Posted on 11/03/2010 2:03:15 AM PDT by Lexinom
I put some effort into compiling this data and hope it may help prove, with hard data, that the Nevada "election" was not a one-legal-citizen, one-vote affair. I believe the Angle campaign has a case based on a comparison of the accuracy of polling of other races with that of their own, where the result was well outside the MOE of an aggregate of polls. Off one pull fine. Off seven by a wide margin, not kosher.
The first data points (EXHIBIT A) are from a sampling of races and the poll aggregates leading up to election day.
The second set of data points (EXHIBIT B) represent the polling for the Nevada race and shows a great deviation not only outside of the consistently polled trends but well beyond the margin of error of multiple, agreeing polls. I think the Angle campaign may have a case, and it's critical, if nothing else, that they use this golden opportunity before them to begin cleaning up the corruption that hampers the democratic process and disenfranchises thousands of legal citizens. PLEASE... Move forward with this!
EXHIBIT A - ACCURATE POLLING IN RACES FROM 2 NOVEMBER 2010(*)
Toomey/Sestak RCP Average 10/24 - 10/31 -- 49.5 45.0 Toomey +4.5 PPP (D) 10/30 - 10/31 772 LV 51 46 Toomey +5 Morning Call Tracking 10/28 - 10/31 474 LV 48 44 Toomey +4 Quinnipiac 10/25 - 10/30 1244 LV 50 45 Toomey +5 Rasmussen Reports 10/28 - 10/28 750 LV 50 46 Toomey +4 McClatchy/Marist 10/26 - 10/28 461 LV 52 45 Toomey +7 Susquehanna 10/24 - 10/27 800 LV 46 44 Toomey +2Toomey won by 2%.
Boxer/Fiorina race RCP Average 10/26 - 10/31 -- 48.3 43.3 Boxer +5.0 PPP (D) 10/29 - 10/31 882 LV 50 46 Boxer +4 SurveyUSA 10/26 - 10/31 587 LV 46 38 Boxer +8 Rasmussen Reports 10/27 - 10/27 750 LV 49 46 Boxer +3"The AP called the race as Boxer took a lead of 48 percent to 46 percent, with 15 percent of precincts reporting."
Rubio/Crist/Meek RCP Average 10/25 - 10/31 -- 47.0 30.0 19.2 Rubio +17.0 PPP (D) 10/30 - 10/31 773 LV 47 30 21 Rubio +17 Sunshine State News/VSS 10/29 - 10/31 1527 LV 48 31 20 Rubio +17 Quinnipiac 10/25 - 10/31 925 LV 45 31 18 Rubio +14 Rasmussen Reports 10/27 - 10/27 750 LV 50 30 16 Rubio +20 Mason-Dixon 10/25 - 10/27 625 LV 45 28 21 Rubio +17Rubio won by 19%.
Marco Rubio REP 2,604,892 (49.00%) Kendrick B. Meek DEM 1,070,242 (20.13%)
Kirk/Giannoulias RCP Average 10/18 - 10/31 -- 44.8 41.5 Kirk +3.3 PPP (D) 10/30 - 10/31 814 LV 46 42 Kirk +4 FOX News/POR-Rasmussen 10/30 - 10/30 1000 LV 46 42 Kirk +4 Chicago Tribune 10/18 - 10/22 700 LV 44 41 Kirk +3 Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon 10/18 - 10/20 625 LV 43 41 Kirk +2Kirk won by 2%.
Kirk (R) 1,749,941 48.4% Giannoulias (D) 1,667,527 46.1%( source)
Blumenthal/ McMahonRCP Average 10/24 - 10/31 53.0 44.3 Blumenthal +8.7 Rasmussen Reports 10/31 - 10/31 750 LV 53 46 Blumenthal +7 Quinnipiac 10/25 - 10/31 930 LV 53 44 Blumenthal +9 PPP (D) 10/27 - 10/29 759 LV 54 43 Blumenthal +11 CT Capitol Report/MRG 10/24 - 10/26 1846 LV 52 44 Blumenthal +8Blumenthal by 8%
Johnson/Feingold RCP Average 10/25 - 10/28 52.7 45.0 Johnson +7.7 McClatchy/Marist 10/26 - 10/28 491 LV 52 45 Johnson +7 PPP (D) 10/26 - 10/28 1372 LV 53 44 Johnson +9 Rasmussen Reports 10/25 - 10/25 750 LV 53 46 Johnson +7Johnson by 5%
Coons/ODonnell RCP Average 10/14 - 10/27 53.0 39.0 Coons +14.0 Monmouth University 10/25 - 10/27 1171 LV 51 41 Coons +10 Fairleigh Dickinson 10/20 - 10/26 797 LV 57 36 Coons +21 Rasmussen Reports 10/14 - 10/14 500 LV 51 40 Coons +11Coons by 16%
Burr/Marshall RCP Average 10/12 - 10/31 50.3 37.5 Burr +12.8 PPP (D) 10/29 - 10/31 847 LV 52 40 Burr +12 SurveyUSA 10/22 - 10/25 590 LV 53 38 Burr +15 Civitas (R) 10/18 - 10/20 600 LV 44 34 Burr +10 Rasmussen Reports 10/12 - 10/12 500 LV 52 38 Burr +14Burr by 12%
These demonstrate the veracity of the polling mechanisms. All margin of victories closely matched the leadup polling.
