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Posted on 08/20/2011 4:22:03 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Irene has developed from Invest 97 in the Western Atlantic Ocean, east of the Leeward Islands.
Buoy Data:
Caribbean Sea
Florida
Looks like it will miss the Gulf entirely, or so it seems at the moment.
This storm is a challenge for forecasting...compounded by the potential for evacuations from the Keys and perhaps all FL Atlantic coastal areas. Interaction with land (or lack of it) from Puerto Rico to Hispaniola to the Florida Peninsula will have considerable impact on the storm’s intensity potential. SST in the Florida Straits > 85ºF.
I don’t subscribe to Cosgrove’s newsletter. No reason in particular except inadequate time to review any more resources.
Thanks! I didn’t know about the Gulf, I thought the track was shifting east only. Definitely a good idea to stock up on the essentials in South FL!
Yikes the NHC track forecast(as of 11pm on 08-21-2011)is of serious concern(I live in Jacksonville Fla)...still days away to get ready for whatever happens or not. Prayers to all impacted already by Irene and those still in danger....
Sustained winds 75 mph, 987 mb
Moving WNW at 12 mph
Heads up FL, GA, SC
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
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You’re just about outside of the cone. Congrats!
Made it all the way to the letter ‘I’ before we got to a minimal hurricane...
I trailer mine now. Going down to the dock in the middle of the night to do storm checks got old. Docks are tricky in storms. Too many variables for the boat to be damaged. I used to put mine out at mooring, with extra scope if I couldn’t pull it.
plus the local politicos will evacuate the the keys (right into the path of the storm) really putting a strain on everyone
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2011 is a busy season. The notoriously busy 2005 season had its “J” storm Jose during the same dates as this season’s Irene. Of note, the 2011 season uses the same storm names as the 2005 season, except for the monsters whose names were retired (Dennis, Katrina, Rita, Stan, Wilma)
Are you serious? Evacuate the Keys even if outside the Cone of Death? Sending a caravan of tourists toward the path of the storm doesn’t seem very smart. Does evacuation qualify for extra state/federal funding even if not necessary?
We had a category 1 hug the shoreline..David....back in 1979.....it was scary enough.
We stayed even when many decided to leave....and the hurricane spawned a tornado just a few blocks from our home.
The problem with Irene....no one knows quite how strong or how close...
..the local reports are all about the schools and what to do..
...evacuations can't happen at the last minute...
..logistics would be horrendous, esp with our beachside residents..
..all those folks trying to get up I95...
..my dad is under hospice care in a nursing home--needs round the clock care..
..the home can only handle a Cat1...
..anything else and all the residents must be moved!
...Sure hope we get stonger indications of what Irene will do.
I certainly understand your dilemma. Expect South Florida watches to begin by Tuesday evening if the current storm track holds true. Hang in there.
Naturally, I’m heading to Jacksonville Thursday! After hurricane Jeanne a few years ago, I vowed to never approach Florida again when a hurricane was coming. I should quit saying ‘never’.
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