Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Mixed Messages in Palin Numbers
Public Policy Polling ^ | July 8, 2009 | Tom Jensen

Posted on 07/08/2009 2:26:45 PM PDT by yongin

46% of Americans view Palin favorably, with 45% holding a negative opinion of her. In monthly surveys conducted between April and June her favorable rating was in the range of 42-43%.

The slight increase in popularity is fueled by the number of Republicans with a positive view of her increasing from 75 to 79%. She is static with independents and slightly down with Democrats.

When it comes to whether she's fit to be President though, 55% of voters in the country say no with just 37% in the affirmative. And asked specifically how her early resignation affects their inclination to some day support her for the White House, 57% of respondents say it makes them less likely to do so compared to 30% who say it makes them more likely to vote for her.

Here are some other key findings from the poll:

-Only 19% of moderates think Palin is fit to be President.

-She has a +8 net favorability rating with men but a -6 one with women.

-Despite her overall popularity with Republicans only 68% of them think she is cut out to be chief executive.

-Among voters with a favorable opinion of her 21% do not say she is fit to be President. Among voters with an unfavorable opinion of her only 1% say she is fit to be President. Both of these numbers present problems for Palin. The first one shows that even among a decent chunk of voters who like her they don't think she's suited to be leader of the free world. The second one shows that there's little hope of her earning the respect of her detractors. For instance many Democrats, while holding an unfavorable opinion of John McCain, would still say that he is fit to be President. But when it comes to Palin they don't like her or take her particularly seriously.

What does it mean? She's absolutely beloved by the party base and there's no doubt she can be a hit for years to come at fundraisers and GOTV rallies. And she may even be popular enough with Republicans to score the party's nomination in 2012 if she wants it. But national polls we conducted between March and June showed her trailing Barack Obama by an average of 16 points, worse than Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, and even Newt Gingrich. And the numbers within this most recent poll would seem to further confirm that barring some major rehabilitation of her image, nominating her in 2012 would be a GOP death wish.

I doubt she'll run in 2012 but if she does my guess is that she only ends up getting nominated if Barack Obama's reelection seems inevitable and Republicans just want to vote for someone who makes them feel good, ala Barry Goldwater in 1964. If they think they have a real chance of winning they'll probably nominate someone who is perceived to be more electable.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Alaska
KEYWORDS: palin; sarah; sarahpalin; waronsarah
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-57 next last

1 posted on 07/08/2009 2:26:45 PM PDT by yongin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: yongin

Better put on your asbestos undies....


2 posted on 07/08/2009 2:29:10 PM PDT by steve-b (Intelligent design is to evolutionary biology what socialism is to free-market economics.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yongin
46% of Americans view Palin favorably, with 45% holding a negative opinion of her. In monthly surveys conducted between April and June her favorable rating was in the range of 42-43%.

I'd say her's is a damn sight better'n Zer0's right now......nuff said...

3 posted on 07/08/2009 2:29:53 PM PDT by Gaffer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Norman Bates; LS; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; Clintonfatigued

Before anyone jumps and cries Public Policy Polling is a Dem pollster, Freepers accepted PPP’s recent survey results showing Jersey and Virginia ripe for GOP takeover this year.


4 posted on 07/08/2009 2:30:12 PM PDT by yongin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yongin

PPP is a primary Democrat firm.

What are the numbers for D/I/R asked?

That’s where the key lies.


5 posted on 07/08/2009 2:30:42 PM PDT by ThePanFromJapan (The Pundit class is going to be crapping bricks at what's coming next...*evil grin*)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yongin
"-She has a +8 net favorability rating with men but a -6 one with women. "

That's shocking, and could probably be the stuff enterprising psychiatrists could publish articles, perhaps even books about.

Her unfavorability mirrors, or even surpasses Hilary Clinton's. And, we know how that turned out. On the other hand, Palin hasn't had a moments peace from the criticism since the campaign ended. I don't think it's impossible for her to turn it around if, as some others have mentioned, she begins to surround herself with some quality coaches. If she continues to go it alone, she'll never get past her own negatives.

6 posted on 07/08/2009 2:31:48 PM PDT by OldDeckHand (No Socialized Medicine, No Way, No How, No Time)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yongin

These are good polls and great news. The positive numbers are the base. The negative numbers are based in media malpractice and can be partially turned. I’m delighted at this report.


