Posted on 10/28/2010 9:49:32 PM PDT by MitchellC
This is excellent. I was starting to wonder about this one, particularly because of Ellmers’ money disadvantage. Good thing the outside groups chipped in.
I’d really like to see this guy go away.
Me too. I think we’ll see four House seats flip in NC, with an outside shot at a fifth. And because the Republicans will probably win both state houses, any of these rats that manage to hang on will be drawn out of a seat in 2012 (except for the two VRA seats).
Well SarahPAC just gave Ellmers campaign $5,000 not to long ago.
Which four seats do you definitively expect to flip ? I’m thinking 2, 7, 8 & 11 (and possibly 4 or even 13).
Those are the four. Very outside shot at the 4th. I’ve heard nothing out of the 13th since the primary.
Very little data on the Shuler race. He has a strong opponent, the district is favorable - it's a lot like the Lincoln Davis / Gene Taylor races.
Early voting results have been very good statewide, I believe. NC could see the full force of the wave.
Other than perhaps an issue of money, I don’t see why she shouldn’t be leading. Etheridge is in a GOP-leaning district, and had David Funderburk not screwed up with that driving mishap, he might still be in that seat today. Etheridge’s angry, thug-like reaction to the young man questioning him should be the final nail in his political coffin. If we can flush him out, take those other 3 seats, and maybe even Price & Brad Miller, all the better.
That’s the question Etheridge is going to get asked once he loses his seat in Congress.
My inside source confidently informs me that the Repubs will get 70 in the Legislature and 30 in the Senate.
Folks might want to know that the government-employed pop in the three-county (Harnett-Lee-Chatham) area is huge. Don’t know if it would account for all, but it sure could be a big chunk of what Etheridge has for support.
You have no idea how much I want to see Mumbles out of a job!
Weak candidate, amateur campaign imo. But I don't know that Etheridge has had a campaign worth mentioning. When's the last time he's had a race?
That sounds about right to me. Probably a little more upside than downside from that number.
I think this is the x-factor on election night. Among 'likely' voters the difference in this poll goes up from 6% to 9%.
Etheridge hasn’t had a real close race since he dislodged the damaged Funderburk in ‘96. Dan Page was well-regarded in ‘98, but still only ended up with less than 42%.
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