Posted on 11/04/2008 8:50:33 AM PST by RobinMasters
These results from early voting in Colorado are fascinating.
Out of 1,704,280 "early votes" cast, over 50% of registered voters, the percentage breakdown was:
Dem 33.44% (569,875) Rep 32.64% (556,241) Ind. 24.71% (421,124)
The print edition of this story shows a graphic with the following information:
Voting by absentee ballot:
Total 1,339,065
Rep. 441,841 Dem. 441,203 Ind. 311,196
(Excerpt) Read more at campaignspot.nationalreview.com ...
Great news!
I believe one could safely assume this puts Hussein behind going into today.
Ruh ro, Robama.
Not a good sign for that one.
We’re gonna win Colorado!
Yes, and I would say that many of the Democrat and most of the independents voted for McCain.
Jim Geraghty should forward this to Rich Lowry!
But I still think CO is in the GOP column this evening.
Pretty powerful stuff. The polls were all based on big turnout advantages from the Dems. We now see in both CO and NV, it is not so.
I realize you cannot get carried away with anecdotes. But post after post here and at other sites indicate RED GOP areas are having MASSIVE turnout. The entire Obama campaign was built on driving up massive turnout in cities and counting on depressed GOP turnout in the exurbs and red counties. If that doesn’t happen, it is either going to be 2000 part deux, or a McCain landslide. I can’t see an Obama blowout unless a lot of the Republican counties are seeing OBama defections. Hard to imagine that, but you never know I suppose.
And in CA, and in FL, and in OH...
BTW, based on those 2004 exit polls, we’d say Obama is up about 5% in early votes.
That would be 7% from independents and a loss of 2% from PUMAs nudging Dems/McCain vs GOP/Obama mix.
And Dems vote early more often than GOP. So down 5% with 50% to go, with that 50% heavy GOP.
Well, I think we can be confident that the massive ground swell of voters for Obama hasn't appeared.
CO should stay Red, espically if Democrats vote McCain in large numbers, which I think they will due to the Hillary voters.
This is brutal news for Obama. Colorado is a must have for him, and all the polls were showing him with a comfortable lead.
If Obama loses Colorado, he stands a good chance of losing Minnesota and Pennsylvania, and has no chance of carrying Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina or Florida.
Could this be the sign that we'll see a McCain/Palin 300 electoral vote night?
McCain is going to both CO and NV today, or CO and NM?
I wish he would make a surprise stop in MO - St. Louis theft worries me terribly.
That is not true. Just because CO comes through, that means nothing relative to NC or VA given the minority population in the latter states. I am worried about both NC and VA. Turnout in northern VA appears to be very heavy and I am not hearing concurrent info from red parts of VA.
It's one of many signs that have been pointing to a comfortable McCain/Palin victory for weeks. And you can throw WI, IA, NH, NM and MI into the mix of states Obama may well lose this evening.
Yesterday, I read a quote from Lindsay Graham, one of McCain's closest confidantes. Graham said he would beat Michael Phelps at swimming before Obama won NC. Then Graham added, "And I can't swim!" :-)
Where did you hear McCain was outperforming Bush in Southern VA?
I hope so. I’m so nervous, I can’t even eat lunch at work.
From a friend plugged into the GOP machine dealing with VA. This "performance" was based on polling info (and maybe some very early voting turnout), not on anything seen today.
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