Battleground daily tracking (M-46 O-49); McCain up two from yesterday

Battleground ^ | 10/3/08 | Battleground

[Ravi]

Election

[ScottinVA]

Interesting thing to note: normally, the VP debate doesn’t affect the race, but it sure seem to me it will definitely have an effect this time around. There’s a lot of inordinate attention on them (for obvious reasons, of course), so I wouldn’t be surprised to see at least a 2-3 point bounce for McCain-Palin in a few days. It’ll put some of these polls into the MOE, at least. There’s hope.

[Don'tMessWithTexas]

Agreed on Palin. She is a star and needs to be unleashed. I would have her campaign in CO, NV, OH and MN almost exclusively until the election.

[rlbedfor]

“wider effect”. Got it.

[ncalburt]

THIS TRACKING POLL WAS RIGGED ON MONDAY.
The lefty pollster who co-develops this cooked poll talked the conservative into CHANGING THE POLL Formula to
INSTANTLY GIVE OBAMA FOUR POINTS ON MONDAY !
This poll is a FRAUD NOW . The POLL is Useless and there in nothing to TRACK since the formula WAS Intentionally change
by the Lefty at the Poll firm.

This a great example of WHY These POLLS ( in particular tracking polls) are PURE Garbage and only proves the POINT . These POLLS are cooked up to SWAY Voters and NOT Read THEM.
Read all about the scam Below
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/battleground_drops_party_weigh.php

[Ravi]

I don’t ever remember Dewine being down by 5 in the polling. It always seemed like it was 8 to 10 points so the fact that he lost by 5 compared to pre-election polling bodes well for this year. Blackwell on the other hand...

[Proudcongal]

Yeah, when I saw +7 it put a damper in my morning, but since it’s Rasmussen that’s better since O at least didn’t gain anything. I’m looking for these polls to start turning for McCain/Palin after Sarah’s great performance last night!

[Wilder Effect]

Yes, it is a start. Hopefully Palin can hit the stump and the bailout is sorted.

[Cedric]

The spate of bogus polls: A Barry Hail Mary

{with all due attribution to Charles Krouthammer}

[RocketMan1]

Obam-uh-uh-uh peaked too soon is absolutely correct.

While the Lefties are foaming at the mouth and crawling all over themselves to (falsely) declare Biden last night’s winner, the fact is that with Sarah’s plain victory over “Joe,” spouting at least a dozen inaccuracies (or outright lies) was obvious to all of those who voted for Bush in 2000 and 2004. Middle America, those despised “red Staters,” will at least be honest and see Sarah the clear winner.

Bottom line .. going into Pres debate two .. McCain will be UP over Obam-uh-uh-uh by at least two points. He will never look back.

BTW — when will the 527’s start hammering away at the messiah’s Marxist/Terrorist/Miscreant pals? Including THIS one: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2008/oct/03/fbi-raids-obama-friends-home/print/

[Proudcongal]

Interesting thing to note: normally, the VP debate doesn’t affect the race, but it sure seem to me it will definitely have an effect this time around. There’s a lot of inordinate attention on them (for obvious reasons, of course), so I wouldn’t be surprised to see at least a 2-3 point bounce for McCain-Palin in a few days. It’ll put some of these polls into the MOE, at least. There’s hope.

It's obvious from the MSM's desperate attempts to nurse the wound dealt the O campaign last night.

[nclaurel]

I do so wish people on FR would quit with the sky is falling every time a poll comes out. It isn’t over and we fight to the end. The trolls as you call them try so hard to demoralize and did the same in 2004.

[TonyInOhio]

That is what Hillary thought.

She was almost right, too. Had the last primaries been a couple of weeks later, she'd be the nominee.

[Cedric]

They were “thicker than flies on a bib roast” yesterday!

[chimera]

Palin did her job. Now McCain has to step back up to the plate. He's got to bring it to ODummy. A mediocre performance isn't going to do it.

[johniegrad]

I would have her campaign in CO, NV, OH and MN almost exclusively until the election.

She would play EXTREMELY well in Minnesota especially the northern part and could steal enough of the democrat vote up here to win the state. She could also simultaneously hit northwestern Wisconsin. Recent polling suggests it may not take much to win either or both states. She could steal traditional democrats up here.

[johniegrad]

Had the last primaries been a couple of weeks later, she'd be the nominee.

Actually, if there had been a couple less caucuses and a couple more primaries she would have won also.

[nclaurel]

“One big difference: The vote hasn’t taken place yet.”

Thanks for the positive post—you are so correct!

[RocketMan1]

Obama peaked too early, and cant close the deal.

Let's also remember that Obam-uh-uh-uh DIDN'T WIN ANYTHING!! He is the "Chosen One" by the idiotic DimoRAT system of "super-duper-delegates" because he was "for CHANGE .. AND HOPE" and besides, Hillary was just a boring old, white bag! If the RAT Party wasn't so idiotic and corrupt, it would be McCain v Hillary.

[Cedric]

A mediocre performance isn't going to do it.

Sounds like you're all ready to be disappointed.

[LS]

Ok, I looked at the RCP numbers. From Aug. through early Sept. Dewine was down 4-5; then he started to tail, falling as far as 12, finishing with a 10-point loss.