IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Day Eleven - O: 44.8%, M 43.7%, U: 11.6.

Investor's Business Daily ^ | 2008-10-23 | IBD

[justlurking]

McCain has cut into Obama's lead for a second day and is now just 1.1 points behind. The spread was 3.7 Wednesday and 6.0 Tuesday. The Republican is making headway with middle- and working- class voters, and has surged 10 points in two days among those earning between $30,000 and $75,000. He has also gone from an 11-point deficit to a 9-point lead among Catholics.

[Cedric]

This is the poll I have been waiting all day for!!

I am very nervous about the sinking stock market cutting into McCain’s progress though.

That's not even translucent.

[pgkdan]

Those undecideds — they break HEAVY for McCain. Mark my words

I'll bet so too! IIRC in the primaries the undecideds never broke ffor Obama. His last polling number was pretty much what he ended up with. I think 45 is his peak.

[txjeep]

“Someone please tell me how Mac is leading 74%-22% among the 18-24 age group. Much as I welcome this, it’s not making sense.”

I agree it is a little suprising. That said, in my social circle are some responsible, conservative, 18-22 yr olds who have been chomping at the bit to vote for the first time...and they are all voting for McCain/Palin.

[Left2Right]

I gotta believe that McCain is going to win it all. The McCain lucky streak isn’t over yet!

[Don'tMessWithTexas]

As it becomes apparent that this race is essentially tied, Barry will lose the air of inevitability. With a large number of undecideds this late, it suggests 1) that the debates really were not as good for Barry as the elites thought, 2) Barry has failed to seal the deal, and 3) his support may be wide, but it ain't deep.

If these numbers hold through the weekend, McCain will take the wind and use the momentum to win.

[Red Steel]

EAT THAT, ZOGBY!!!!!

You can always count on Zogby to drink the Dem cool aid and Obama cool aid in the end of a presidential race.

[N3WBI3]

under represented sample that age group is going to go heavy for Obama..

[pgkdan]

That’s the 2nd one like that I saw today. I think Battleground also had McCain winning that demographic as well. Very odd.

The Battleground Poll has had McCain winning this dem for weeks.

[yldstrk]

Go John and Sarah!

[icwhatudo]

Thanks for the link-did not know that.

[Antoninus]

No WAY! McCain is 28 points behind! Didn’t you see the [insert DNC/lib media poll here] poll?

[VOR78]

Arkansas.

Of course, the state is going for McCain anyway, but it surprises me given the level of general Dem support in the eastern half of the state where I live. Most of my family and friends are Dems. None...NONE...are voting for Obama. No one they know is voting for Obama, either. A few are sitting out, mind you, but at least they’re not casting a vote for him.

[lone star annie]

Yeah his goofy polls will get him on Slimeball and Oberdork. With a 2 point race they will avoid him like he was a walking STD.

[Signalman]

While, like most FReepers, I’ve never considered McCain conservative enough, I have to hand it to him, he’s a fighter, he never quits.

Everyone said he was finished in 2007 during the primaries, but he came back. He’s doing the same thing now. He’s going to win this thing. This is going to be 1948 redux.

[justlurking]

Has anyone explained why the polls with weekend numbers favor Obama and the polls with only weekday numbers tend to favor McCain?

I don't know which is more representative, but I think the reason weekend numbers favor Obama is because McCain voters aren't sitting at home on the weekend.

[for-q-clinton]

All polls are wrong! Turnout will decide the victory. If the Republican’s want to win they can...just need to motivate our base.

[txjeep]

“Has anyone explained why the polls with weekend numbers favor Obama and the polls with only weekday numbers tend to favor McCain? Which is most representative for election turnout?”

What are you doing on Friday nights and weekends? Football games, moose hunting, fishing, building a tree house, working on your car, mowing the grass? On weekends I’m almost always working or playing outside, or gone, and never call back a number on my caller ID that didn’t leave a message. In fact I rarely pick up if I don’t recognize the number, so I never get polled. I don’t think as many Dems lead the same type of lifestyle.

[mockingbyrd]

He has also gone from an 11-point deficit to a 9-point lead among Catholics.

Now that's news that makes me smile. Maybe the bishops finally realized how serious this election is.

[rdl6989]

I was laying in bed this morning (I’m a night owl) thinking about that photo over and over.

[scratcher]

"He has also gone from an 11-point deficit to a 9-point lead among Catholics."

There have been many ads put out regarding choose life, and the word has really spread through the churches regarding Obama's love of abortion including the partial birth abortion. He promises to lift those bans and remove the state regulations. I knew this would have a big impact.

Christian organizations have put out some of the most powerful ads I have ever seen in my life.