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Encouraging poll results from IBD/TIPP -- the firm that was most accurate in 2004 Election...
IBD / TIPP ^ | 10/27/2008 | IBD / TIPP

Posted on 10/28/2008 7:34:50 AM PDT by NYC_BULLMOOSE

John McCain vs. Barack Obama Release Date McCain Obama Undecided Spread October 27 44.2% 47.0% 8.8% +2.8 Obama October 26 43.3% 46.5% 10.1% +3.2 Obama October 25 41.9% 45.8% 12.2% +3.9 Obama October 24 42.3% 45.8% 11.9% +3.5 Obama October 23 43.7% 44.8% 11.6% +1.1 Obama October 22 42.0% 45.7% 12.3% +3.7 Obama October 21 40.9% 46.9% 12.1% +6.0 Obama October 20 41.4% 46.7% 11.9% +5.3 Obama October 19 41.5% 46.6% 11.9% +5.1 Obama October 18 39.8% 47.2% 13.0% +7.3 Obama October 17 40.6% 45.9% 13.5% +5.3 Obama October 16 41.6% 45.2% 13.2% +3.6 Obama October 15 41.9% 45.2% 12.9% +3.3 Obama October 14 41.9% 44.8% 13.3% +3.0 Obama October 13 42.7% 44.8% 12.5% +2.1 Obama

(Excerpt) Read more at tipponline.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; election; mcccain; obama; polls
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To: LeoOshkosh

Sure hope so!


41 posted on 10/28/2008 7:56:31 AM PDT by theophilusscribe
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To: rwfromkansas

A little bit of a non-sequitur perhaps, but if you think Ted Stevens is hurting McCain in the polls — this may encourage you...
**************************************
Some pretty effective damage control from Palin RE: Stevens Conviction — it cam off even better on video...

Sarah Palin Statement on Stevens Conviction

From a State of Alaska press release

Governor Sarah Palin today released the following statement on the felony convictions of U.S. Senator Ted Stevens:

“This is a sad day for Alaska and for Senator Stevens and his family. The verdict shines a light on the corrupting influence of the big oil service company that was allowed to control too much of our state. That control was part of the culture of corruption I was elected to fight. And that fight must always move forward regardless of party or seniority or even past service.”

“As Governor of the State of Alaska, I will carefully monitor this situation and take any appropriate action as needed. In the meantime, I ask the people of Alaska to join me in respecting the workings of our judicial system. I’m confident Senator Stevens will do what is right for the people of Alaska.”


42 posted on 10/28/2008 7:57:22 AM PDT by NYC_BULLMOOSE ("extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice" -- BG)
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To: zert_28
Didn't the undecideds break for Hillary in the Dem primaries?

Remember that Obama had NH +8 in the primaries, and lost it when real votes were cast. Hillary also won many of the final primaries, but Obama won the nomination because of super-delegates.

MSM are worthless. Don't even pay attention to them. Trust your gut and history.

43 posted on 10/28/2008 7:57:32 AM PDT by MaestroLC ("Let him who wants peace prepare for war."--Vegetius, A.D. Fourth Century)
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To: Cedric

Because I think it’s a set up, they know exactly what each other is doing and how they will reply to various posts in order to try and depress us and keep us from voting.


44 posted on 10/28/2008 7:57:38 AM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some M,ore)
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To: babydubya1981

Their head pollster also said that he expects Dem turnout to be 8% higher than 2004. I don’t know if that includes all the dead people and illegal registered voters, but at 68% Dem turnout, John Kerry got more votes than any Dem candidate in history. If it goes to 75-76%, then our turnout needs to be 4-5% higher than 4 years ago to win. So, please you vote Tuesday. If you’ve early voted, great. Get out and ensure your friends and family vote. Turnout is key for victory!!!


45 posted on 10/28/2008 7:57:46 AM PDT by castowell (...and all weez can say is "Merci beaucoup." - BHO, 7/8/08)
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To: theophilusscribe

As Bill Greener argued in a Salon article ( http://www.salon.com/opinion/feature/2008/10/27/undecideds/ which was discussed in a FR thread recently), it doesn’t really matter so much whether McCain narrows the gap entirely. Greener believes that the undecideds will break decisively for McCain more so than they did even for Bush in 2004 because in this election a significant number of people tell pollsters they are undecided in order to avoid saying they are against Obama. Call it Bradley effect or PUMA effect or whatever you wish, but he thinks that as long as the polls aren’t showing Obama having well above 50 % of the “decideds,” he’s going to get a decided minority of the undecideds. So the fact that Obama can’t consistently break 50 %, certainly not above the margin of errror, even in these polls with their probably Rat-tilted “likely voter” projections, is good news.


46 posted on 10/28/2008 7:57:47 AM PDT by Houghton M.
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To: MaestroLC

The new TIPP poll today widened Obama’s lead to 4. The tightening stopped.


47 posted on 10/28/2008 7:57:49 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: snarkytart

Well, something caused a jump for O in the poll.

It really needs to be tightening a bit every day, not seesawing back and forth.


48 posted on 10/28/2008 7:59:38 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: JohnRand
It is encouraging, however, I’m surprised at the number for 18 - 24 year olds that are going for McCain.

