Posted on 08/23/2011 8:35:37 AM PDT by TSgt
President Obama is statistically tied with each of four named Republican presidential candidates in the latest Gallup poll asking which candidate voters would choose if the election were held today. Among independent voters, the only candidate Mr. Obama beats is Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann.
Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney's suport was strongest, garnering 48 percent compared with Mr. Obama's 46 percent of registered voters asked.
Rick Perry, who announced his candidacy less than two weeks ago, tied Mr. Obama with 47 percent each.
Among registered voters, the president scored higher than Bachmann and Rep. Ron Paul, though both of those differences were still within the margin of error for the poll conducted August 17-18. Against Paul's 45 percent, Mr. Obama took 47 percent and compared to Bachmann's 44 percent, Mr. Obama garnered 48 percent.
Among independents, who are widely seen as the deciding factor in the actual election, Mr. Obama fared slightly worse. Romney garned 47 percent to Mr. Obama's 44 percent, while Perry took 46 percent to Mr. Obama's 44 percent.
Paul took 46 percent of independents versus Mr. Obama's 43 percent. Bachmann was the only candidate to lose among independents to Mr. Obama, who took 48 percent against the Minnesota Republican's 42 percent.
CBSNews.com special report: Election 2012
"Gallup research shows that these types of election measures at this stage in the campaign are not highly stable, and one can expect changes in the relative positioning of Obama and various GOP candidates in the months ahead," the polling organization said.
"With the first official votes for the Republican nomination more than five months away, and with the very real possibility that GOP candidates such as Sarah Palin, Rudy Giuliani, and George Pataki may jump into the race, much could still change as the election process unfolds," Gallup added, noting that Texas Governor George W. Bush led Vice President Al Gore 55 percent to 41 percent in August 1999. Gore garnered a slightly higher national popular vote total than Bush in the 2000 election.
The poll, conducted by telephone, of 1,026 adults, including 879 registered voters, has a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.
That’s why I get so tired of hearing “Who can win”. Just about any of them can win.
Its a real similar situation to the one that gave us Reagan. For once the conservatives didn’t have to bite their tongues and the indies couldn’t vote for Carter.
Give the people a real conservative choice and the independent voters will vote conservative or stay home, but they won’t vote for the marxist.
Some of my extended yellow-dog-Democrat family members have recently stated they would vote for Perry or whoever runs against Obama.
I believe Obama is landslideable...
I’m not even sure Obama can carry Michigan this time around.
NY, California, and Illinois look like sure bets but he’ll need a hell of a lot more than that.
This is good news and bad news. We CAN NOT let Romney be our nominee. I can vote for ANY of the others but I will not willingly participate the election of a liberal fraud like Mitt Romney.
It is actually worse for Obie than these numbers project.
And this is a poll of Registered voters. Imagine how bad his number are in the Likely Voter polls. They have to be drinking the Maloxx right out of the bottle today at the Democrat Party HQ
“Bachmann was the only candidate to lose among independents to Mr. Obama”
And that is quite damning for her.
It’s gallup, not cbs.
His only plus is that he is far better than B. Hussein Obama.
He’s going to win 13 to 15 states and lose the electorals badly. The GOP candidate could take up to 330 electoral votes.
The first poll(s) from the MSM will show Palin being defeated fortyleven to one by Nobama. Later polls will come closer to telling the true story. But remember the only one that REALLY counts is the one in November 2012.
ditto.
45% strongly disapprove in other polls, yet he is getting 46% of the vote?
I think not.
I’m curious. Why do some many people here hate that Ron Paul guy? Last week I heard him being interviewed about government spending and he seemed pretty conservative to me.
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