Posted on 10/31/2008 12:31:27 AM PDT by DiogenesLaertius
I’m going to let you in on a few secrets here, and this is not because I enjoy the gossip or the attention directed my way. I’m doing this because I doubt much of you know the true weaknesses of Obama. Another reason for my doing this is that I am lost faith in this campaign, and feel that this choice has been forced on many people in this country. Put simply, you are being manipulated. That was and is our job – to manipulate you (the electorate) and the media (we already had them months ago). Our goal is to create chaos with the other side, not hope. I’ve come to the realization (as the campaign already has) that if this comes to the issues, Barack Obama doesn’t have a chance. His only chance is to foster disorganization, chaos, despair, and a sense of inevitability among the Republicans. It has worked up until now. Joe the Plumber has put the focus on the issues again, and this scares us more than anything. Being in a position to know these things, I will rate what the Obama campaign already knows are their weak links from the most important on down.
1 – Hillary voters. Internal polling suggests that at best, we are taking 70-75% of these voters. Other estimates are as low as 60% in some areas – particularly Ohio and western PA. My biggest problem with this campaign’s strategy was the decision NOT to offer Hillary the VP slot. She was ready and able to take this on, and would have campaigned enthusiastically for it. This selection would have also brought virtually all of her supporters into the fold, and the Obama campaign knew it. Though I have no way of knowing this for certain, and I do admit that I am relying on internal gossip, Senator Obama actually went against the advice of his top advisors. They wanted him to choose her, but the only significant opposition to this within the campaign came from Barack and Michelle Obama. In short, he let personal feelings take precedence over what was the most logical thing to do. Biden, by the way, has been a disaster inside the campaign. Everyone cringes whenever he gives an interview, and he creates so many headaches as the campaign has to stay on their toes in order to disseminate information and spin whatever it was he was trying to say.
2 – Sarah Palin. Don’t believe what the media is telling you about how horrible a choice she was. Again, our internal polling suggest that though she has had a minimal impact on pulling disaffected Hillary Democrats to McCain, she has done wonders in mobilizing the base for McCain. Another thing – we were completely taken by surprise with her pick. In my capacity in the research department, I looked into the backgrounds of Leiberman, Romney, Pawlenty and Ridge, and prepared briefs. I don’t mind bragging that we had pretty good stuff on all of them. With Leiberman, the plan was to paint him as an erratic old-timer who didn’t have a clue as to what he was doing (pretty much a clone of McCain). In Romney, we had him pegged as an evil capitalist who cut jobs. Pawlenty was going to get the “Quayle treatment”, or more precisely: a pretty face, with no valid experience. Tom Ridge was going to be used to provide a direct link from McCain to Bush. As you can see, we were quite enamored of all of them. Then the unexpected happened – Sarah Palin. We had no clue as to how to handle her, and bungled it from the start. Though through our misinformation networks, we have successfully taken some of the shine off. But let there be no doubt. She remains a major obstacle. She has singlehanded solidified “soft” Republican support, mobilized the McCain ground game, and has even had some appeal to independents and Hillary voters. This is what our internal polling confirms.
3 – Obama’s radical connections. Standards operating procedure has been to cry “racism” whenever one of these has been brought up. We even have a detailed strategy ready to go should McCain ever bring Rev. Wright up. Though by themselves they are of minimal worth, taken together, Rev. Wright, Bill Ayers, Father Pfelger, and now, Rashid Khalili, are exactly what the campaign does not need. The more focus on them, the more this election becomes a referendum on Obama. The campaign strategy from the very beginning was to make this election a referendum on Bush. Strategists have been banging their head on how successfully McCain has distanced himself from Bush. This has worked, and right now the tide is in his favor. People are taking a new look at Barack Obama, and our experience when this happens tells us this is not good news at all. When they take a look at him, one or more of these names are bound to be brought up. McCain has wisely not harped on this in recent weeks and let voters decide for themselves. This was a trap we set for him, and he never fully took the bait. Senator Obama openly dared him to bring up Ayers. This was not due to machismo on the part of Obama, but actually due to campaign strategy. Though McCain’s reference to Ayers fell flat in the last debate, people in the Obama campaign were actually disappointed that he didn’t follow through on it more and getting into it. Our focus groups found this out: When McCain brings these connections up, voters are turned off to him. They’d rather take this into consideration themselves, and when this happens, our numbers begin to tank.
