Carter?
If so, this is about the most analogous situation with a completely failed lib running against a conservative (we think) so he will be wrong AGAIN!