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Rasmussen O 51 - M 45
Rasmussen ^ | 9/30/2008 | Rasmussen

Posted on 09/30/2008 6:37:15 AM PDT by ubaldus

Back to O +6

Other daily trackers:

Gallup 0 50 - M 42 (yday)

Hotline O 47 - M 42 (yday)

R2000 O 51 - M 41 (warning - Kos' poll, sample requires -3 pt adjustment imo)

Battleground O 46 - M48 (!?)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; polls
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To: CatOwner
You need to pick up a bat and be standing at home plate in order to swing.

This is so true. All he has to do is speak out on behalf of middle America and he hasn't.

61 posted on 09/30/2008 7:09:04 AM PDT by wmfights (Believe - THE GOSPEL - and be saved)
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To: CatOwner

Cat do you now know the internal polling?

Not a person here know the real numbers, only the McCain and Obama camps do.

Iowa might be gone, but do you think the campaigns give a darn about RAS and Gallup?


62 posted on 09/30/2008 7:09:38 AM PDT by Wilder Effect
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To: Wilder Effect

McCain has surprised us before. It was a masterstroke right after Obama’s big speech when Palin was announced. He will do another “mavericky” thing to turn the tide, but his timing needs to be right.

Remember, we shouldn’t even be this close.


63 posted on 09/30/2008 7:09:45 AM PDT by rdax
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To: CatOwner

McCain would not be in Iowa unless his polling showed that he was doing well.


64 posted on 09/30/2008 7:10:07 AM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: All
McCain is running as Obama Lite. He needs to see that we do not want Welfare for Walstreet. His arrogance is killing him. Come out in favor of free markets and join the 77% of the people who are against this bailout.
65 posted on 09/30/2008 7:10:52 AM PDT by j_k_l
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

This was the 5th column’s plan anyways, suprised you guys are falling for it. Let polls drive the news, have the MSM fawn over Obama, restrict coverage of McCain. This is in their playbook. If the mood of the coutry was str8 up socialist then this bill would have sailed through. Fact is the mood of the country is one of extreme suspicion of politicians in general and that makes our founding Fathers smile. McCain will win comfortably, book it. Americans will not turn the country over to a neophite in times of turmoil.


66 posted on 09/30/2008 7:11:09 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: CatOwner
McCain in Iowa? Enough said. Obama has got to be laughing his head off right now.

Is it at least possible that the campaign knows something the pollsters don't? I'm guessing he has good reason to be in Iowa, probably because his internal polling shows something we aren't seeing.

McCain is likely behind, but I honestly think it's on the order of 2-3 points. Perhaps FReepers place too much faith in public polling.

67 posted on 09/30/2008 7:11:36 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (This is no time to go wobbly.)
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To: TitansAFC

The Oct surprise Mark Foley scandal and Denny Hastert rescue of Rep Jefferson ticked off alot of Rep and they stayed home .

The 2006 mid term is poor basis for any tracking poll .
Mid term in general are meanngless.
Hence the Ras and Gallup formulas with 6 pt advantage brings uo the question. WHY ????


68 posted on 09/30/2008 7:12:06 AM PDT by ncalburt
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To: CatOwner; All
The major error here is improper time frame:

The Dems had 4 “good” days by lying and frantically trying to ram through the lousy bailout bill.

McCain will have 4 good weeks by seizing the issue.

{And W is in on it!}

69 posted on 09/30/2008 7:12:15 AM PDT by Cedric
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To: TitansAFC

The final result in 2006(Watergate 2) was +3 Dem, and that was a non Prez election.


70 posted on 09/30/2008 7:12:36 AM PDT by Wilder Effect
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

“McCain would not be in Iowa unless his polling showed that he was doing well.”

Yes! Watch what the candidates are doing and where they are.

Where’s Oblamamama-ding-dong today?


71 posted on 09/30/2008 7:13:00 AM PDT by rdax
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To: Cedric

Cedric right on.


72 posted on 09/30/2008 7:13:17 AM PDT by Wilder Effect
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To: TonyInOhio

Electronic Tracking polls are concerned witchcraft.
All guess work but interesting .


73 posted on 09/30/2008 7:13:27 AM PDT by ncalburt
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To: Wilder Effect
Catowner, you are now on my ignore list ...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2092501/posts?page=21#21

That didn't last long.

74 posted on 09/30/2008 7:13:36 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: ubaldus

Dewey beats Truman.


75 posted on 09/30/2008 7:14:30 AM PDT by LongsforReagan (Liberals believe global warming is the greatest threat and that 9-11 was an inside job. Enough said.)
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To: CatOwner

wow Cat, petty little things. Is my ISP next?

You are too thin skinned. The point was, you are not a expert in any way.


76 posted on 09/30/2008 7:16:40 AM PDT by Wilder Effect
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To: Owen

Freepers are overlooking the fact that those in the mushy middle, who are the only voters still up for grabs, don’t see things the way they do. Wall Street is closely identified with the Republicans, so they get blamed for its problems. That’s not right, it’s not fair, but it’s a fact.

And when the President goes on TV telling the American people their financial system is melting down, it is going to redound negatively to the nominee of his party. Again, not right, not fair, but a fact.

Right now, McCain is losing. Not right, not fair, but a fact. He needs this issue to get off the front page and soon, or he will lose in November. He is not a good enough candidate to fight against these kinds of electoral headwinds and prevail.

The other thing he needs to do, is stop so closely aligning himself with this issue. I understand his reasoning, but if a candidate is going to make a big, fat hairy deal out of suspending his campaign and swooping in like Mighty Mouse to save the day, he should make darn sure that he can actually save the day, or he will suffer the consequences of failure.

Say what you want about Obama’s political philosophy, which I despise as much as any Freeper, but his political instincts are better than McCain’s. Or maybe his advisors are better. He knew that there was no win here, and made sure that when the caca hit the fan, he, with a little help from the MSM, wasn’t going to be the one covered in spatter. In contrast, McCain made sure he was standing directly in front of the rotating blades. And here we are.

There’s time for McCain to pull this out, but he’s going to have to get much, much smarter about what he does and says from here on out.


77 posted on 09/30/2008 7:16:58 AM PDT by LadyNavyVet
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To: Cedric
Last Friday, the meeting at the WH blew-up precisely because John McCain said, “The House Republicans are right on this issue” which prompted Obama to throw a screamin’ hissy fit.

You are so right, but he says these things behind closed doors and doesn't go to the American people about this. The Rats are very happy to politicize the economy, it has put Obambi in the lead.

McCain has got to stop acting like a Senator trying to craft a solution behind closed doors. If he succeeds the Rats take credit. If he fails the Pubs are blamed. The only way out of this catch-22 is to go right to the people and blow up the whole mess, name people who are responsible, disclose the close relationships between wall street and DC and offer a solution that works without 700B dollars.

IOW, get behind the Pubs that voted no. They represent middle America.

78 posted on 09/30/2008 7:17:36 AM PDT by wmfights (Believe - THE GOSPEL - and be saved)
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To: TonyInOhio
I'm guessing he has good reason to be in Iowa, probably because his internal polling shows something we aren't seeing.

Actually, it gives a similar appearance as his "suspended campaign" move did, that he is behind and making desperate campaign moves. I am not saying he shouldn't have gone back to DC. I just wished he had done it a few days earlier. Right now, he's paying a steep price in his campaign for what he has done and not done the past week.

79 posted on 09/30/2008 7:18:45 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: ncalburt

Darn right.

anyone who compares 2006 or even 2004 to this vote is deluded.

This is 2000


80 posted on 09/30/2008 7:18:45 AM PDT by Wilder Effect
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