4 – The Bradley Effect. Don’t believe these polls for a second. I just went over our numbers and found that we have next to no chance in the following states: Missouri, Indiana, North Carolina, Florida, New Hampshire and Nevada. Ohio leans heavily to McCain, but is too close to call it for him. Virginia, Pennsylvania, Colorado, New Mexico and Iowa are the true “toss up states”. The only two of these the campaign feels “confident” in are Iowa and New Mexico. The reason for such polling discrepancy is the Bradley Effect, and this is a subject of much discussion in the campaign. In general, we tend to take a -10 point percentage in allowing for this, and are not comfortable until the polls give us a spread well over this mark. This is why we are still campaigning in Virginia and Pennsylvania! This is why Ohio is such a desperate hope for us! What truly bothers this campaign is the fact that some pollsters get up to an 80% “refuse to respond” result. You can’t possibly include these into the polls. The truth is, people are afraid to let people know who they are voting for. The vast majority of these respondents are McCain supporters. Obama is the “hip” choice, and we all know it.
As part of my research duties, I scour right wing blogs and websites to get somewhat of a “feel” as to what is being talked about on the other side. Much of it is nonsense, but there are some exceptions which give the campaign jitters. A spirited campaign has been made to infiltrate many pro-Hillary sites and discredit them. A more disorganized, but genuine effort has also been made to sow doubts among the unapologetically right wing sites such as redstate.com. Don’t you guys get it? This has been the Obama campaign’s sole strategy from the very beginning! The only way he wins is over a dispirited, disorganized, and demobilized opposition. This is how it has been for all of his campaigns. What surprises me is that everyone has fallen for it. You may point to the polls as proof of the inevitability of all of this. If so, you have fallen for the oldest trick in the book. How did we skew these polls, you might ask? It all starts with the media “buzz” which has been generated over the campaign. Many stories are generated on the powerful Obama ground game, and how many new voters were registered. None of this happens by coincidence. It is all part of the poll-skewing process. This makes pollsters change their mixes to reflect these new voters and tilt the mix more towards Democratic voters. What is not mentioned or reported on is not the “under-reported cell phone users or young voters” we hear so much about. What is underreported is you.
I changed my somewhat positive opinion of this campaign during the unfair and sexist campaign against Sarah Palin. I will never agree with her on the issues and will probably never vote for her, but I am embarrassed of what has happened. I can’t ignore our own hand in all of this. What I do know is that I will not be voting for Obama this time around. Treat that as you will.
I saw a posting on this last night and it was removed because, allegedly, the link didn’t work. It did for me and I linked to the original article. Pretty scarey stuff but I tend to agree with the poster about everything said. It sounds like something the DNC would do. They are no longer patriotic and have been taken over by socialists.
If these PUMA's are the real deal, after Mac wins, we should still work together to finally close the door on B Hussein & his crew.
If this election is any indication, we will only have 2 years to do so, then it's back to our own corners to start the battle for 2012 !
How would what they are saying about Obummer on their websites help him in any way? No, I think they are real and telling the truth about why they are pi$$ed.
They talk about that idea openly (working together in common areas after the election). They are mostly old-fashioned Dems and talk a lot about what happened to the party under Dean, Brazile, Pelosi and Reid. They’re furious at the Daily Kos types and feel the party has been hijacked by CodePink types.
If the document were one to encourage voter apathy, I’d have to agree.
But it isn’t in fact it is one which serves to motivate, excite, and empower the Republican voter base! It one which couldn’t be better calculated to motivate McCain/Palin voters to vote and to amke sure other McCain/Palin voters get to the polls, even if they have to be driven!
That is a battle I would be glad to fight along side the PUMA's! The daily Kos & Code Pink types are just too dangerous for this country.
