[Owen]

Pretty powerful stuff. The polls were all based on big turnout advantages from the Dems. We now see in both CO and NV, it is not so.

[impeachedrapist]

The polls were all based on big turnout advantages from the Dems. We now see in both CO and NV, it is not so.

And in CA, and in FL, and in OH...

[Owen]

BTW, based on those 2004 exit polls, we’d say Obama is up about 5% in early votes.

That would be 7% from independents and a loss of 2% from PUMAs nudging Dems/McCain vs GOP/Obama mix.

And Dems vote early more often than GOP. So down 5% with 50% to go, with that 50% heavy GOP.

[raisetheroof]

The polls were all based on big turnout advantages from the Dems.

I live in the suburbs west of Denver, and just finished voting.

I was anticipating a long line at my precinct, like it was in 2004. This time however, there were all of four people in front of me. The place was dead.

If the Dims were counting on a big turn out, they weren't getting it here.