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Global Warming and the Sun
Townhall.com ^ | September 2, 2009 | Jonah Goldberg

Posted on 09/02/2009 3:34:06 AM PDT by Kaslin

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To: Right Wing Assault
"Negative values are artifacts and are consistent with zero within the error limits."

From the original source for the graph (NASA):

Summary
Abstract:
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/pubs/solanki2004/solanki2004.html

Direct observations of sunspot numbers are available for the past four centuries, but longer time series are required, for example, for the identification of a possible solar influence on climate and for testing models of the solar dynamo. Here we report a ... reconstruction of the sunspot number covering the past 11,400 years, based on dendrochronologically dated radiocarbon concentrations. We combine physics-based models for each of the processes connecting the radiocarbon concentration with sunspot number. According to our reconstruction, the level of solar activity during the past 70 years is exceptional, and the previous period of equally high activity occurred more than 8,000 years ago. We find that during the past 11,400 years the Sun spent only of the order of 10% of the time at a similarly high level of magnetic activity and almost all of the earlier high-activity periods were shorter than the present episode. Although the rarity of the current episode of high average sunspot numbers may indicate that the Sun has contributed to the unusual climate change during the twentieth century, we point out that solar variability is unlikely to have been the dominant cause of the strong warming during the past three decades.

The series of reconstructed 10-yr averaged sunspot numbers with their 68% uncertainty. Years are given BP (before present), i.e. the calendar AD year, Yad, is related to the BP year, Ybp, as Yc=1950-Ybp. The tabulated years correspond to centers of the corresponding 10-year intervals.

Negative values are artifacts and are consistent with zero within the error limits.

http://gcmd.nasa.gov/KeywordSearch/Metadata.do?Portal=GCMD&KeywordPath=[Parameters%3ACategory%3D%27EARTH+SCIENCE%27%2CTopic%3D%27SUN-EARTH+INTERACTIONS%27%2CTerm%3D%27SOLAR+ACTIVITY%27%2CVariable%3D%27SUNSPOTS%27]&OrigMetadataNode=GCMD&EntryId=NOAA_NCDC_PALEO_2005-015&MetadataView=Brief&MetadataType=0&lbnode=gcmd3b

21 posted on 09/02/2009 5:12:15 AM PDT by ETL (ALL the Obama-commie connections at my FR Home page: http://www.freerepublic.com/~etl/)
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To: ETL

Thanks. I understand.


22 posted on 09/02/2009 5:31:49 AM PDT by Right Wing Assault
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To: gogogodzilla
What!!!!

Thwe sun will explode and will fall into another dimension when the black hole is exposed!

23 posted on 09/02/2009 5:36:50 AM PDT by Young Werther ("Quae Cum Ita Sunt - Julius Caesar "Since these things are so!">)
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To: Kaslin

Some folks have tried to correlate the 11 year sunspot cycle with the 11 year trip Jupiter makes around the sun. The numbers don’t exactly line up but close. I think sunspots are at their lowest when Jupiter is farthest away from the sun and at their highest when Jupiter is closest. Since Jupiter has a powerful magnetic field some folks think the magnetic effects predominate over the gravitational ones.


24 posted on 09/02/2009 5:36:54 AM PDT by 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten
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To: Kaslin
There's no little black spot on the sun today.

It's the same old thing as the day before yesterday.

25 posted on 09/02/2009 6:06:32 AM PDT by jpl
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To: Kaslin

This all can’t possibly mean that climate change is cyclical!!


26 posted on 09/02/2009 6:43:03 AM PDT by greatplains
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To: Kaslin
Thanks for the ping & good news. Goldberg's OpEds get circulation around the drive by media. It's in the LA Times! Others are probably posting & printing it too.
27 posted on 09/02/2009 11:47:19 AM PDT by neverdem (Xin loi minh oi)
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To: Kaslin

Pfft - JG still appears to suffer from the delusion that carbon increase precedes temperature rise...Vostok core samples say temperature increase precedes carbon increase, a pattern that has held over millions of years.


28 posted on 09/02/2009 8:30:54 PM PDT by bt_dooftlook (John Adams: Our constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate)
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To: Kaslin
No Sunspots today (Sept. 3)


29 posted on 09/02/2009 10:24:53 PM PDT by El Gato ("The Second Amendment is the RESET button of the United States Constitution." -- Doug McKay)
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To: El Gato

Same here too. http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/mdi_igr/1024/latest.jpg


30 posted on 09/03/2009 5:43:48 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: xcamel

Actually, the “official” SIDC count of sunspots has a ZERO for Aug.31, but they counted one on Sep.1.

The Spotless streak went to 52, one short of the record. That puny spot was gone on Sep.2


31 posted on 09/03/2009 11:25:41 AM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: 75thOVI; aimhigh; Alice in Wonderland; AndrewC; aragorn; aristotleman; Avoiding_Sulla; BBell; ...
Thanks neverdem.
 
Catastrophism
· join · view topics · view or post blog · bookmark · post new topic ·

32 posted on 09/03/2009 3:50:16 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__Since Jan 3, 2004__Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
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To: Kaslin
Don't you dare forget your reusable shopping bags, but pay no attention to that burning ball of gas in the sky -- it's just the only thing that prevents the planet from being a lifeless ball of ice engulfed in darkness.
33 posted on 09/03/2009 4:02:27 PM PDT by marron
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To: marron

I use reusuable shopping bags, but only because I hate the plastic shopping bags


34 posted on 09/03/2009 5:07:51 PM PDT by Kaslin (Acronym for 0bama: One Big Ass Mistake America)
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