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Rasmussen 10/6/08: Obama 52% McCain 44%
Rasmussen ^

Posted on 10/06/2008 6:33:32 AM PDT by CatOwner

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Barack Obama attracting 52% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. This is the highest level of support ever recorded for Obama and is his largest lead of the year. It also continues a remarkable twenty-five days in a row where the Democrat’s support has never declined by even a single point. The Democratic candidate has gained six full percentage points of support since Lehman Brothers collapsed to start the Wall Street mess ...

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; demoversample; rasmussed; rasmussen
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To: Dave W
This is not 2004. Worry.

OK, I am worried. What now?
221 posted on 10/06/2008 7:46:10 AM PDT by A Balrog of Morgoth (QMC(SW) USN........ CG21 DD988 FFG34 PC6 ARS53)
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To: ncalburt

Look, that change was done a week ago. Yet, the tracker showed a 3% race on Saturday. Today it is at 7%, a 4% swing towards Obama. Look at the TRENDS even if you disagree with a polls’ party ID weighting.


222 posted on 10/06/2008 7:46:23 AM PDT by floridagopvoter
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To: Allegra
Dang co-workers coming to confer with me about work stuff when I'm FReeping.

Don't worry about that. When Obama gets in we'll all have oodles of time to Freep without worrying about workstuff.

223 posted on 10/06/2008 7:46:27 AM PDT by AU72
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To: Allegra
Unfortunately the war is lost. BTW, how are things over in the desert? Hope all is well.

P.S.- Love your tag line. I'm a Palinian too.

224 posted on 10/06/2008 7:46:47 AM PDT by oldvike
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To: halo66

Rasmussen was strong in 2000 and 2004. He is hailed by Hannity as the most accurate pollster around.


225 posted on 10/06/2008 7:47:05 AM PDT by floridagopvoter
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To: CatOwner
I just saw something interesting on the Hotline poll. McCain is leading Obama on the ECONOMY. Also, didn't McCain gain a point in this poll. He's only down by 6:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/Hotline_100608.htm

The Early Line: Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll

Obama/Biden 47%

McCain/Palin 41%

Undec 10%

- After closing in on Obama's lead yesterday, McCain has now taken the lead on handling of two key issues. The GOP nominee holds 43-42% leads over Obama on both the economy and energy policy -- McCain's first leads on handling of the economy since 9/10 and first on energy policy since 9/23.

- At the same time, McCain has his smallest advantage on handling nat'l security in the survey thus far. His 3% margin in today's release is just a fraction of his 21% lead one week ago (in the survey completed 9/28).

Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/3-5 by FD, surveyed 909 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.3%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 36%R, 19%I.

226 posted on 10/06/2008 7:50:13 AM PDT by Proudcongal (POW/WOW '08)
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To: jwalsh07

So maybe we get crushed again. Should we bend over now or fight the bastards right up until election day?

Absolutely, but I just get nervous that our engergy is wasted on not believing the polls instead of getting out McCain’s economic plan which is severely needed right now as the dow continues to slide and slide well below 10,000 now...


227 posted on 10/06/2008 7:50:18 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: yldstrk; samtheman
I find this very difficult to fathom

It's really quite simple to understand. Poll Democrats 8 points higher than Republicans, ignoring that turnout in 2004 was 37% GOP, 37% Dem. Voila!! An Obama lead.

228 posted on 10/06/2008 7:50:32 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (Bill Clinton, as Arkansas Attorney General did you make Juanita Broaddrick pay for her rape kit?)
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To: CatOwner

See tagline.

Work like we’re 1% behind because that’s probably closer to the truth.


229 posted on 10/06/2008 7:52:24 AM PDT by Antoninus (Ignore the polls. They're meant to shape public opinion, not measure it.)
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To: Thane_Banquo

Okay, then what about when Nixon lost to Kennedy?

