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To: NautiNurse

http://www.oe.energy.gov/news_room_and_events/events.htm

From there I eventually get to this report of today’s situation:
Situation Report for September 16, 2008, 10AM
http://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/docs/2008_SitRep_5_Ike_091608_10AM.pdf

My approximate summary is:
- 2.2 Million “customers” (not people) are dark now in TX, 1.0M in OH, 0.1M LA & AR, 0.4M in KY
- LOOP oil tanker terminal has resumed offloading
- Many Oil facilities shut down, but no reports of substantial damage as of yet.
- Natural gas pipelines seem to be OK. No major infrastructure damage reported. Need electric.
- Generators being installed by Exxon& Chevron and others.
- More than 90% of gas/oil wells in the GOM are not producing due to preemptive shutdowns.
- Nat Gas Damage assessments under way. Flooding. Lack of power. Some may take several weeks to cleanup & repair.
- Minor damage to some off-shore facilities. Too early for detailed repair estimates, but probably not more than a few weeks.

The largest affected distribution company, CenterPoint, reports 3/4 of their customers dark. Facilities still out of service include 90 transmission facilities, 126 substations, 1348 distribution circuits. (In addition, 55 tf, 119 sst, and 342 dc’s have already been restored.)

CenterPoint estimates that 50-75% of its customers will have power within 7-10 days. The remainder within 3wks [sounds optimistic to editor] Over 11,000 personnel are working with CenterPoint.

[IF you look at that report, I caution you that the 90%+ of oil facilities out is meaningless as far as anything having to do with damage. That simply means certain facilities are not producing as of this report.]


3,099 posted on 09/16/2008 10:36:32 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: AFPhys

There is a large quantity of some lighter than water substance floating in a slick immediately west of High island.

Near as I can tell, the substance originalls flowed seaward, as if a rupture took place during passage of the backside of the storm, coated the upstream side of any obstacles protruding from the water and is now forming slicks as it washes of the obstacles.

No idea what it is or where it came from, but it looks like oil or gasoline to me.


3,127 posted on 09/16/2008 12:31:14 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: AFPhys; NautiNurse

http://www.oe.energy.gov/news_room_and_events/events.htm

From there I eventually get to this report of today’s situation:
Situation Report for September 17, 2008, 10AM
http://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/docs/2008_SitRep_7_Ike_091708_10AM.pdf

My approximate summary (& diff from y’day) is:
- 1.9 (-.3M) Million “customers” (not people) are dark now in TX, 0.8M (-.2M)in OH, 0.3M (-.2M) LA & AR & KY
- Oil/gas starting to come back online slowly, but much is still off line. About 60% of the platforms operating in the area remain evacuated.
- It appears that about 30 of the 3,800 offshore production platforms were destroyed.
- Natural gas pipelines seem to be OK. No major infrastructure damage reported. Slowly coming back up. Need for electric. Some repairs. Not much difference there, it seems.
- A little under 90% of gas/oil wells in the GOM are not producing due to preemptive shutdowns- slowly recovering.
- Nat Gas Damage assessments under way. Flooding. Lack of power. Some may take several weeks to cleanup & repair.
- Minor damage to some off-shore facilities. Too early for detailed repair estimates, but probably not more than a few weeks.

The largest affected distribution company, CenterPoint, reports has gone from 3/4 down to about 2/3 of their customers dark. Facilities still out of service include 21 (was 90 y’day) transmission facilities, 936 (was 1348) distribution circuits. It sounds like they are doing a great job of getting this done, but of course the stuff remaining will be increasingly difficult. They haven’t changed their estimates of time it will take.

Someone specifically asked about Entergy yesterday. It is only about 1/4 the size of CenterPoint, and MUCH harder hit. Almost 85% of their customers are dark, and my glance indicates their facilities seem to be really devastated compared to CenterPoint’s. Though they are much smaller, they report having even more people working there. Still, they’re expecting about the same recovery time, and there is a list of areas and times in the report.

On balance, world wide investors are looking at Ike as a non-event for anything other than short-term production of Oil/Gas since prices are down substantially over the last couple days. Distribution situations will cause price action in local areas. In my area, gasoline is up only $0.04, so it’s been a nothing.

[IF you look at the pdf above, I caution you that the 90%+ of oil facilities out is meaningless as far as anything having to do with damage. That simply means certain facilities are not producing as of this report.]

[This is linked to the previous summary I made]


3,453 posted on 09/17/2008 11:08:53 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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