| This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies. |
|
Locked on 08/26/2011 10:04:55 AM PDT by Sidebar Moderator, reason:
New thread up. |
Posted on 08/20/2011 4:22:03 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Irene has developed from Invest 97 in the Western Atlantic Ocean, east of the Leeward Islands.
Buoy Data:
Caribbean Sea
Florida
Each run of the forecast models seems to take it farther east. I’m thinking the eye isn’t going to make landfall.
Question for you, my good FRiend:
#1 son is at Myrtle Beach and he e-mailed about some big waves. Is it even possible that the surf could be affected that far away at this time?
Thanks. He’s hoping they can hang in until Friday. Last summer fling before his school begins.
I would hope they would think to do that anyway........
@BigJoeBastardi Joe Bastardi
IRENE EXPLODING! PRESSURE DOWN NEAR 965. NOW A POWER RATING OF 5.5 OUT OF 10 BASTARDI SCALE ( pressure factors into true strength)
14 minutes ago via web
@BigJoeBastardi Joe Bastardi
Should deliver hurricane force winds in all states NC to Maine
15 minutes ago via web
I agree about each update taking it further to the east. My whole family is on the northern end of the Outer Banks and in Norfolk, so I’m on pins and needles (I’m outside of Columbia, SC). My brother’s place is right on Currituck Sound.
Any Freeper prayer warriors on this thread, I’d sure appreciate your prayers that this thing turns out to sea, not just for my family but for all those that are in the path.
11PM update should be packed with info. Both NOAA2 and AF302 hunting the hurricane tonight.
Excellent maps!
Irene is taking a peek at us right now, still headed @ 295. If she don’t turn real soon , Floridians might need a stick and a spoon to clean up with.
Nice eye!
I’m calling a perfect buzz saw shape by this time tomorrow.
The NOAA plane actually had found higher winds than the AF plane. She’s back up to Cat 2, at least.
Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC)
Transmitted: 24th day of the month at 00:30Z
Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF)
Storm Number: 09
Storm Name: Irene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 10
Storm Number & Year: 09L in 2011
Observation Number: 20
A. Time of Center Fix: 24th day of the month at 0:06Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 21°3’N 71°56’W (21.05N 71.9333W)
B. Center Fix Location: 59 miles (94 km) to the WSW (241°) from Cockburn Town, Turks and Caicos Islands (GBR).
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available
D & E. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: Not Available
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 148° at 101kts (From the SSE at ~ 116.2mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 28 nautical miles (32 statute miles) to the ENE (57°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 968mb (28.59 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 14°C (57°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,448m (8,031ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 20°C (68°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,438m (7,999ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 14°C (57°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Open in the southwest
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: Other - Not surface, 1500ft, 925mb (if vortex is newer than about mid 90’s; see note for more), 850mb, 700mb, 500mb, 400mb, 300mb or 200mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 101kts (~ 116.2mph) in the northwest quadrant at 0:01Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: 750mb
Hurricane force winds extend 40 miles from the center...Tropical Storm
force winds extend 205 miles from the storm center.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
They must be picking up on something that the others aren't.
Hope they are just *west* outters.
Back to a cat II,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Full Advisory:
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
200 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011
...IRENE STRENGTHENING...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* THE SOUTHEASTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...
AND IRENE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTERS WAS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
STORM SURGE...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF
IRENE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS
BY AS MUCH AS 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OVER THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND BY AS MUCH AS 5 TO 8 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE
WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH IRENE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE BAHAMAS...AND
THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
NEXT ADVISORY
$$
...Irene continues to strengthen as it pounds the southeastern Bahamas...will likely become a major hurricane later today...
summary of 500 am EDT...0900 UTC...information ---------------------------------------------- location...21.6n 72.9w about 370 mi...595 km se of Nassau about 955 mi...1535 km S of Cape Hatteras North Carolina maximum sustained winds...110 mph...175 km/h present movement...WNW or 295 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/h minimum central pressure...962 mb...28.41 inches -------------
next intermediate advisory...800 am EDT. Next complete advisory...1100 am EDT.
$$ Forecaster Pasch/Kimberlain
Good morning NN, been up most of the night watchin the storm. I ate three chilli dogs before I went to bed last night so I been up with a case of indigestion.
I hope you feel better soon! LOL—that ALL CAPS advisory gave me an early case of eye strain this morning!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
