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Experts review S.C. Senate ballots
Politico ^ | June 11, 2010 | David Catanese

Posted on 06/11/2010 12:08:05 PM PDT by jazusamo

The campaign of defeated Democratic Senate candidate Vic Rawl has assembled a team of national academic experts to review Tuesday’s perplexing South Carolina primary results that propelled a virtually unknown, underfunded and unemployed candidate to the party’s nomination over a veteran officeholder and public official.

Rawl campaign manager Walter Ludwig tells POLITICO three different teams of experts in election data analysis are combing through the results in the state’s 46 counties and already turning up some eye-opening trend lines.

The review is in response to the shocking victory by 32-year-old Alvin Greene, who, despite never giving a campaign speech or running any television or radio ads, managed to handily defeat Rawl 59 percent to 41 percent. The state party chairwoman has already asked Greene to step aside, and Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.) has speculated that he might be a Republican plant.

Greene has pledged to remain in the race and said he has “always been a Democrat.”

While Ludwig cautioned that the campaign is not jumping to any conclusions, he said the experts, who volunteered their services, have already uncovered some “curious” findings in the election data.

One potential red flag: A significant difference between the results of absentee and election day ballots.

According to Ludwig, of the state’s 46 counties, half have a disparity of greater than 10 percentage points between the absentee and election day ballots.

“The election day ballots all favor Mr. Greene. We don’t know what it means,” Ludwig said in an interview. “We did significantly better on absentees than Election Day, which is according to the mathematicians, quite significant. The other reason is, it didn’t happen in any other races on the ballot.”

In Lancaster County, Rawl won absentee ballots over Greene by a staggering 84 percent to 16 percent margin; but Greene easily led among Election Day voters by 17 percentage points.

In Spartanburg County, Ludwig said there are 25 precincts in which Greene received more votes than were actually cast and 50 other precincts where votes appeared to be missing from the final count.

“In only two of 88 precincts, do the number of votes Greene got plus the number we got equal the total cast,” Ludwig said.

Greene also racked up a 75 percent or greater margin in one-seventh of all precincts statewide, a mark that Ludwig notes is even difficult for an incumbent to reach.

“This may add up to nothing. This all could be a clerical error. We don’t know but thought it was worth looking into,” said Ludwig, who added that the experts doing the unpaid research asked that their names not be revealed until they disclose their conclusions.

Ludwig said the experts could be prepared to offer their findings by late Friday but cautioned that it’s likely not to be definitive.

“These are not detectives, they look at huge amounts of election data that say this doesn’t look like it should, or it does,” he said.

Asked what else could explain Greene’s unlikely rise, Ludwig appeared to be at a loss.

He said the campaign sent out 300,000 e-mails, conducted a quarter -million robocalls and logged nearly 17,000 miles to Democratic events around the state.

“I was tracking the guy everywhere and there was nothing to track. Am I kicking myself in the ass? Sure. I’m just not sure what we would’ve done different,” he said.



TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: alvingreene; congress; democrats; elections; elections2010; greene; primary; rawl; sc; senate; southcarolina; ussenate
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To: jiggyboy

Gray’s pink.


21 posted on 06/11/2010 12:20:34 PM PDT by Genoa (Luke 12:2)
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To: Oldpuppymax

“More votes CAST than voters in the district? But isn’t that NORMAL for the democrat party??!!!”

The rats are now concerned about voter fraud? They wrote the book on voter fraud so they should be good at sniffing it out. Green won fairly. He is the finest representative of the rat party among all candidates.


22 posted on 06/11/2010 12:20:45 PM PDT by businessprofessor
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To: jazusamo

We have found Chauncey Gardener, and it turns out that he’s a black Democrat from South Carolina.


23 posted on 06/11/2010 12:21:04 PM PDT by sitetest ( If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: Genoa

Greene looked black to Gray, so now the Pinks are seeing red.


24 posted on 06/11/2010 12:21:23 PM PDT by Slings and Arrows (You can't have IngSoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
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To: Ingtar
It could also mean the people were ready for anyone but Rawls...

I believe that's exactly what it is.

25 posted on 06/11/2010 12:21:53 PM PDT by jazusamo (But there really is no free lunch, except in the world of political rhetoric,.: Thomas Sowell)
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To: jazusamo

Most amusing is the assertion the absentee ballots tally doesn’t coincide with the live vote, with the absentee numbers being far more favorable to Rawl.

