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Poll: Brown 48, Coakley 45
nro ^ | 1/16/10

Posted on 01/16/2010 4:39:18 PM PST by cdchik123

Republican Scott Brown leads Democrat Martha Coakley 48% to 45% in the special Massachusetts US Senate race to replace Senator Ted Kennedy in a telephone survey conducted January 12-14 among 600 likely voters in Massachusetts saying they will definitely vote in the special election on January 19.

Brown leads Coakley 94% to 1% among registered Republicans and he leads 58% to 37% among unenrolled voters. Coakley leads Brown 71% to 20% among registered Democrats. A total of 8% of Democrats and 5% of Republicans remain undecided.

Brown leads 54% to 39% among men while Coakley leads 50% to 44% among women.

Brown leads 52% to 42% among likely voters age 18 to 49 and Coakley leads 47% to 46% among voters 50 and older.

A total of 9% of likely voters say they have already voted by absentee ballot, with Brown leading Coakley 58% to 42%.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Massachusetts
KEYWORDS: 2010polls; brown; coakley; ma2010; marthacoakley; massachusetts; scottbrown
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To: cdchik123

What’s Mass. law regarding recounts? Anyone know?

How close does it have to be?


41 posted on 01/16/2010 5:09:46 PM PST by Graybeard58 ("Get lost, Mitt. You're the Eddie Haskell of the Republican party." (Finny))
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To: Mobties

Someone here this a.m. said Intrade had McCain beating zero.


42 posted on 01/16/2010 5:10:06 PM PST by Aria ( "The US republic will endure until Congress discovers it can bribe the public with the people's $.")
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To: Uncle Hal

It’s changed again...Brown 53 Coakley 49.5


43 posted on 01/16/2010 5:10:34 PM PST by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: shield

44 posted on 01/16/2010 5:11:53 PM PST by 4Liberty ( we have a rat problem .)
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To: jwalsh07

Yeah, I tend not to believe much from ARGGGGGGGGGGGGH.


45 posted on 01/16/2010 5:12:39 PM PST by freespirited (People talk about "too big to fail." Our government is too big to succeed. --Chris Chocola)
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To: shield
Coakley has moved up a tad but she can't get over 50%. Brown's support seems stable.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus

46 posted on 01/16/2010 5:13:14 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: shield

“It’s changed again...Brown 53 Coakley 49.5”

An arbitrage opportunity!


47 posted on 01/16/2010 5:14:23 PM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: cdchik123
I saw another poll just yesterday that gave Brown a four-point lead over Coakley.

I certainly hope he can pull in out.

But even if he does, I am skeptical of the Democratic leadership in the Senate: Will they actually seat Brown in time for him to cast an all-important vote as regarding healthcare-reform legislation? Or will they tie up his nomination until after the vote is made?

48 posted on 01/16/2010 5:15:04 PM PST by AmericanExceptionalist (Democrats believe in discussing the full spectrum of ideas, all the way from far left to center-left)
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To: cdchik123

as long as the polls are within the MOE, they can stuff the ballot boxes to tip the scales. if the race was 5 or more points, they couldn’t get away with it.

the dems are famous for this, especially during 2008. votes tallied from electronic voting machines were notoriously opposite the votes tallied from regular polling places. and in one precinct, the vote total for one candidate was 0... and only after 10 people came forward stating they voted for that candidate did the votes ‘appear’

expect this to occur on tuesday.


49 posted on 01/16/2010 5:15:20 PM PST by sten
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To: cdchik123

Brown needs to be over 50 in the final polls or he will lose.


50 posted on 01/16/2010 5:15:52 PM PST by Jim Noble (Hu's the communist?)
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To: goldstategop
They've learned their lessons....it won't be close, but the "not being close" part will be on Martha's plus side.

Zero needs a BIG win, and it'll be delivered. I'd bet the big bucks on it.

51 posted on 01/16/2010 5:22:54 PM PST by ErnBatavia (It's not the Obama Administration....it's the "Obama Regime".)
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To: ErnBatavia

Gah !

Do you tell you children that you’re putting the cookies in the oven and they will come out burnt so get over it?

Do you let your dog know that he’s probably gonna get kicked by the kid down the street so get over it ?

Bad attitude imvho.


52 posted on 01/16/2010 5:34:33 PM PST by carolina71
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To: cdchik123

Go go 51%!


53 posted on 01/16/2010 5:51:02 PM PST by dr_who
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To: tubebender

“Only 9% say they voted absentee? I doubt that...”

I bet many who voted absentee were were out of town when the poll takers called - they were absent :)

0


54 posted on 01/16/2010 6:06:18 PM PST by balls
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To: Uncle Hal

Where did Intrade have the VA and NJ Governor’s races right before election day? My guess, McDonnell heading to a landslide and Corzine expected to win by a nose.


55 posted on 01/16/2010 6:10:54 PM PST by moose2004 (Stand up, speak out and stop Obamacare and GE)
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To: cdchik123

I still don’t think Brown can pullit off. MA is too strongly Democrat for Indepents and Republicans to put Brown over the top. If he does win, it will be close and then the SEIU and ACORN will spring into action and thousands of Coakly votes will suddenly appear to put her over the top. Then instead of fighting, the Republicans will wlak away with their tails between the legs like they always do when the Dems steal an election.

Brown should get in touch with James Baker III. He is to only person to stop a Democrat from stealing an election so far.


56 posted on 01/16/2010 6:29:20 PM PST by PawtucketPatriot71 ("Obama is light skinned and doesn't speak with a negro dialect" - Dingy Harry 2008)
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To: cdchik123
Coakley leads 47% to 46% among voters 50 and older.

The old MA liberals still hanging on. The younger group seems to have gotten it somewhat as Brown leads there.

57 posted on 01/16/2010 6:40:02 PM PST by RetiredArmy (Stay armed. Buy bullets. Buy guns. Protect yourself - the government isn't.)
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To: Jim Noble

http://www.volunteer-connect.com/brownma/Login/Login.aspx?ReturnUrl=%2fbrownMA%2fHome%2fHome.aspx

call tomorrow on line at no cost to you. works like a charm and you can quit at any time. ... So Freep this ....


58 posted on 01/16/2010 6:47:41 PM PST by gibtx2 (keep up the good work I am out of work but post 20 a month to this out of WF Check)
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To: cdchik123

http://www.volunteer-connect.com/brownma/Login/Login.aspx?ReturnUrl=%2fbrownMA%2fHome%2fHome.aspx

call for brown tomorrow ....


59 posted on 01/16/2010 6:48:44 PM PST by gibtx2 (keep up the good work I am out of work but post 20 a month to this out of WF Check)
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To: cdchik123

Somebody needs to tell this National Review Costa guy that the election is to replace Paul Kirk, not Teddy Kennedy.

Evidently this “conservative” magazine thinks it’s Kennedy’s seat too.


60 posted on 01/16/2010 7:21:04 PM PST by oldbill
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