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RASMUSSEN Shock: Obama Lead Down to 3 Points... Developing...
Drudge Report ^

Posted on 10/29/2008 4:20:21 AM PDT by ViceroyArgus

RASMUSSEN Shock: Obama Lead Down to 3 Points... Developing...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008polls; deception; electioneering; gallupbs; mccain; obama; palin; rasmussenlies
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To: glennaro
when we show up to vote we win. Simple as that, my friend.

Correct...and we will.

81 posted on 10/29/2008 4:53:09 AM PDT by Bahbah (Typical white person-Snow white)
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To: LibLieSlayer

I know that I was in the minority of backing the professional credentials of Rasmussen, although he has stated publicly that he was virtually sure that Obama was going to win. The reason I maintained this viewpoint is that unlike Zogby who went ‘rogue’ by showing that McCain had lost 9.2 points over a 4 day polling period Rasmussen over the last month has boasted that up to yesterday Obama had earned between 50-52% of the vote and McCain had gained 44-46% of the vote (yesterday was 51-46). This may be boring to some but to me it shows that Rasmussen’s polling methods are sound. Thus for him to show a McCain surge of 5 points in 2 days to now where Obama has only a 3 point lead shows me that McCain’s momentum is real and despite Rasmussen’s own public pronouncements, he still maintains a professional integrity, unlike Zogby. As i have said on this web site before Rasmussen must be one conflicted individual.


82 posted on 10/29/2008 4:53:17 AM PDT by techno
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To: careyb

Actually, oversampling (IMHO) by 3 points... So, it’s a DEAD heat, exactly even, according to my estimates... I do think that it will be Dems +5 over Reps.


83 posted on 10/29/2008 4:53:23 AM PDT by NYC Republican (PLENTY of time for analysis/I-told-you-so in 7 days. Now, Infuriate the MSM--- Support McCain/Palin)
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To: ViceroyArgus

This has always been a tight race despite the CBS/ABC/NBC polls stating Obama had a 13 point lead. There was never a 13 point lead but an effort to dissuade independents and Republicans from voting for McCain because the race was ‘over already’.

Now, the pollsters must reflect that actual data or be saddled with poor accuracy reputation that will affect their potential future income. That is why the race is tightening.


84 posted on 10/29/2008 4:53:39 AM PDT by WaterBoard (Somewhere a Village is Missing it's Socialist.)
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To: johncocktoasten

I agree, I think it will backfire. Still I would bet dollars to doughnuts the pollsterbators show bambi up after his prime time ego ejaculation.


85 posted on 10/29/2008 4:53:43 AM PDT by HerrBlucher
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To: jrooney
Plus this infomercial is going to DELAY THE START of the game

And you know what's so funny about that? The Philles are in the World Series and Philly fans in the CRITICAL MUST WIN STATE OF PA, will be PISSED OFF BIGTIME at the Messiah for delaying the game.

86 posted on 10/29/2008 4:53:59 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: Prophet in the wilderness

Funny.


87 posted on 10/29/2008 4:54:40 AM PDT by NYC Republican (PLENTY of time for analysis/I-told-you-so in 7 days. Now, Infuriate the MSM--- Support McCain/Palin)
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To: Cedric
At this point, I'm praying Obama changes his mind about his half-hour infomercial.......

my prayer is that, at the last minute, he decides to go for a full hour!

I'm praying that by divine intervention the infomercial won't happen, or that McCain Palin will have their own.

88 posted on 10/29/2008 4:54:41 AM PDT by Proudcongal (POW/WOW '08)
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To: Aquinasfan

Remember Rush Limbaugh is right 98.6% of the time.


89 posted on 10/29/2008 4:55:00 AM PDT by techno
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To: ViceroyArgus; All

Ok. We know that Rasmussen is slanting to the Dems by +7.2%.

So with even turnout numbers, we can assume a McCain lead of about 4% with his numbers. How big a lead does McCain need before we get coattails and he sweeps in a bunch of pubbies down ticket. I am going to ask this important question for you all to digest and think about....