7 posted on 07/08/2009 2:31:58 PM PDT by jimfree (Freep and ye shall find!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: yongin
-She has a +8 net favorability rating with men but a -6 one with women.

How much do you want to bet that most of the women dinging her with negatives are just jealous of her beauty and gracefulness? Sarah reminds me of both a favorite school teacher and a Den Mother.

8 posted on 07/08/2009 2:31:58 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Are there any men left in Washington? Or, are there only cowards? Ahmad Shah Massoud)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yongin

It’s a VERY long way to 2012.


9 posted on 07/08/2009 2:32:29 PM PDT by TBP
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yongin

It’s a VERY long way to 2012.


10 posted on 07/08/2009 2:32:38 PM PDT by TBP
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ThePanFromJapan

Waaay to early yet. Wait until she’s unleashed on the lower 48.


11 posted on 07/08/2009 2:32:44 PM PDT by norge (The amiable dunce is back wearing a skirt and high heels.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: yongin

Who cares right now anyway? No one knows what she’s going to do. This is nothing more than bored pundits passing the time as the dog days of summer approaches. Just to give noted anti-Palin troll steve-b some mental stimulation.


12 posted on 07/08/2009 2:33:25 PM PDT by Extremely Extreme Extremist ("President Obama, your agenda is not new, it's not change, and it's not hope" - Rush Limbaugh 02/28)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Vigilanteman
Sarah reminds me of both a favorite school teacher and a Den Mother.

Absolutely so - the kind that I loved as a mother or had a crush on.

13 posted on 07/08/2009 2:33:58 PM PDT by jimfree (Freep and ye shall find!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: norge

Exactly.

I’m interested in the percentage of people sampled by PPP.

PPP is alright, but sometimes their sampling numbers are a little...problematic.

And before yongin comes back with the “ha, I told you so”, understand that Chris Christie is going to lose in New Jersey. The base ain’t pulling for him one iota.


14 posted on 07/08/2009 2:34:41 PM PDT by ThePanFromJapan (The Pundit class is going to be crapping bricks at what's coming next...*evil grin*)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: yongin
-She has a +8 net favorability rating with men but a -6 one with women.

I'd love to see the breakdown of this one.
While I wouldn't exactly call Gender politics a myth, it is trumped by Racial politics.

When a GOP presidential candidate is down 6 points among women, they tend to be even among white women, but down about 80 points among black women. That's a little statistical lie when you lump all that together and call it the women's vote. (Same thing happens for men, by the way.)

15 posted on 07/08/2009 2:34:45 PM PDT by Tanniker Smith (Obi-Wan Palin: Strike her down and she shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yongin

A couple years of Carter 2.0 economics should narrow the gap between zero and Sarah. Time is our friend.


16 posted on 07/08/2009 2:35:19 PM PDT by throwback
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yongin

A lot of Dems are worried the “free checks” may no longer be in the mail.......But, just think, those “Evil Bush Tax Cuts”(tm) expire in about 6 months.


17 posted on 07/08/2009 2:36:32 PM PDT by radioone
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yongin

In New Jersey the sheep always come home and vote Dem it seems no matter what the polls show. Maybe this year will be different.


18 posted on 07/08/2009 2:36:40 PM PDT by mrsixpack36
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: OldDeckHand

{Her unfavorability mirrors, or even surpasses Hilary Clinton’s}

Funny you mention Hillary. Both Palin and Hillary are both loved by their respective bases, hated by their respective oppositions, and have wobbly support from independents. I guess you could call Palin the Right Hillary.


19 posted on 07/08/2009 2:38:17 PM PDT by yongin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: yongin
When it comes to whether she's fit to be President though, 55% of voters in the country say no with just 37% in the affirmative.

She needs to devote her time now to changing that number. I think she can do it - this is a woman with enormous personal magnetism. Once people see her and hear her directly instead of through the MSM's filter, I suspect a lot of people are going to find Palin a lot more likable and admirable than her crazed detractors.
20 posted on 07/08/2009 2:38:19 PM PDT by AnotherUnixGeek
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-57 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson