FIRST THOUGHTS: SUNSHINE FOR OBAMA (ZeroBama Up In FL by 2, NBC/Mason-Dixon

FirstRead.com ^ | 9/23/08 | Mark Murray

[NYC Republican]

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Carrie Dann *** Sunshine on Obama’s shoulders: If you want to know why Obama is doing his debate prep today in -- of all places -- Tampa, FL, look no further than the latest TODAY Show/NBC/Mason-Dixon poll, which has Obama up in the Sunshine State by two points, 47%-45%. Yet inside those numbers, Obama leads McCain in the Tampa Bay area (Hillsborough, Pinellas, Pasco, Hernando, and Polk counties) by a 49%-43% margin. Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker says the key to winning Florida statewide is usually through Tampa Bay, and Obama’s six-point lead in the area explains why he’s ahead in this poll. Moreover, outside of Nevada, there is probably not another state that has been hurt more by the housing and credit crunch, and that may be benefiting Obama right now. Also potentially troublesome for McCain in this must-win GOP state, he leads by just six among Hispanics (49%-43%), which in Florida is made up of a majority of Cubans. (If Obama does pick off younger Cubans, he may close the overall gap thanks to his large lead among non-Cuban Hispanics in the I-4 corridor.) Also, McCain's four-point lead among seniors (48%-44%) is not as big as he needs it to be to offset the electorate-changing demographics among blacks and young voters. So Obama's decision to prep for Friday's debate in Florida is turning into a smart play, huh? Any extra day in Florida might pay off… Video: NBC political director Chuck Todd breaks down the latest poll numbers from the battleground state of Florida, which is attracting particular attention from the presidential candidates.

[NYC Republican]

Which Bush/Kerry poll? When was Mason Dixon off by 18 points?

[word_warrior_bob]

There was nothing in post 58 that was abusive or untrue.

[GoSarah]

See how your poll is the one blue in the sea of red? That's called a g-d outlier. Every polled state has 'em.

When you try and represent an outlier as the current situation, you have every right to be ridiculed and called a fool.

It's clear from following your posts the past few weeks that you are quick to seize and magnify any bit of Obama-favoring polling news, and you ignore all McCain-favorable responses and data. You obviously have very little respect, and it's not because you are "realistic" or whatever label you like to apply to yourself.

[101voodoo]

LOL, another super intellect who equates time on the forum with some sort of loyalty to the Conservative movement.

Let’s examine this:

Newbie=possible troll because only after being registered an extended period of time can one be accepted as Conservative.

Long time registrants=rock solid Conservatives with the wisdom of the ages pouring forth from them. You see the fact one has been registered so long, rather then the tone of their posts, proves they are not trolls, because...because...somebody help me out here?

[NYC Republican]

You've been here a week, and you're passing judgement? That's rich. That's really rich. Shameless too.

I didn't try to pass this as accurate. Why don't you do your homework and read what I wrote... I asked a simple question - if this can be happening... What do base your vile on?

[NYC Republican]

Why don’t you quit attacking me, and do something productive with your day?