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Most accurate pollster in 2004 election shows: Obama 44.8%, McCain 43.7%, Not Sure 11.6%...
IBD via Drudge Report ^ | 10/23/2008

Posted on 10/23/2008 3:54:16 PM PDT by GVnana

IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Day Eleven Posted: Thursday, October 23, 2008

McCain has cut into Obama's lead for a second day and is now just 1.1 points behind. The spread was 3.7 Wednesday and 6.0 Tuesday. The Republican is making headway with middle- and working- class voters, and has surged 10 points in two days among those earning between $30,000 and $75,000. He has also gone from an 11-point deficit to a 9-point lead among Catholics.

View Results From Prior Days

About IBD/TIPP: An analysis of Final Certified Results for the 2004 election showed IBD's polling partner, TIPP, was the most accurate pollster of the campaign season. Learn more at www.TIPPonline.com.

(Excerpt) Read more at ibdeditorials.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; hugh; ibd; mccain; obama
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To: GVnana

Lets be cautiously optimistic guys. A serious trend in the polls is that McCain’s numbers never seem to pass 44-46%. I think a majority of “undecided” are leaning Obama whereas before I would say they were leaning McCain.

RINO’s like Powell and in no poor part McCain’s poor demeanor during the debates did not impress drivebys. Also Sarah has been painted badly.

I was sure undecideds would break for McCain 70-30 when he had the edge in experience and judgement but now obama is polling ahead in judgement and experience has narrowed.


21 posted on 10/23/2008 4:07:20 PM PDT by DiogenesLaertius
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To: KoRn

Naah, 0 is going to cheese off a lot of baseball fans with that prime time nonsense.


22 posted on 10/23/2008 4:08:14 PM PDT by Tony in Hawaii (Lookin' for the joke with a microscope)
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To: TNCMAXQ

More than the media will let on are for McCain.

Half of my son’s Business Law class said they were voting McCain. And we live in NY.


23 posted on 10/23/2008 4:08:21 PM PDT by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: KoRn

That info will not help Obama. It will give the big pollsters another reason to over sample dems more to help Obama gain even more polling.

It’s like bad dog food that no amount of advertising can help. That dog food just won’t sale.


24 posted on 10/23/2008 4:08:39 PM PDT by RED SOUTH
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To: TNCMAXQ

http://www.gallup.com/poll/111331/No-Increase-Proportion-First-Time-Voters.aspx

check out that stunning link from gallup today....


25 posted on 10/23/2008 4:11:58 PM PDT by housedeep
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To: fhayek
Oh plezzzz!! Ozero is sitting pretty and his poll numbers look great, he is planning a PAY PER VIEW victory speech in Chicago, he is rolling out a 1/2 hour ad special, the whole world if possible would vote for him....geezzz and you say his lead is slipping? MCPAL team needs to come out and do something that will blow this marxist muslim outta the water!! And it has to come on either Friday of next week or Monday! The OsAMA team won't be able to recover! I'm still holding out for HOPE, praying and asking God to favor us, but as the days go by and McCain team looks a little off target and OsAMA gets getting endorsements left and right...even Andy Griffith endorsed him!...unbelievable!! Something HAS got to give this coming week....PRAY AND CONTINUE TO SEEK GOD FOR FAVOR ON OUR CANDIDATES!
26 posted on 10/23/2008 4:12:15 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: RED SOUTH

exactly. my post was mostly sarcastic, however, we are seeing just who the racists really are.


27 posted on 10/23/2008 4:13:26 PM PDT by mkcc30 (One word three letters R-E-V-O-L-U-T-I-O-N ! Thanks Joe the Senator.)
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To: GVnana

So 11.6% of those polled are as dumb as a post. Or as apathetic to politics/society/the future of America as a post would be.

How anyone can seriously be “not sure” at this stage is just mind-boggling to me.

But otherwise, if this poll is accurate — good news indeed!


28 posted on 10/23/2008 4:14:14 PM PDT by RepublitarianRoger2
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To: RED SOUTH

Maybe they are worried about Obama’s plan for a new draft. They would all be likely candidates.


29 posted on 10/23/2008 4:14:40 PM PDT by I_hate_politicians
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To: GVnana

Whheeww..I’ve been watching the “undecideds” like a hawk, when Zogby went on and on about this demographic or that demographic breaking for Obamao, I though the undecided votes had decided.


30 posted on 10/23/2008 4:14:49 PM PDT by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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To: RED SOUTH

The group is undersampled. Insignificant numbers. That however does not mean the poll is innacurate. That would mean necessarily that another age group was “overpolled”. For example: If an older age group contained an extraordinary number of say AAs or democrats there is no reason to assume more young voters, as a percentage of the poll would vote any differently than those polled. Only the pollsters know for sure.


31 posted on 10/23/2008 4:16:44 PM PDT by Murp
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To: DiogenesLaertius
I think a majority of “undecided” are leaning Obama whereas before I would say they were leaning McCain.

If you look at the primaries, Obama pretty much drew the number he was polling. In other words, nearly all "undecideds" went to someone else.

32 posted on 10/23/2008 4:17:01 PM PDT by Mygirlsmom (P.O.O.P. Prevent Overtaxation Of Plumbers-or we'll all be knee deep in it!)
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To: Harry Wurzbach
", it’s highly likely he’ll be raising yours tomorrow."

That's an admitted given. Once Obama expires the 2003 tax cuts the entire federal income tax rates go back up to the higher rates of the year 2000. Low income, middle income, and high income will all be paying a higher federal income tax rate and everyone's take home pay will automatically decrease.

I am expecting a $4K cash decrease in take home pay per year once the 2003 tax cuts expire.

33 posted on 10/23/2008 4:18:15 PM PDT by avacado (Barack Obama, the Cloward-Piven candidate)
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To: GVnana
Not Sure 11.65%

Where "Not Sure" == "I'm going for McCain, and I've got better things to do than listen to some raving O-bot nutob getting up in my grille screeching that I'm a 'racist' or some such inanity."

34 posted on 10/23/2008 4:18:27 PM PDT by HKMk23 (If you ever reach total enlightenment while drinking beer, I bet it makes beer shoot out your nose.)
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To: GVnana
I know they are not accurate. Is there really almost 12
% out there not sure who they will vote for this close to election? That is really scary.
35 posted on 10/23/2008 4:20:46 PM PDT by easternsky
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To: RoseofTexas

...”even Andy Griffith endorsed him!...unbelievable!!”

Did not know that?!

If it were the other way and he had endorsed McCain the MSM would have mentioned there were never any black people on The Andy Griffith Show. Other than a few background crowd characters occasionally.


36 posted on 10/23/2008 4:21:17 PM PDT by mkcc30 (One word three letters R-E-V-O-L-U-T-I-O-N ! Thanks Joe the Senator.)
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To: GVnana

Doesn’t matter what the polls say.

God is on our side. Keep praying.


37 posted on 10/23/2008 4:21:30 PM PDT by La Enchiladita (To Colin Powell: How does it FEEL to be a traitor?)
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To: Enchante

If they are truly polling this close then McCain wins. It’s that simple.


38 posted on 10/23/2008 4:23:15 PM PDT by beagleone
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To: RoseofTexas
PRAY AND CONTINUE TO SEEK GOD FOR FAVOR ON OUR CANDIDATES!

Amen!

39 posted on 10/23/2008 4:27:09 PM PDT by tapatio
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To: GVnana

McCain is going to win Colorado... John Elway is set to appear at a McCain rally tomorrow.


40 posted on 10/23/2008 4:33:16 PM PDT by 14erClimb (Sarah Palin: Ronald Reagan in a skirt!)
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