Posted on 10/15/2008 1:00:35 PM PDT by americanophile
US pollsters today put John McCain's chances of overtaking Barack Obama in the final weeks to win the White House as extremely remote given the leads he has built up, the most recent putting him a staggering 14% ahead.
Polling experts expect the gap between the two to narrow as election day, November 4, draws closer, and some caution against a landslide win for Obama. But they regard the contest as effectively over barring some dramatic national security crisis.
"You are more likely to be killed by a meteor dropping on your head than McCain becoming president," said Professor Michael McDonald, who specialises in polls and election number-crunching at Virginia's George Mason University.
Pollsters said no US candidate has ever been as far behind as McCain at this stage in an election in recent political history and won. Once the electorate shifts in favour of a candidate, as it seems to have done over the last few weeks, it seldom moves again, they said.
Doug Usher, who was a pollster for John Kerry in his failed bid against President George Bush in 2004, is more cautious than many of his colleagues. He predicted a tightening of the race - especially since the instinct of the average US voter tends to be conservative - and that the US media would inevitably at some point write about an incredible McCain comeback.
Even so, Usher, who works for Washington, DC-based Widmeyer Communications, described McCain's chances of winning as possible but "incredibly remote". "There is only a one in 10 chance that McCain could overtake Obama. I think Obama is going to win but not by a landslide." Like other pollsters, he warned that some unexpected event could change the race: "What is endlessly fascinating about US politics, you...
(Excerpt) Read more at guardian.co.uk ...
I try to visit a few times a day, and post it when I see bellyaching.
You are welcome to copy it and improve it and post it at will. No need to credit me. Take it, and post it when you see whining.
We just need to be reminded that we are better than that.
I am brand spanking new here (Thanks Sandy Z),and let’s not get arrogant.I live in The Peoples Republic of Maryland, and there are nothing but BHO signs, stickers everywhere.Don’t under estimate the left or the stupidity of the uninformed.
I agree on the stupidity, but I live in liberal Western Washington. The lack of BHO signs and stickers compared to Kerry and Gore of the same in the past is staggering. I would say I see about 1-2 BHO bumper stickers a day, and I drive 60 miles roundtrip on I5 through heavily populated areas. Only the most left neighborhoods have a lot of his signs.
I was driving around I-285 in Atlanta about 2 days ago and saw a NObama sign on a car with Washington State plates.
Thanks, ROTB. I will do just that!
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