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To: mlo; MHGinTN; hoosiermama; Jim Robinson; Congressman Billybob

Credibility is exactly the point.
***Then let us address it. Hoosiermama’s dad was an appellate lawyer. So is congressman billybob. There are a few lawyers here on FR that could address this issue. It’s very simple. What is the threshold of credibility for an issue? When is it no longer the purview of Tinfoil Hat Conspiracists? When an issue has 6 concurrent cases before the SCOTUS, has been forwarded for conference 5 times, and there are 10 MORE cases winding their way through the court system, does that meet the threshold? Chemtrails, Vince Foster, Ron Brown, Flight 800, none of those issues made it this far. The Monica Lewinsky thing did.

We’re constantly told that we are tinfoil hat conspiracy theorists. My counter argument is that the issue has been forwarded for conference 5 times, twice in Berg’s case. I would like to know how rare that is, or if it really is “just procedure”. Congressman Billybob says that 1/200 cases are not rejected outright. So have these cases made it past that filter yet? What are the chances that a case will be forwarded for conference?

Using that chance, N, then it’s (1/N)^5 that all of these cases were forwarded for conference. When N was 200, look where we ended up...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2160501/posts

“The fact that these lawsuits have been forwarded for conference 4 times is a 1 in 1.6Billion chance.”

The odds have increased even more. The Lightfoot case was Distributed for Conference today by Roberts. #5.
***Yikes. That’s (1/200)^5, which is a 1 in 320Billion chance. When you combine that with the odds that the fake CoLB posted by the nom de plume “hayIBaPhorgerie” has the same time of birth as zer0bama.which is 1/34560 that 2 people would be born at 7:24pm. Now the odds are about 1 in a genuine QUADRILLION, or a thousand trillions. And yet, we’re all just a bunch of kooky conspiracy theorists. Is Judge Roberts a conspiracy theorist?

If nobody disputed these claims then casual readers would all believe these claims were known facts, as many already do. Outsiders would think FR was filled with wackos, which is how most of them see proponents of this issue.

It has the potential to distract everyone from real issues that are bound to come up in the Obama presidency, and to poison the mind against our system of government.

The world should see FR as an original, wide-ranging, intelligent, creative, and conservative forum. Which it mostly is. I’m a huge fan of FreeRepublic. When people read these posts I want them to know that we don’t all buy into the nonsense.

If you disagree with me, fine. That’s your right. You should express your disagreement and argue your points. Don’t engage in personal attacks because someone doesn’t agree with you. It only poisons the atmosphere and makes the attacker look ignorant.


505 posted on 01/12/2009 6:42:30 PM PST by Kevmo ( It's all over for this Country as a Constitutional Republic. ~Leo Donofrio, 12/14/08)
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To: Kevmo
Good analysis. The issue is beating all kinds of odds against it. That means a better chance of victory, but it doesn't create or guarantee victory.

Congressman Billybob

Latest article, "The Silence of Snow"

The Declaration, the Constitution, parts of the Federalist, and America's Owner's Manual, here.

510 posted on 01/12/2009 6:51:42 PM PST by Congressman Billybob (Latest book: www.AmericasOwnersManual.com)
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To: Kevmo
"When an issue has 6 concurrent cases before the SCOTUS, has been forwarded for conference 5 times, and there are 10 MORE cases winding their way through the court system, does that meet the threshold?"

No. Because they are denying them as fast as they can. Getting to conference to get denied is no trick. The original justice denied it. It got resubmitted to another justice. That justice takes it conference where they can all deny it once and for all.

Being sent to conference doesn't mean anything about merits or the chances of success. It's just the procedure.

533 posted on 01/12/2009 7:49:18 PM PST by mlo
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