Very good point! lol. Hey I hope Sarah does not have to worry at all and they get in there this election. Things are dismal right now and I am talking the economy. Unfortunately that is what they should be discussing as I believe if they can somehow get a message of what they will do to correct this mess then it would be even better than the Ayers thing they are doing now....OR DO BOTH.


230 posted on 10/06/2008 7:52:25 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: floridagopvoter
Ras keeps changing his tracking formula so his trends are
manufactured !
This not a real poll but a formula driven automatic telephne tracking dripple .
tracking polls are the withcraft of polling . Ras tweeked his formula for bad news or good news . He is not interviewing people to come up with his guesses . He is just guessing !
231 posted on 10/06/2008 7:52:42 AM PDT by ncalburt
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To: Thane_Banquo

...”Remember, polls showed Ronnie and Carter tied going into election day, and it wasn’t even close”...

I remember it well.


232 posted on 10/06/2008 7:53:46 AM PDT by jazzlite (esat)
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To: All

Wake up people. We’re in trouble. Our country is in trouble.

Be a denier all you want, but it won’t change the fact that Obama has a substantial lead.

What are you going to say in 2 weeks when he has a 10 pt. lead?


233 posted on 10/06/2008 7:53:52 AM PDT by Rodney Dangerfield ("Obama Girl" will soon need consoling. I'll take one for the team & volunteer.)
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To: RetiredArmy

You won’t get much disagreement from me.

I am saving my kids from the democrap brainwashing.


234 posted on 10/06/2008 7:53:52 AM PDT by babydubya1981 (Homeschooling Moms for McCain/Palin 08)
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To: jackv

Because evidence shows that in many of the battleground states Democratic voter registration far outdid Republican voter registration to the point where Democrats now hold a huge voter ID advantage in states like Florida and Ohio. now, many of these registered Democrats still vote Republican when it comes to the presidency, but this may be a down year for Republicans overall, as the Senate and House loss projections, even by Republican strategists, attest to.

In 2006 the voting records showed that Democrats had a 5.4% advantage in House voting and a 9.4% advantage in the Senate vote (popular votes.) That does not necessarily translate to more of the same in a presidential election year, but if the public continues to blame Republicans more than anyone else for the economic crisis, it is hard to see how it won’t be pretty bad all around on Nov. 4.


235 posted on 10/06/2008 7:54:39 AM PDT by floridagopvoter
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To: floridagopvoter

Yeah...I know he has a good reputation. Do you know if Rasmussen used the same polling technique of surveying more democrats over republicans in 2000 and 2004?


236 posted on 10/06/2008 7:54:46 AM PDT by halo66
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To: TitansAFC

I’d like to think that Republicans don’t poll well on weekends and especially Sunday....that’s when we are in church praying for McCain to have the courage and will to blast Obama. And it looks like God is delivering. Yes. I believe polls will move our way by Wednesday...and start a new trend. McCain/Palin are not going to let up ONE day on Obama and he is going to be hit hard and swift. I cannot wait to see this debate on Tuesday. Obama is not good at stumping without his monitors and I have a feeling McCain is going to have ammunition ready to fire!!!


237 posted on 10/06/2008 7:55:12 AM PDT by IndianPrincessOK (McCain/Palin...2 pit bulls, one with lipstick! Pigs will fly with lipstick Nov. 4th)
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To: riri

we live in a nation of idiots. You nailed it.

It is not looking good. Plus the dims cheat/lie and will damage our lives as we once knew it.


238 posted on 10/06/2008 7:57:11 AM PDT by JFC
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To: halo66

I will try to look it up.


239 posted on 10/06/2008 7:57:30 AM PDT by jveritas (Use the nuclear option against Obama: Jeremiah Wright)
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To: God luvs America
I agree...McCain lost a golden opportunity several weeks ago when this "crisis" first hit. Now the average voter sees this as a problem that can be blamed on Bush...with McCain also taking his share of blame by association. What was it P.T. Barnum said, no one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people? True then and true today.

Time is running out for McCain to recover. May be too late already.

240 posted on 10/06/2008 7:58:41 AM PDT by IndyTiger
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