You should see how this poll looked the other day. McCain was capturing 74% of 18 to 24 year olds, and Obama got only 22% of that cohort. It makes me think there is something wrong with this poll, at least in counting the youth vote.

49 posted on 10/28/2008 8:00:42 AM PDT by Dick Holmes
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To: mnehrling
I'm really busy right now - too busy to Google - but what happened on October 18th [ten days ago] that caused McCain to plummet to 39.8%?

Was that a Friday night [Saturday morning] after a bad day/week on the stock market?

50 posted on 10/28/2008 8:00:45 AM PDT by KayEyeDoubleDee (const Tag &referenceToConstTag)
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To: moose2004
I call them, “Tee-It-Up” posts.
51 posted on 10/28/2008 8:00:55 AM PDT by Cedric
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To: WalterSkinner

But you have to factor in much more voter fraud this year. I think that’s the reason Obama is so confident of his win, to the point of arrogant cockiness.


52 posted on 10/28/2008 8:02:17 AM PDT by twigs
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To: GoSarah
Its great that all these college kids are jumping in...chances are they are breaking for BO....not good....so a year from now, if BO wins, and these college kids are enrolled in Community College because Mom and Dad can't afford the $45k a year because of BO’s tax hikes and other crap policies, lets make it a point to remind them about how stupid they were to vote for BO in the first place.
53 posted on 10/28/2008 8:04:03 AM PDT by Heff (Half this country is that stupid.)
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To: kesg

I’m not sure I follow your logic.

If you look at post 19 and the breakout for Bush in 2004, HE only made 48% one time. All the other times he only got up to 47%. So why must Obama reach 48% to win? Which is not to say I don’t hope you’re right. This is a rather odd year in terms of the unlikely and very different candidates. I mean come on, Kerry and Bush? How unexciting is that duo? Compared to this year I mean.

My mother-in-law, a lib from Massachusetts, just called and asked me if I heard about all those Wall Street firms who are saving their bailout money to pay year end bonuses to their executives.

I hadn’t heard this although just now I heard The Messiash speaking at a rally about this. I told MIL that Wall Street didn’t cause this economy problems, that the Dems did.

Well she launched into a rant at me that it was the greed on Wall Street that caused this mess and I should stop being so partisan.

I sigh.

It doesn’t matter what she believes. She’s no different than yay near on 45%+ of the American public likely to vote for The Messiah Most Merciful. This is a guy who, if the pubs were doing their job, shouldn’t oughta be getting only a 13% black loyalty vote and the kook fringe.

For it is up to the opposition party to wage an aggressive campaign against their opposing competition. It is up to the opposition party to get the truth out, to defend themselves, to coalesce behind a core group of principles.

I don’t see the pubs out and pointing fingers at Dodd/Frank. McCain did, oncit. But the pubs hey, they gotta get out of the tanning booths, they gotta risk mussed up head hairs, they gotta stop reaching across the damn aisle. They gotta fight like the Dems.

THIS is why the pubs are dead meat this year. In due course, and under the soon-to-be horrific guidance of Obama the Most Merciful, a brand new generation of pubs will rise up who don’t care about their tans, who will risk head hairs that move from their appointed places, who do not think being polite means going down in flames with a smile.

I don’t want to sound negative. Goodness knows I desperately do NOT want The Messiah to win. But the pubs....they are not real men....they are LORDS living blissfully in America’s House of Lords.

It’s my story and I’m sticking to it.


54 posted on 10/28/2008 8:04:43 AM PDT by Fishtalk
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To: babydubya1981

4 points is too much today. It needs to start moving down.


55 posted on 10/28/2008 8:04:54 AM PDT by romanesq
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To: mnehrling

Can someone graph this?


56 posted on 10/28/2008 8:06:41 AM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: Houghton M.

Excellent!!


57 posted on 10/28/2008 8:06:46 AM PDT by theophilusscribe
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To: KayEyeDoubleDee

IMHO and accumulation of financial news.
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=^DJI#chart2:symbol=^dji;range=1m;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined


58 posted on 10/28/2008 8:06:58 AM PDT by mnehring (We Are Joe!)
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To: romanesq

Yeah, I wasn’t too happy when I heard it.


59 posted on 10/28/2008 8:06:58 AM PDT by babydubya1981 (Homeschooling Moms for McCain/Palin 08)
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To: Cedric
sheesh....

Firstly, get your data right — my first post was not 4 days ago...

http://www.freerepublic.com/tag/by:nycbullmoose/index?brevity=full;tab=comments

Secondly, if you had bothered to learn to use the search function properly (like a real, FReeper!)you would have found ALL of my posts and comments and MORE THAN AMPLE EVIDENCE that I am not a “Lurking Troll”... (Click on the URL above)

Thirdly, the poll results posted ARE encouraging and ARE the most recent posted on the IBD/TIPP website...

Fourthly, the thread prompted a very good observation from another Freeper RE: why “Today's Poll” might look bad for McCain without actually being ameaningful change (a good poll day for M/P 5 days ago “dropped out” of the averaging).

So... honest mistake on my part posting a poll that is LESS THAN 24 HOURS old... apologies...

Now can you try to be (A) a little less lazy (b) a little less impetuous, and (c) a little less paranoid?

60 posted on 10/28/2008 8:07:43 AM PDT by NYC_BULLMOOSE ("extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice" -- BG)
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