So, what’s easier to run a scam on, absentee ballots or actual polling station votes?


26 posted on 06/11/2010 12:22:07 PM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: outofstyle
Rep. Clyburn has said he believes Greene was a “plant.”

Most plants are Greene.

27 posted on 06/11/2010 12:22:32 PM PDT by Slings and Arrows (You can't have IngSoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
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To: jazusamo

Hmmmm Wonder if the Dems will “fix” it so a several and votes will be amazingly found.....like in Min. with Al Franken...


28 posted on 06/11/2010 12:22:33 PM PDT by jakerobins
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To: jazusamo

“In Spartanburg County, Ludwig said there are 25 precincts in which Greene received more votes than were actually cast”

Sounds like par for the course for Dems.


29 posted on 06/11/2010 12:22:49 PM PDT by DemonDeac
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To: evets
"I'd seen Vic Rawl on Facebook before, but Alvin Greene, that name looked black."

hahaha!

30 posted on 06/11/2010 12:24:13 PM PDT by latina4dubya ( self-proclaimed tequila snob)
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To: Genoa

Eureka!!! Attention...all white guys change your name NOW to Alvin Green run for office and it be yours!!!


31 posted on 06/11/2010 12:24:15 PM PDT by BubbaJunebug (s)
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To: jazusamo

The Dem playbook:

1. Nominate an embarassment.
2. Demand a do-over.
3. Blame Republicans for the mess.


32 posted on 06/11/2010 12:24:35 PM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard
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To: jiggyboy
Ha ha. Kevin Alexander Gray is a community organizer in S.C.

33 posted on 06/11/2010 12:25:03 PM PDT by evets (beer)
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To: Slings and Arrows

Gray’s one of your pink blacks and went for Greene, but the SC Dems are too yellow to keep Greene, they’re seeing red. But SC won’t be blue anyway, so who cares?


34 posted on 06/11/2010 12:25:26 PM PDT by Genoa (Luke 12:2)
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To: jazusamo

Memo to democrat party professional politicians everywhere:

We, the People, hate your guts!


35 posted on 06/11/2010 12:25:33 PM PDT by FormerACLUmember ("Subtlety is not going to win this fight": NJ Governor Chris Christie)
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To: jazusamo

This shows that steps need to be taken immediately to prevent voter fraud and fixed elections.

First, a photo identification should be mandatory in order for anybody to vote.

Second, voter rolls should be purged on a daily basis of any dead people which can be done by by scanning newsppaer obituaries.

Third, ONLY US citizens should be allowed to vote; NO ILLEGAL ALIENS.

Fourth, anybody convicted of a felony and who has served time in prison should lose their ability to vote.

Fifth, ballots should only be printed in the ENGLISH LANGUAGE. If you do not know, cannot read or speak ENGLISH - LEARN IT.

Sixth, all candidates should be vetted for any prior jail sentences or served time in jail or prison or any currently indicted but not prosecuted offenses as well as any prior criminal records. (why this guy’s history was never vetted especially by his opposing candidate is a complete mystery)


36 posted on 06/11/2010 12:26:08 PM PDT by Ev Reeman
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Yeah, the guy the SC Dem establishment wanted is White. They don’t want the Black guy. Hmm, what would we call THAT ?

just imagine this same scenario taking place in the GOP... the media and liberal politicians would be running amok with the "r" word... how dare they ask this guy to step aside... where are all those people crying about disenfranchised voters?

37 posted on 06/11/2010 12:27:30 PM PDT by latina4dubya ( self-proclaimed tequila snob)
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To: jazusamo

Hmmm, I wonder how this unusual election might effect the way the currently scheduled election takes place....


38 posted on 06/11/2010 12:29:40 PM PDT by FourPeas (God Save America)
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To: jazusamo

Personally I suspect democrats are morons who voted for the first democrat on the ballot.


39 posted on 06/11/2010 12:30:19 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin! (look it up))
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To: Slings and Arrows

Thanks for the belly laugh.

“Most plants are Greene.”

You’re killing me, man (or woman).


40 posted on 06/11/2010 12:32:04 PM PDT by StAntKnee (I keep thinking I'm gonna wake up from this dream theatre of the absurd.)
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