Posted on 10/18/2010 12:18:38 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush
Election Day is just two weeks away, and Republican candidates hold a nine-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, October 17, 2010.
Forty-eight percent (48%) of respondents say they would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 39% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.
Even more worrisome for Democrats, however, is the finding that among the voters who are most closely following the midterm elections Republicans hold a 55% to 36% lead.
While the margin has varied somewhat from week-to-week, Republicans have been consistently ahead on the Generic Ballot for over a year, and their lead has run as high as 12 points and as low as three points. When Barack Obama first took office as president of the United States, the Democrats enjoyed a seven-point lead on the Generic Ballot.
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Republicans hold a 17-point lead.
PING
Cue the democrat flop sweat.
Republicans pick up 111 seats in the House and 12 in the Senate.
It has gone up another point and will continue to go up.
If it’s really that high, then that means that the GOP will pick up even more seats than the pundits are forecasting.
If it’s really that high, then that means that the GOP will pick up even more seats than the pundits are forecasting.
You said it!!
Going up a point not really a change. Good news is still same thus big win.
The Democrat Party is facing one of the greatest electoral defeats in American history.
The arrogance which this administration and Congress governed over the last three years, like a third world nation, has angered the American People to an extent not seen in decades.
She (Blanche Lincoln (D-ARK) appears abandoned by voters, who have favored Mr. Boozman by double digits in nearly every poll in recent months. She has been forsaken by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, which has essentially written off her race and apportioned almost no money to it, and she has been dismissed by pundits, handicappers and operatives who are focused instead on a cluster of tossup Senate races in states — like Colorado, Illinois, Nevada and West Virginia — that absolutely do not include this one.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/17/us/politics/17lincoln.html
As with many incumbent Democrats, Mrs. Lincoln has been stung by association with the president’s agenda. She takes strenuous pains to distance herself from the White House, trumpet her centrist credentials and assert her independence from her Democratic colleagues.
Like pretty much every underdog politician in America, Mrs. Lincoln insists that she is going to win, that momentum is shifting toward her and that she hates polls.
I hope you are underestimating the victory because a really, really massive win will put the fear of the voters into both parties.
Total CommieCare attenuation factor: ~60%. This leaves 40% of the onerous aspects of CommieCare in place, and this 40%, as it kicks in, throws millions of people out of their private plans, shuts down hundreds of hospitals nationwide, and results in hundreds of thousands of premature deaths among middle-class Americans, many of whom traditionally voted Republican.
Working with the media, Obama and the Democrats are able to sell the idea that the reason "health care reform" isn't working is because of the terrible changes the Republicans, working with "Big Pharma" and "The Hospital Lobby" have been able to "ram through" so as to "sacrifice the health of millions of Americans on the altar of profit." Too many average Americans believe it, and Obama sails to victory in 2012, with a smaller but still decisive majority in the House and Senate.
The State Run Media declares that "Obama's New Majority" have "A Mandate To Put It Back And Then Some," which was Majority Leader Elect Waxman's campaign slogan.
All over the map.
Yes it is as it is an indicator where the undecideds are going.
I don’t like your narrative, but I would be lying if I hadn’t thought it myself (or something like it). Strategery in this case cannot be misunderestimated.
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