If McCain wins by 5% or more, can we take back the House of Representatives? I believe it is possible because alot of the 2006 races were razor thin margins with conservative dems running. Just something to think about....


90 posted on 10/29/2008 4:55:22 AM PDT by johncocktoasten (Obama/Biden '08, in and of itself, A Bridge To Nowhere)
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To: AmericaUnited

Don’t forget Florida, PA and FL are both swing states.


91 posted on 10/29/2008 4:55:35 AM PDT by Dawn531
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To: AmericaUnited
Yeah baby. Move along nothing to see, just the false messiah primping again.
92 posted on 10/29/2008 4:55:49 AM PDT by jrooney (I am not voting for Spread the Wealth/Senator Government. I am voting for the War Hero and Baracuda.)
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To: jerod
"With Democrat oversampling... McCain is going to pull this off and they know it. They can produce all the polls they want with Obama up by double digits, but it won’t fly come election day.

It’s about time that they started preparing the news media and the left-wing for a big letdown on election day. I’d hate to see any of them jump out a window".


I have to say I totally agree with you in regard to your first paragraph, but totally disagree with the second. As long as they don't land on a pedestrian, bag lady, stray cat, or other innocent being-seeing them jumping out of a window after the loss would be extra sweet for me.

I'm ready- I already have my supplies on hand: Popcorn, butter, salt, a bottle of Wild Turkey 101, ice, and a loaded weapon handy to greet any unexpected/unwanted guests. Let the games begin!
93 posted on 10/29/2008 4:56:18 AM PDT by Mac from Cleveland (Joe Biden behind a microphone is like Ted Kennedy behind a steering wheel)
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To: conservativefromGa

I think the purpose of this prime-time ad is as much to calm the emotional left which is in a panic because they thought this was wrapped up (and it’s not — not by a long shot) as well as to scare up a few more votes. What B-O says at this late date is unlikely to cause a significant number of additional people to embrace him or to others change their vote. He knows he’s in trouble and that he has a recent history of being unable to, as they say, “close the deal”.


94 posted on 10/29/2008 4:57:03 AM PDT by glennaro
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To: paudio

That’s EXACTLY why Pew produced that bogus poll... To skew the averages... They knew that the other bogus poll (NewsweAk) was going to drop off, so they had to replace it with another lying poll, to keep the “air of inevitability” going.


95 posted on 10/29/2008 4:57:29 AM PDT by NYC Republican (PLENTY of time for analysis/I-told-you-so in 7 days. Now, Infuriate the MSM--- Support McCain/Palin)
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To: ViceroyArgus




YES TO MCCAIN-PALIN '08 FOR AMERICA





SARAH PALIN DRAWING HUGE CROWDS ALL ACROSS AMERICA







http://www.jeffhead.com/joeplumber.htm


96 posted on 10/29/2008 4:57:48 AM PDT by Jeff Head (Freedom is not free...never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: NYC Republican

Obama told Rasmussen that there was 57 states and he was going on that assumption.


97 posted on 10/29/2008 4:59:02 AM PDT by Hang'emAll
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To: gov_bean_ counter

Marilyn has a better complexion.


98 posted on 10/29/2008 4:59:08 AM PDT by John W (Maverick I can do, but, Messiah is above my paygrade)
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To: ViceroyArgus
“Obama Lead Down to 3 Points”

RACISM! /s

99 posted on 10/29/2008 4:59:27 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper (The Obama Nation)
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To: johncocktoasten
How big a lead does McCain need before we get coattails and he sweeps in a bunch of pubbies down ticket. I am going to ask this important question for you all to digest and think about....

I think that depends in part on the PUMA impact. How many and how mad. If they are willing to blame the whole Democrat machine, then things could get ugly for the donkey party.

100 posted on 10/29/2008 4:59:28 AM PDT by gov_bean_ counter ( Sarah Palin is America's Margaret Thatcher; Obama is America's George Galloway.)
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