Posted on 10/15/2008 1:00:35 PM PDT by americanophile
US pollsters today put John McCain's chances of overtaking Barack Obama in the final weeks to win the White House as extremely remote given the leads he has built up, the most recent putting him a staggering 14% ahead.
Polling experts expect the gap between the two to narrow as election day, November 4, draws closer, and some caution against a landslide win for Obama. But they regard the contest as effectively over barring some dramatic national security crisis.
"You are more likely to be killed by a meteor dropping on your head than McCain becoming president," said Professor Michael McDonald, who specialises in polls and election number-crunching at Virginia's George Mason University.
Pollsters said no US candidate has ever been as far behind as McCain at this stage in an election in recent political history and won. Once the electorate shifts in favour of a candidate, as it seems to have done over the last few weeks, it seldom moves again, they said.
Doug Usher, who was a pollster for John Kerry in his failed bid against President George Bush in 2004, is more cautious than many of his colleagues. He predicted a tightening of the race - especially since the instinct of the average US voter tends to be conservative - and that the US media would inevitably at some point write about an incredible McCain comeback.
Even so, Usher, who works for Washington, DC-based Widmeyer Communications, described McCain's chances of winning as possible but "incredibly remote". "There is only a one in 10 chance that McCain could overtake Obama. I think Obama is going to win but not by a landslide." Like other pollsters, he warned that some unexpected event could change the race: "What is endlessly fascinating about US politics, you...
(Excerpt) Read more at guardian.co.uk ...
Agreed. I just want our guys and gals too stay fired up.
McCain should run this ad that Frank Luntz said was the best campaign ad he ran through his testing.
http://www.breitbart.tv/?p=197633
Yes and President Gore is just about finished with his second term. LOL!!!!
A lady I work with is a wonderful person but a moderate Dem. She loathes Obama. A girl for Obama came to her door because she is on the Dem Party list. She told the girl she will be voting for McCain. I am in S. FL.
What is cooler is her neighborhood should be slightly more Dem than mine. She watched the girl and she only stopped at one other house.
My neighborhood has people with McCain signs who never had a campaign sign in their yard. They are middle to upper middle and tyhey know Obama will take everything from them.
Obama is an extremist.
McCain should run this ad that Frank Luntz is ga ga over.
http://www.breitbart.tv/?p=197633
If Obama is elected we’re all going to WISH a meteor HAD dropped on our heads.
DoughtyOne states that the odds on pollsters being trusted ever again are very very slim, incredibly remote.
Trusting pollsters with election predictions is like trusting a pedophile to babysit your children.
No thanks.
I agree with you, but not only to ensure that there will be riots and demonstrations when Obama loses but that those riots are justified because the mean white conservatives stole the election. We know they stole it because the polls all told us how far ahead The One was!
All they’re doing is suppress their own side vote , imo, half of ‘em will be too stuned to remember to vote anyway.
Hi Freepers,
I am brand spanking new here (Thanks Sandy Z),and let’s not get arrogant.I live in The Peoples Republic of Maryland, and there are nothing but BHO signs, stickers everywhere.Don’t under estimate the left or the stupidity of the uninformed.
NObama is a very eloquent and dynamic speaker, and with the American Idol Soundbite society we live in this will bode well for him.God Rudy or Mitt would have chewed him up and spit him out in the debates.
I PRAY for a Johnny Mac victory, but I AM being cautiously optimistic and still not feeling 100% certain.
Mac has a lot going against him, especially the economic issues, and the left has been effective in spinning it as the Republicans fault.
PLEASE PRAY for God to put his hand in this election, and help Mac and Sarahcuda!!
“LOL - too good! Is that too long for a tagline?”
Ya, it does and is... :)
I looked at the mix in that poll last night. 38% democrat, 30% Republican and 32% independents.
Obviously the Professor didn't major in English. Sheesh.
hope you are right!
Excellent ;)
Lets just cancel the whole thing and crown the crook. It’s Ovah!
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