EXHIBIT B: POLLING AND RESULT OF NEVADA SENATE RACE, 2 NOVEMBER 2010(*)
RCP Average 10/25 - 10/31 48.0 45.3 Angle +2.7 --------------------------------------------------------------- PPP (D) 10/30 - 10/31 682 LV 47 46 Angle +1 FOX News/POR-Rasmussen 10/30 - 10/30 1000 LV 48 45 Angle +3 LVRJ/Mason-Dixon 10/25 - 10/27 625 LV 49 45 Angle +4 Rasmussen Reports 10/25 - 10/25 750 LV 49 45 Angle +4 CNN/Time 10/20 - 10/26 773 LV 49 45 Angle +4 Rasmussen Reports 10/17 - 10/17 750 LV 50 47 Angle +3 LVRJ/Mason-Dixon 10/11 - 10/12 625 LV 48 46 Angle +2 Rasmussen Reports 10/11 - 10/11 750 LV 49 48 Angle +1<
Result: Angle -5 ( source )
Counted Ballots 11/2 45 50 Angle -5
7 polls by professional and reputable pollsters are off by an average of 7.7% And we are to lend credibility to this result? Not one poll, not two. SEVEN, each with a typically small MOE.
It's in Sharron's hands at this moment, but from what I've seen in the past - Rossi/Gregoire (2004) was enough. I say Franken/Coleman (2008) - was enough to convince me of enough.
It's time for accountability and action.
*All polls in this and previous posts by lexinom and Black_Shark are from Real Clear Politics. All credit is to be given to them and their team for compiling this data. We are just copying it here for evidence.
It should be readily apparent that Angle's race outcome not only did not match multiple polls in general agreement leading up to the election, but deviated by several times the margin of error!
Questions to answer: * Who are the right people to run with this? * Who holds those responsible for this accountable? * How is that done?
This is our chance to do something more than simply complain about unfair elections. We have hard data backing us up. Action must be taken. Harmed parties need to see this grotesque discrepancy between Sharron Angle's race and several other presumably unmolested races.
Ideas? Comments? Analysis? Time is of the essence!
Thanks for your help! Here we are. Let’s hope it gets seen and gets some input.
I’d start by contacting fox news. They must have an email address on the screen right now.
Nevada Election Fraud???? Interesting compilation of numbers here...
She’s conceded, hasn’t she? I wish they’d just wait for all the votes to be counted before they concede. Reid apparently won in Las Vegas’ county which is also on the border of two states. Probably bussed in some spare votes.
Maybe this is what they were up to during that sudden power failure.
It’s called voter fraud. The local SEIU union added votes to the D column and/or subtracted votes to the R column. The DNC injected $1MM into Nevada on Monday and there are some rich folks there now.
They are going to say, that it was a matter of them gettin out the vote....
I’m looking at the desparity between the no of votes for governor and the number cast for senate race.
17,000 right?
“Shes conceded, hasnt she?”
She did appear and talk to her supporters, but there’s some question as to whether it was a classical concession speech. Did she actually declare dingy harry the winner, or say the words “I concede?” We’re hoping she wakes up tomorrow and is prepared to go to the mat with the RATS over voter fraud, SEIU involvement in the machines, the Harrah’s casino business - all of it.
I can’t see any indication that she conceded on her website:
http://sharronangle.com
She’s been recently discussing indications of voter fraud ‘pouring in’: http://video.foxnews.com/v/4398061/sharron-angle-on-hannity
Fox news labels this video a ‘concession speech’:
http://video.foxnews.com/
She said, “I just talked to Senator Reid and I congratulated him” - I guess that’s a concession. UGH!!
Don’t give up on us now Sharron!
http://silverstate2010.com/USSenateStateWide.aspx
- Statewide - Papa Reid won Senate by 5.65% yet Junior Reid LOSES Governorship by 11.75%.
- Sec. of State, Ross Miller (D) won....and he runs the elections
http://silverstate2010.com/congressional.aspx
- Dina Titus, the Dim Darling gets edged out by Rep. Joe Heck in District 3 in Clark County!
Good breakdown of county results here - (Junior loses Clark County (Vegas) by 2% but Papa wins by 12%...and Junior loses by 20% in Washoe County (Reno) but Papa wins by 5%????? Really?????)
http://www.rgj.com/section/electionresults
Yeah, how does that happen? People voting “none of the above”?
Angle is 3% up before the election, exit polling has it even, and she ends up 5% down?
The Republican establishment in Reno was supporting Reid.
This is SO bad - it stinks to HIGH HEAVEN and it makes me hoppin’ mad. I’m spittin’ nails mad and it’s 2:35am right now...
“This is final.”
Power outage, Harrah’s rubbish, SEIU in charge of ‘maintaining’ the voting machines, RAT Sos - no, it’s not final in my book.
I live in Reno....some were supporting Reid....others were not.
Then again since it's Vegas the evidence trail is probably pretty well covered unless someone in the know comes forward.
Also recall the reports of voting machines pre-programmed for Reid in Nevada early voting.
It should be noted that the margin of victory also apparently came from Las Vegas. Emails have been leaked showing the conspiracy between the casino industry and the SEIU in getting casino workers to vote for Reid. I think this needs to be publicized and conservatives need to boycott Las Vegas. We need to hit them where it hurts.
Also, what other companies are controlled by the big casino corporations in Las Vegas?
And, after we finally get an investigation into Obama's Illinois corruption, I think Dirty Harry and his shady real estate deals need to see the light of day.
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