Sure, they don't intentionally allow for vote fraud, they just have such lax controls in place that it is allowed to happen.
He works in the research dept!? This is pretty well known throughout America. No scandals or other crap here either. Just differences in ideology.
Compare this information to the information found on Obama by our "research dept".
Great idea. The left wing kooks are gone. Our only hope is that they keep moving to the left until they fall off the edge of the earth.
I have to ask: What is a PUMA? I see it written but don’t know what it means. Thanks.
PUMA = Party Unity My Ass. Disaffected Hillary supporters planning to vote McCain or sit it out.
Honestly, I don’t think there are any fence sitters right now and those who say they are have made up their mind and don’t want anyone to try to talk them out of it so they say they haven’t made up their mind yet.
I think most of them don’t want to tell people they’re voting McCain because they’re afraid of being called a racist, and there are a few who are afraid to tell because they don’t want to be shown for being lemmings.
I think the 7-9% “undecided” will break about 90% McCain.
See my new tagline....
LOL .. My wife's favorite retort!
Oh! Thank you. Now I understand...
RCP Polls:
NH Democrat Primary Final Poll Avg.: Obama: +8.3%
NH Democrat Primary Results: Clinton: +2.6%
OH Democrat Primary Final Poll Avg.: Clinton: +7.1%
OH Democrat Primary Results: Clinton: +10.1%
PA Democrat Primary Final Poll Avg.: Clinton: +6.1%
PA Democrat Primary Results: Clinton: +9.2%
http://www.puma08.com/2008/10/29/obamas-speechwriter-boldly-declares-shes-a-puma/
Comments section, this little gem:
PUMA’S! (I’M POSTING THIS IN EVERY DISCUSSION - AS WE ONLY HAVE 5 DAYS LEFT) This is a letter, with a ’sample flyer to follow’, that if you could send it to media outlets and ‘get the word out’, would be appreciated, because for some reason my email wouldn’t do it.
MARCH FOR MCCAIN!
Dear (whoever - put in name of person sent to)
I and another member of teamsarah.org, are organizing a (last-minute) NATIONAL ‘MARCH’ for McCain/Palin 2008 this Sunday, called the ‘MILLION MCCAIN MARCH’. We are planning for every city in every state to be represented to show our support for the McCain/Palin candidacy (and some perhaps just opposed to the Obama/Biden one). We are absolutely appalled at the overwhelming bias of the liberal media, and we’re making our ’silenced’ voices heard this Sunday. While there will surely be other rallies throughout the next few days, this is a concerted effort for a NATIONAL CALL OF SUPPORT, and to oppose the policies of the Democratic candidate. I myself am a registered Independent, who would have voted for Hillary Clinton, and due to her ‘defeat’ of the nomination, and the utter disrespect which Obama showed to her and Bill Clinton, will be voting for McCain/Palin. There is also a website, puma08.com, which has ALOT of angry Hillary voters who are voting for McCain/Palin. We would GREATLY APPRECIATE YOUR SUPPORT for this endeavor, and would love to have a NATIONAL FRONT to oppose the Obama INFOMERCIAL.
Thank you for your informative reporting, and again, please help by giving us a ‘plug’.
Sincerely,
Brooke Emery
Miami, FL
(flyer sample)
MARCH for MCCAIN!
Sunday, November 2, starting at 12 noon, in EVERY city and state in America, McCain supporters will join in showing their support for their candidates.
If you would like to be a part of this National show of support for McCain/Palin 2008 for the MILLION MCCAIN MARCH, please email millionmccainmarch@yahoo.com, to coordinate meeting times and places. (pls. leave msg with name, your city/state/zip, and a major ‘location’ you are near, so we can direct you to the right place.
We want to have McCain/Palin supporters at every major intersection to show all of the McCain/Palin voters that we are ALIVE and KICKING, and that the POLLS are WRONG! Let’s show that WE LOVE AMERICA!
(in here is a picture of McCain/Palin logo)
see teamsarah.org for more information
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