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Sarah Palin's Mike Huckabee problem
WaPo ^ | 6:00 AM ET, 11/23/2010 | By Aaron Blake and Felicia Sonmez

Posted on 11/23/2010 8:14:30 AM PST by onyx

1. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee said Monday that Sarah Palin might well "run away" with the Republican nomination for president.

It's funny Huckabee should say such a thing, because he's got a lot of say over whether she does just that. And it has to do with whether he even runs in the first place.

As potential 2012 candidates weigh their prospects and determine their plans for the next presidential race, one thing is clear: that Huckabee and Palin inhabit largely the same space -- i.e. they each would perform well without the other, but they might undercut each other if they are in the same race.

There is currently a four-candidate top-tier consisting of Palin, Huckabee, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. And indeed, a new Quinnipiac University poll on Monday showed the four of them all huddled between 15 and 19 percent of the vote.

But while Huckabee and Gingrich have pretty broad support, the base of support for Huckabee and Palin is readily apparent, and for both of them, it starts with born-again evangelicals. The two of them combine for 46 percent of that vote, compared to just 26 percent for Gingrich and Romney. Palin and Huckabee are also the top two vote-getters among women and people without college degrees.

So why is that important? Because if any of the four frontrunners seems least likely to run for president, it would be Huckabee. And, if he doesn't take the plunge, where is his 26 percent share of evangelicals going to go? Where is his 18 percent share of women going? Who gets his 17 percent share of those without college degrees?

The obvious answer to all three of those questions is Palin.

(Excerpt) Read more at voices.washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: huckabee; palin; palin2012; romney; romneydirtytrick; romneyfakepoll; stenchofromney; tiresome
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To: onyx
This is the second article of its kind, pitting Huckabee against Palin. Something's up.

It's just guys trying to read tea leaves and sound like they're politically savvy. They're trying to create a horse race, probably, and they've only got a straw-man idea of the demographics they say are in play.

I seriously doubt Huckabee can come close to contending with Palin in the demographics in question. And I tend to doubt that they're the key to doing well in the primaries in any case.

41 posted on 11/23/2010 8:34:07 AM PST by r9etb
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To: KC_Conspirator

Right. Frum couldn’t be more transparent if he tried and the WaPo is 24/7 democrat...lol.


42 posted on 11/23/2010 8:34:14 AM PST by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: onyx
Huckabee has a "soft on killers" problem. He will not get a pass on pardoning that POS.

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

43 posted on 11/23/2010 8:34:46 AM PST by CajunConservative (0, we'll stop treating you like a dog, when you stop treating us like a hydrant.)
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To: gov_bean_ counter

Interesting that all of a sudden he’s on several Fox shows. He’s revving-up for something.


44 posted on 11/23/2010 8:35:47 AM PST by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: onyx

It looks to me that the MSM is trying to encourage Huckster
to run, thereby splitting the Christian block, allowing for
the Mormon with perfect hair and no principles to get the
the win. IMO


45 posted on 11/23/2010 8:35:52 AM PST by Doulos1 (Bitter Clinger Forever!)
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To: medscribe
Huckabee is DOA in the 2012 race. Think pardons/paroles problem.

Forget that. The guy's a goober, and in a race where one of the opponents is a certified celebrity, that's enough to rule him out.

46 posted on 11/23/2010 8:36:18 AM PST by r9etb
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To: gov_bean_ counter

“Saw the Huckster on Greta’s show last night. Felt like I needed a shower. He just gives me the creeps...”

Did you catch the clip of the Huckster with Whoopi?

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2630888/posts


47 posted on 11/23/2010 8:37:00 AM PST by maggief
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To: Psalm 144

Oh, you mean that goofball son that strangled the stray dog by hanging it? UGH. Sickening.


48 posted on 11/23/2010 8:37:10 AM PST by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: onyx

Palin/Gingrich or Gingrich/Palin?

What about Thune? Rubio? The governor of South Carolina? DeMint?

There are a lot of possibles out there.


49 posted on 11/23/2010 8:38:19 AM PST by ZULU (No nation which tried to tolerate Islam escaped Islamization.)
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To: wolfman23601

You’re right. There is a distinction and her base is a lot wider and she has Tea Party patriots. He can talk pro-life, but she lives it.


50 posted on 11/23/2010 8:39:29 AM PST by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: onyx
The MSM is now promoting Huckabee as a way to attack Sarah Palin. The MSM is always attacking Sarah Palin but that is not new. The MSM is now pushing Huckabee as a way to attack Sarah. The question is how much is Huckabee behind this.
51 posted on 11/23/2010 8:39:38 AM PST by detective
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To: MBB1984
I am no fan of the Huckster, but a recent poll just out had Huckster doing better than Palin in a hypothetical race against Obama.

A March, 1980 Harris poll had undeclared candidate Gerald Ford beating Jimmy Carter while Ronald Reagan was lagging behind Carter by 20+ points. Ford was smart enough to make the right decision not to get into the race late despite the media swooning over him. We'll see how wise Huck is.

Matchup polls this far out mean nothing, especially in today's environment where the lying, media whores are trying to push the narrative like they are. Nobody's even declared yet.

52 posted on 11/23/2010 8:40:19 AM PST by Al B.
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To: onyx

Does Gingrich pay for these “placements”?

Why is he even on the list? No executive experience and a personal life that ideally suits a Democrat.


53 posted on 11/23/2010 8:42:04 AM PST by 1010RD (First Do No Harm)
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To: Dante3

He has presidential ambitions, but who’s going to contribute millions to fund his campaign when he couldn’t raise money in’08 against a weak field?


54 posted on 11/23/2010 8:42:31 AM PST by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: Al B.

Did’nt the media still get Anderson to run in 1980?


55 posted on 11/23/2010 8:43:00 AM PST by KC_Conspirator
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To: maggief
That Huck is Joy Behar’s favorite Republican tells me just about all I need to know...
56 posted on 11/23/2010 8:45:10 AM PST by gov_bean_ counter ( I can see 2012 from my cubicle...)
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To: onyx

Yes. It was worse than that, too. From psych and criminology perspectives, this is really, really bad stuff.

Most people will focus on his amnesty and pardon & parole policies, but the son’s disturbed behavior is worse in some ways.


57 posted on 11/23/2010 8:45:13 AM PST by Psalm 144
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To: Clyde5445

I’m with you, Clyde5445. I will not vote for Romney under any circumstances, and I don’t think I could vote for Huckabee either. I’d really have to *think* about it.


58 posted on 11/23/2010 8:45:28 AM PST by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: Pan_Yan

Exactly. When “None of the Above” is the winner it’s time to get a new set of candidates.

What’s with all the retreads?

The ideal GOP candidates need solid (not perfect) conservative credentials, executive experience in office (governor of a large and dynamic state preferred) and business experience if possible.

The truth of the matter is you aren’t electing a person, but their team. Who’ll be on that team and what has the person done with that team?


59 posted on 11/23/2010 8:47:00 AM PST by 1010RD (First Do No Harm)
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To: Psalm 144

Sorry, but when I see “that” family picture, the only thing missing is Arnold the pig...


60 posted on 11/23/2010 8:49:44 AM PST by gov_bean_ counter ( I can see 2012 from my cubicle...)
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