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Civitas Poll: Ellmers Leads Etheridge Heading into Final Weekend [NC-02]
NC Civitas ^ | October 27, 2010 | Katie Trout

Posted on 10/28/2010 9:49:32 PM PDT by MitchellC

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1 posted on 10/28/2010 9:49:36 PM PDT by MitchellC
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To: MitchellC
http://www.reneeforcongress.com/
2 posted on 10/28/2010 9:50:27 PM PDT by MitchellC
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To: 100%FEDUP; 2ndMostConservativeBrdMember; ~Vor~; a4drvr; Adder; Aegedius; Afronaut; alethia; ...
Ellmers 46%
Etheridge 41%

NC *Ping*

Please FRmail MitchellC if you want to be added to or removed from this North Carolina ping list.
3 posted on 10/28/2010 9:52:12 PM PDT by MitchellC
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To: MitchellC
WHO ARE YOU


4 posted on 10/28/2010 9:54:16 PM PDT by BobP (The piss-stream media - Never to be watched again in my house)
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To: Crichton; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; Clintonfatigued; dangus

This is excellent. I was starting to wonder about this one, particularly because of Ellmers’ money disadvantage. Good thing the outside groups chipped in.


5 posted on 10/28/2010 9:55:05 PM PDT by MitchellC
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To: MitchellC

I’d really like to see this guy go away.


6 posted on 10/28/2010 9:55:25 PM PDT by Interesting Times (For the truth about "swift boating" see ToSetTheRecordStraight.com)
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To: Interesting Times

Me too. I think we’ll see four House seats flip in NC, with an outside shot at a fifth. And because the Republicans will probably win both state houses, any of these rats that manage to hang on will be drawn out of a seat in 2012 (except for the two VRA seats).


7 posted on 10/28/2010 10:11:44 PM PDT by MitchellC
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To: MitchellC

Well SarahPAC just gave Ellmers campaign $5,000 not to long ago.


8 posted on 10/28/2010 10:26:21 PM PDT by Clyde5445 (Gov. Sarah Palin: :"You have to sacrifice to win. That's my philosophy in 6 words.")
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To: MitchellC

Which four seats do you definitively expect to flip ? I’m thinking 2, 7, 8 & 11 (and possibly 4 or even 13).


9 posted on 10/28/2010 10:27:33 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Amber Lamps !"~~)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Those are the four. Very outside shot at the 4th. I’ve heard nothing out of the 13th since the primary.


10 posted on 10/29/2010 12:22:13 AM PDT by MitchellC
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To: fieldmarshaldj
This is crazy. There's no way Ellmers should be winning this race.

Very little data on the Shuler race. He has a strong opponent, the district is favorable - it's a lot like the Lincoln Davis / Gene Taylor races.

Early voting results have been very good statewide, I believe. NC could see the full force of the wave.

11 posted on 10/29/2010 2:21:09 AM PDT by Crichton
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To: Crichton

Other than perhaps an issue of money, I don’t see why she shouldn’t be leading. Etheridge is in a GOP-leaning district, and had David Funderburk not screwed up with that driving mishap, he might still be in that seat today. Etheridge’s angry, thug-like reaction to the young man questioning him should be the final nail in his political coffin. If we can flush him out, take those other 3 seats, and maybe even Price & Brad Miller, all the better.


12 posted on 10/29/2010 3:09:30 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Amber Lamps !"~~)
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To: BobP

That’s the question Etheridge is going to get asked once he loses his seat in Congress.


13 posted on 10/29/2010 3:10:42 AM PDT by Locomotive Breath
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To: MitchellC

My inside source confidently informs me that the Repubs will get 70 in the Legislature and 30 in the Senate.


14 posted on 10/29/2010 6:28:24 AM PDT by nesnah
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To: MitchellC

Folks might want to know that the government-employed pop in the three-county (Harnett-Lee-Chatham) area is huge. Don’t know if it would account for all, but it sure could be a big chunk of what Etheridge has for support.


15 posted on 10/29/2010 6:56:08 AM PDT by BelegStrongbow (St. Joseph, patron of fathers, pray for us!)
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To: MitchellC

You have no idea how much I want to see Mumbles out of a job!


16 posted on 10/30/2010 8:34:17 AM PDT by 100%FEDUP (I'm seeing RED!)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Other than perhaps an issue of money, I don’t see why she shouldn’t be leading

Weak candidate, amateur campaign imo. But I don't know that Etheridge has had a campaign worth mentioning. When's the last time he's had a race?

17 posted on 10/30/2010 9:38:07 AM PDT by Crichton
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To: nesnah; MitchellC; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican
My inside source confidently informs me that the Repubs will get 70 in the Legislature and 30 in the Senate.

That sounds about right to me. Probably a little more upside than downside from that number.

18 posted on 10/30/2010 9:43:46 AM PDT by Crichton
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To: MitchellC
According to the poll of 400 registered voters...

I think this is the x-factor on election night. Among 'likely' voters the difference in this poll goes up from 6% to 9%.

19 posted on 10/30/2010 9:53:31 AM PDT by The Citizen Soldier (The Obottoman empire is falling...)
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To: Crichton

Etheridge hasn’t had a real close race since he dislodged the damaged Funderburk in ‘96. Dan Page was well-regarded in ‘98, but still only ended up with less than 42%.


20 posted on 10/30/2010 6:40:50 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Amber Lamps !"~~)
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