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Zogby: McCain Opens Up Five Point Lead in Pennsylvania
Zogby International ^ | 9/13/2008 | John Zogby

Posted on 09/13/2008 1:22:36 PM PDT by comebacknewt

State: Pennsylvania

Updated: 9/13/2008

Summary: McCain - 49.1% Obama - 44.3% Not Sure/Other - 6.6%

"This is a classic case of polling as a snapshot in time. We're turning Pennsylvania purple today, as McCain takes a small edge. But as in Ohio, we are watching this closely and things could change in this classically blue state."

(Excerpt) Read more at zogby.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; mccain; mccainpalin; obaa; pa2008; pennsylvania; swingstates; zogby
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To: Petronski
"The generic congressional ticket has been as low as 4 this week."

It was just 3 points on Gallup yesterday. The norm is for the Dems to be up by 5, anything less then that and they are losing.

61 posted on 09/13/2008 1:43:01 PM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: Owen
Do you guys realize that if McCain pulls out PA as a win, it could be a result of Arlen Spector’s coattails?

Did you forget the sarcasm tag or your meds ?

62 posted on 09/13/2008 1:43:01 PM PDT by Popman (McCain as POTUS is odious, Obama as POTUS is unthinkable.)
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To: montag813

Some people like to selectively cite to polls that have the results they like. Zogby is awful, god awful. I don’t know how he eats or makes a living with his track record.


63 posted on 09/13/2008 1:43:46 PM PDT by Chet 99 (http://www.mccainpalinvictory2008.com/)
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To: comebacknewt
I'd say ITS OVER, folks! The Fat Lady is singing!!! BREAK OUT THE VIOLINS FOR OBAMBI! ;-)

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

64 posted on 09/13/2008 1:43:49 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: KansasGirl
Even dead votes can’t overcome 5%.

Knowing Democrats, they could always kill Republican voters and re register them as Democrats when they are dead. That's a net gain of two Democrat votes per person.

65 posted on 09/13/2008 1:44:09 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: comebacknewt

If Obama doesn’t carry Pennsylvania, he’s got almost no chance of election. This Zogby poll is a “likely voter” poll, and is consistent with the “registered voter” polls that show Obama slightly ahead.


66 posted on 09/13/2008 1:44:38 PM PDT by devere
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To: yongin
"The McCain camp needs to fry Obama for that ad mocking McCain for being too old for computers."

It is a whole lot worse than that. Take a look at this... Obama campaign ridicules McCain's Disability .
67 posted on 09/13/2008 1:44:55 PM PDT by j_k_l
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To: GeeMoney
But there are too many leftist in Philadelphia and the surrounding area to off set their votes.

Not to mention the cemetaries and bus-ins.

;-)

68 posted on 09/13/2008 1:45:00 PM PDT by workerbee (Sarah Palin's very existence is a threat to the Left.)
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To: comebacknewt

Not buying it - it’s Zogby.


69 posted on 09/13/2008 1:45:04 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Chet 99

Latest Survey USA Poll (dated 9/7/2008) for NC has McCain up by 20 Points.


70 posted on 09/13/2008 1:46:10 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Charles Henrickson
They will all come home. As will CO. Barry is so seriously SCREWED!!!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

71 posted on 09/13/2008 1:47:37 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Owen

Spector isn’t running this year, What are you talking about?


72 posted on 09/13/2008 1:47:41 PM PDT by Onerom99
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To: comebacknewt

PA for McCain would be a sign of an almost Reaganesque election landslide nationally.

Still, PA always seems to give us hope of turning red, but then inevitabley reverts back to its blue form on election day. Here’s hoping for a change.


73 posted on 09/13/2008 1:47:47 PM PDT by dinoparty
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To: comebacknewt

Skepticism is warranted. However, these numbers are important because polls served to encourage or discourage. These recent polls, especially this one, is likely to send the left over the edge, more so than usual, if that’s possible. In their desparation, they will make mistakes.

It also helps to encourage the Republican base.


74 posted on 09/13/2008 1:47:54 PM PDT by Lucas McCain (No relation to John McCain)
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To: comebacknewt

Agree. It’s the Zog special sauce, but so far this election season, he’s been kind of a leading indicator, not a lagger. So maybe he’s onto something. He was the only pollster on target in 1994, and was very accurate in 1996 . . . then went downhill. Maybe he’s rejuvenated himself.


75 posted on 09/13/2008 1:48:46 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: Owl_Eagle; brityank; Physicist; WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; GOPJ; abner; baseballmom; Mo1; Ciexyz; ...

If it’s true that Maryland & New Jersey are going to give their votes to the winner of the national popular vote we might be looking at 55 state landslide. I still don’t see Barry H. losing Hawaii and Illinois.


76 posted on 09/13/2008 1:48:50 PM PDT by Tribune7 (How is inflicting pain and death on an innocent, helpless human being for profit, moral?)
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To: comebacknewt

It’s irrelevant what happens in CO and NM if McCain gets PA. It’s over, even before the next time zone votes.


77 posted on 09/13/2008 1:49:36 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: KansasGirl

Settle down there...remember they are tremendous cheaters.


78 posted on 09/13/2008 1:50:38 PM PDT by samadams2000 (Someone important make......The Call!)
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To: comebacknewt

Still got debates to survive, but PA going to McCain is something I’ve never doubted. Too many older Dems here, and they’re very peeved at Obama. :)


79 posted on 09/13/2008 1:51:24 PM PDT by 668 - Neighbor of the Beast (diogeneticistical...esque...ish...)
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To: comebacknewt
McCain Opens Up Five Point Lead in Pennsylvania

Well dip me in axle grease and call me "Slick"!!!
80 posted on 09/13/2008 1:52:00 PM PDT by Mr. Binnacle (Sarah Palin is Teddy Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan in a sports bra!)
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