Posted on 10/29/2010 7:16:17 PM PDT by CedarDave
Ed and I have been trying to game out how we’ll handle blogging the late late late night returns on Tuesday from Alaska. I’d been dreading having to post at 4 a.m., but now I’m looking forward to it for the simple reason that waiting on numbers that late will at least mean the race is close.
Eeyoreblogger pessimism status check: Spiking.
The poll, conducted by Dittman Research & Communications, shows Murkowski leading attorney Joe Miller (R), 37 percent to 27 percent, with the Democrat, Sitka Mayor Scott McAdams, in third place with 23 percent. Thirteen percent chose other candidates or were undecided.Replicating the write-in process in a phone survey can be difficult, but the technique used by pollster Dave Dittman is unique to most public polls of the race. Respondents are first asked an open-ended question about their vote preference, and their choice of candidate is recorded. If the respondent is unable to make a choice, he or she is read the names of the candidates on the ballot, with the option of a write-in candidate. In order to choose Murkowski, the respondent must choose the write-in option and provide her name.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
I don’t think 1 out of 3 voters in Alaska (or anywhere else) can spell “Murkowski” even if it printed on a piece of paper and right in front of them.
I’m glad the thread is rapidly making its way down the page. Think I’ll drag myself away from here and have a Friday p.m. beer...
I think a more appropriate poll would be how many Alaskans can spell MurCOWski”
Bull crap.
Rasmussen said tonight, it’s nearly impossible to poll in Alaska.
If Princess wins this thing she may not necessarily caucus w/ Dems but she will effectively be a liberal Democrat. The Senate will be much closer regardless what happens, and she’ll have the leverage to tip it their way. Besides can you imagine her lifting a finger to advance small-government conservative legislation, ever? I don’t understand AK voters at all if they return her to office *now*, after her embarrassing behavior—why wouldn’t her loyalists just vote for McAdams instead? He is even campaigning on the “gravy train” theme!
I doubt she lives in my neighborhood ~ too many Asians, Africans, Arabs, Afghans and "others" for the taste of someone like her.
There is absolutely no way to gauge a write in campaign. NO WAY
This entire Murkowski operation is a diversion. She can’t win and should be ignored. Miller has this in the bag.
Focus on closer races like Delaware and California.
Lisa, pull my finger.
oh ...
Lord. Now we are posting allahpundit garbage and he is peddling something called a Ditman research ??
Hotair and Allahpundit are both so sad.
Gallup is pretty reliable but this is not Gallup. It’s something called Dittman Research.
see #15
On the other hand, anything that helps counteract some of the early celebrations and complacency is welcome.
How utterly dreadful to find ourselves one more time subject to the daily hormonally driven whims of a drama queen prepared to sell out the nation for a few cents in a milk price support deal benefiting a handful of dairy farms and a cheesemaker.
I was thinking about that myself. I imagine they concentrated on the areas where her support is strong like Anchorage and Fairbanks. On the other side, I expect the native tribes will support her which is why the Division of Elections said an exact spelling is not required.
LOL If a write-in candidate polls 37% and the pubbie in Alaska polls 27% I’ll eat an entire caribou at one sitting. I’ll be very surprised if she breaks 20%. This is just more Murkowski nonsense.
“POLLS LIE.
They are not designed to reflect opinion - they are designed to shape public opinion.”
Does that mean we’re really NOT going to see a Republican wave this year?
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