Posted on 09/23/2008 2:23:50 PM PDT by NYC Republican
From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Carrie Dann *** Sunshine on Obama’s shoulders: If you want to know why Obama is doing his debate prep today in -- of all places -- Tampa, FL, look no further than the latest TODAY Show/NBC/Mason-Dixon poll, which has Obama up in the Sunshine State by two points, 47%-45%. Yet inside those numbers, Obama leads McCain in the Tampa Bay area (Hillsborough, Pinellas, Pasco, Hernando, and Polk counties) by a 49%-43% margin. Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker says the key to winning Florida statewide is usually through Tampa Bay, and Obama’s six-point lead in the area explains why he’s ahead in this poll. Moreover, outside of Nevada, there is probably not another state that has been hurt more by the housing and credit crunch, and that may be benefiting Obama right now. Also potentially troublesome for McCain in this must-win GOP state, he leads by just six among Hispanics (49%-43%), which in Florida is made up of a majority of Cubans. (If Obama does pick off younger Cubans, he may close the overall gap thanks to his large lead among non-Cuban Hispanics in the I-4 corridor.) Also, McCain's four-point lead among seniors (48%-44%) is not as big as he needs it to be to offset the electorate-changing demographics among blacks and young voters. So Obama's decision to prep for Friday's debate in Florida is turning into a smart play, huh? Any extra day in Florida might pay off… Video: NBC political director Chuck Todd breaks down the latest poll numbers from the battleground state of Florida, which is attracting particular attention from the presidential candidates.
(Excerpt) Read more at firstread.msnbc.msn.com ...
Ugh... Tell me this isn’t really happening.
This isn’t really happening!
People need to relax...it’s one poll, every other in Florida has McCain ahead...
We will win Florida and Virginia. Mark it down my friend. Worry about Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico.
It would be easy to dismiss if the M/D folks weren’t involved... They’re the GOLD standard.
Poll from NBC. Need I say more?
What’s it like spending every moment with a cloud over your head?
Another day, another poll.
Blah blah blah.
Apparently, he thinks that’s his job here, he even has to bump his own thread with the “tell me this isn’t really happening” happiness.
Poll from NBC. Need I say more?
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Yeah, he should read the Battleground Poll, or the Whiz-Bang Poll, or whatever they are.
Florida: McCain Still Ahead by Five
Sunday, September 21, 2008
John McCain has held onto a five-point lead over Barack Obama in Florida for the second straight week. The latest Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds McCain on top 51% to 46%. McCain has led in nine out of the 11 polls conducted this year. Three weeks ago the candidates were tied at 48% each.
Both nationally and in Florida, polling suggests the race for the White House today is very similar to the final results for Election 2004. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows McCain with a very modest lead nationally, and his five-point edge in Florida matches President Bush’s margin of victory in the state four years ago.
I wouldn’t worry about the Mason Dixon NBC poll. Just keep working folks McCain/Palin needs volunteers to canvas and make phone calls. Call your local office.
Here is the link for Virginia (my state)
http://virginia.johnmccain.com/Virginia.htm
That's about as much fun as scrubbing toilets, but to each his own. :)
If you would get your rose-colored glasses off for once, you'll see that Mason Dixon is part of this poll... You're fools if you automatically discount them, just cause you don't like their result. Shades of '06... When many of you did the same thing.
This poll was taken last Tuesday through Thursday, an absolutely dreadful time for the McCain campaign.
Damn. If an outlier poll from a leftist source has Obama up then ITS ALL OVER, lol.
Well, enjoy living life with the glass half empty.
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