Gallup finally mentioned their party affiliation numbers in the article associated with their final poll. Here are those numbers:
Democrat - 39%
Independent - 31%
Republican - 29%
Here are the numbers from exit polling in the 2004 election:
Democrat - 37%
Republican - 37%
Independent - 26%
Here are the numbers from exit polling in the 2006 election:
Democrat - 38%
Republican - 36%
Independent - 26%
Do they really believe that the gap has gone from 0 in 2004 to +2 for the Democrats in 2006 to +10 for the Democrats in 2008?
Do YOU believe that?
-Bob
I think D +10 party ID gap is probably an overestimate. Rasmussen shows D +6.5 in his 6-week average, I think the true gap is 5 to 8 points in this election.