Posted on 10/31/2010 6:46:20 PM PDT by kristinn
PRINCETON, NJ -- The final USA Today/Gallup measure of Americans' voting intentions for Congress shows Republicans continuing to hold a substantial lead over Democrats among likely voters, a lead large enough to suggest that regardless of turnout, the Republicans will win more than the 40 seats needed to give them the majority in the U.S. House.
The results are from Gallup's Oct. 28-31 survey of 1,539 likely voters. It finds 52% to 55% of likely voters preferring the Republican candidate and 40% to 42% for the Democratic candidate on the national generic ballot -- depending on turnout assumptions. Gallup's analysis of several indicators of voter turnout from the weekend poll suggests turnout will be slightly higher than in recent years, at 45%. This would give the Republicans a 55% to 40% lead on the generic ballot, with 5% undecided.
SNIP
Gallup's historical model suggests that a party needs at least a two-point advantage in the national House vote to win a majority of the 435 seats. The Republicans' current likely voter margin suggests that this scenario is highly probable, making the question of interest this election not whether the GOP will win the majority, but by how much. Taking Gallup's final survey's margin of error into account, the historical model predicts that the Republicans could gain anywhere from 60 seats on up, with gains well beyond that possible.
It should be noted, however, that this year's 15-point gap in favor of the Republican candidates among likely voters is unprecedented in Gallup polling and could result in the largest Republican margin in House voting in several generations. This means that seat projections have moved into uncharted territory, in which past relationships between the national two-party vote and the number of seats won may not be maintained.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
Remember, his district is where all the nonprofit group special interests live ~ true believers one and all ~
Now, look at the Senate? What power is it they don't have?
It's the one the House has to call out the militia. After all, the states already control the militia so the Senate, which is their house, has no need for separate authority.
That right there is what you have to pay attention to ~ inferentially. If you have 2/3 voting margins in the House backed up with 3/4 voting margins in the states, and the control of the militia, you have THE PARLIAMENT ~ and all at once the Executive becomes a puppet which the House can dictate to.
These are called Constitutional Majorities. They do not exist unless they are needed and then they give the States and Congress, working together, the power to REWRITE THE RULES FOR RUNNING A COUNTRY.
Article V provides for written amendments, but if the first one you pass is "All Power To The Soviets", there you have the history of such power.
You only have such power in the direst of circumstances. You can go straight from tightly controlled representative democracy to a unitary totalitarian state with ONE ELECTION.
The United Kingdom grants such power to its parliament already ~ and has done so for several centuries. They have been in some dire circumstances over that time.
Yes, but did Gallup include the usual DemocRAT voters—the dead, cartoon characters, and of course those who vote multiple times? ;)
What really worries me are the calls the for powersharing or some such that are sure to follow a wipeout of Dem seats.
I hope that the new House Leader (Pence, Bachman) will have the testicular fortitude to ask any of the socialists where the power sharing was for the past 4 years. I really do.
I agree that corruption takes time and if we limit the amount of time they can serve it will reduce corruption.
I however think that the key element of corruption is power. with some much power centralized in Washington, all of the corrupting influences such as money, lobbyists, celebrity, etc. are also centralized in Washington.
The amount of corruption in Washington is directly proportional to the amount of power in the federal government.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.