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Big 3 race live thread - (Vir-Gov, NJ-Gov, NY-23)
Me | 11/3/09 | GeorgiaDawg32

Posted on 11/03/2009 6:10:38 AM PST by GeorgiaDawg32

Follow those races here. Report turnout, exit polls etc. as they happen..


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Jersey; US: New York; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2009; breaking; christie; corzine; deeds; elections; gingrich; hoffman; mcdonnell; newjersey; ny23; obamareferendum; owens; palin; sarahcuda; scozzafava; teapartyrebellion; va2009; virginia
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To: rwfromkansas

just remember, we the unwashed aren’t privy to exit polls. We may hear discouraging news and decide not to vote. We are so susceptible to such mind control.


481 posted on 11/03/2009 2:40:39 PM PST by fortunate sun (Newt who?)
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To: bustinchops

Intrade is tanking for Christie.

Let’s hope he pulls it off.


482 posted on 11/03/2009 2:41:59 PM PST by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: Norman Bates

No numbers...just said “it’s close”


483 posted on 11/03/2009 2:44:19 PM PST by hattend (We should stop comparing Obama to Hitler. At least Hitler got the Olympic Games to come to Berlin.)
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To: San Jacinto
He probably needs to win by 4 or 5 points - would be my guess.

As of 1430 PST, Intrade has Corzine at 50.1%.

Here's my prediction: After the count, Christie 52%, Corzine 40%, Daggett 8%. Corzine appeals to the NJ Supreme Court on the grounds that the Democrat lost the election, therefore something was wrong with the vote counting.

The NJ Supreme Court concurs and orders a recount (remember, this is the same court which allowed Lautenberg to switch for Torecelli at the last minute).

After the recount, it is Christie 52%, Corzine 57%, Daggett 8%. Corzine wins!

484 posted on 11/03/2009 2:44:36 PM PST by sima_yi ( Reporting live from the People's Republic of Boulder)
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To: rwfromkansas

Who’s tanking?

Tanking “for Christie”... does that mean Christie’s tanking or that it’s tanking “for him” ie in his behalf???


485 posted on 11/03/2009 2:46:15 PM PST by Principled (Get the capital back! NRST!)
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To: fortunate sun
If you’re in NJ and you haven’t voted, go out and vote. If you have voted, call a friend or five to confirm they have voted. Hannity is pulling his typical exit poll histrionics.

No independent confirmation of exit polls on Drudge or NRO. Hannity is blowing smoke. We just do not know....
486 posted on 11/03/2009 2:47:24 PM PST by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: hattend
Voting machines in two counties in Jersey have begun to malfunction.

Where in NJ? Where is this being reported?

(PS: love your tag line)

487 posted on 11/03/2009 2:49:22 PM PST by freelancer (If we do not win the war against terrorism, everything else is irrelevant.)
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To: luckybogey

marked for later reading


488 posted on 11/03/2009 2:51:42 PM PST by BattleHymn
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To: longtermmemmory

Are you saying they are stacks of blank ballots accessible to the voters walking in the door such that they can grab one or more extras? We don’t have that here. The ballots are controlled by the poll workers. Or are you saying the poll worker gives the crooked “voter” an extra ballot? There has to be an extra ballot each time or there’s no advancement of the numbers. You’d also have to have a complicit poll worker or two, which wouldn’t be hard to do, but that’s not what you described. If there are stacks of fresh ballots sitting around, anybody could go to court and shut that down in minutes because no jurisdiction would not have rules that control that strictly and carefully.

So what you’re describing doesn’t seem to make sense in terms of increasing the numbers for the cheaters. I think the absentee ballot/mystery registrant is the major means by which they cheat.


489 posted on 11/03/2009 2:52:48 PM PST by bustinchops (Teddy ("The Hiccup") Kennedy - the original water-boarder)
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To: sima_yi

Your post raises an interesting hypothetical point. We talk about being above the margin of fraud so that no recount could ever reverse the election.

The NJSC could, I suppose, find that the election was so bad—some wino testifies he was too drunk to find the polling place, for instance— they just throw the whole thing out and call a do-over for some distant date in the future. In the meantime, Corzine remains in power according to the NJ Constitution (as the NJSC interprets it “for the good of the public”)


490 posted on 11/03/2009 2:54:34 PM PST by San Jacinto
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To: Principled

Intrade says Christie is tanking/losing. They’re saying Corzine is just over 50%.


491 posted on 11/03/2009 2:55:50 PM PST by bustinchops (Teddy ("The Hiccup") Kennedy - the original water-boarder)
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To: bustinchops

Actually, that’s a little better. A couple hours ago Corzine was at 54%.


492 posted on 11/03/2009 2:57:33 PM PST by rushmom (l)
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To: All
From NRO:

PolitickerNJ reports that Newark's North Ward and the South Ward are each reporting about 4,000 votes. They quote Rep. Donald Payne, a local Democrat, as saying it should be enough for a "narrow victory."

Doesn't sound like bristling with optimism to me.
493 posted on 11/03/2009 2:57:54 PM PST by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: freelancer

I heard the county names when the story broke but I’ve forgotten them now.

One was in a Dem stronghold county and one was in a Pubbie leaning county


494 posted on 11/03/2009 2:58:01 PM PST by hattend (We should stop comparing Obama to Hitler. At least Hitler got the Olympic Games to come to Berlin.)
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To: hattend

It’s 6:00 on the East coast. We should be getting some raw exit poll data anytime now.


495 posted on 11/03/2009 3:01:07 PM PST by Norman Bates
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To: bustinchops

How does Intrade know? Isn’t it essentially the same as handicapping a horse race or a prize fight? It’s based on how much money is put down on a candidate? How is that a scientific poll?

Not ragging on you, just curious how it works.


496 posted on 11/03/2009 3:02:32 PM PST by hattend (We should stop comparing Obama to Hitler. At least Hitler got the Olympic Games to come to Berlin.)
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To: San Jacinto; All

Several lib websites have been talking about the VERY low Black Voter Turnout.

IT’S WELFARE CHECK DAY...

They are too busy Doing “other” things, to be bothered with voting....


497 posted on 11/03/2009 3:03:18 PM PST by tcrlaf ("Hope" is the most Evil of all Evils"-Neitzsche)
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To: GeorgiaDawg32

Just voted in the Chantilly/Herndon VA area. My precinct is distinctly BLUE in political makeup.

Turnout looked about right from the number of my ballot, less voters than last year and 2004, about the same as 2005, 2006 (Congressionals) and more than the other years.

BIG difference was in the number of GOP sample ballots both in the hands of people in the polling station and in the big trash can on the way out the door. Just about everyone had a GOP sample ballot, and the trash can was pretty much 2/3rds filled with GOP sample ballots, without a single Dem sample ballot in sight.


498 posted on 11/03/2009 3:03:53 PM PST by tanknetter
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To: hattend

55 now for Corzine on Intrade.


499 posted on 11/03/2009 3:04:20 PM PST by GoCards ("We eat therefore we hunt...")
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To: All

NRO Jonah Goldberg - In other news - reports that a bear attacked and killed two of three terrorists that entered his cave in the disputed Kashmir region of India. A lesson for us all... Just a break from the election news.


500 posted on 11/03/2009 3:04:47 PM PST by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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